Match details. Vtora Liga, Regular Season - 13. Kick-off is Fri 23 Oct, 14:00 Lagos time. It is played at efbet Arena, Burgas.
What's at stake. PFC Chernomorets Burgas are 3rd on 24 points after 12 games, level on points with Vihren, 2 points clear of Fratria. A win would take them above Vihren. PFK Sportist Svoge are 16th on 10 points after 12 games, 1 point behind Montana, 1 point clear of Dobrudzha. A win would take them above Montana.
Form. PFC Chernomorets Burgas have won six, drawn two and lost two of their last ten, 2.0 points a game. Their last five, newest first: W W W W D. In this competition PFC Chernomorets Burgas have gone W W W W D W. PFK Sportist Svoge have won two, drawn two and lost six of their last ten, 0.8 points a game. Their last five, newest first: L L W L D. In this competition PFK Sportist Svoge have gone L L W L D L.
The numbers. PFC Chernomorets Burgas score 1.9 and concede 0.7 a game over their last ten, with five clean sheets and two games without a goal. PFC Chernomorets Burgas average 3.6 corners and 2.8 cards a game. PFK Sportist Svoge score 0.6 and concede 1.1 a game over their last ten, with three clean sheets and six games without a goal. PFK Sportist Svoge average 3.8 corners and 1.7 cards a game.
Head to head. In the last four meetings PFC Chernomorets Burgas have won two, drawn none and lost two. One of the four went over 2.5 goals and both teams scored in one. The last time they met, on 15 May 2026, it finished PFC Chernomorets Burgas 1-0 PFK Sportist Svoge.
Where it pulls both ways. On goals, their goals for and against point to an open game; their records put over 2.5 goals at 38%; three of the last four meetings went under 2.5.
The case against. PFK Sportist Svoge's record still gives them 24% to win.
The read. PFC Chernomorets Burgas to win. Their goals for and against make PFC Chernomorets Burgas the likelier winners; PFC Chernomorets Burgas are the stronger side on form and the table; both teams' records favour PFC Chernomorets Burgas.
The bets. Best bet: PFC Chernomorets Burgas (Draw No Bet) at 1.10, 77% on the records (PFC Chernomorets Burgas won 6 of 8 (draws left out); PFK Sportist Svoge lost 6 of 8 (draws left out)). Backup: Under 1.5 first-half goals at 1.46. It often rescues the bet, but it is no guarantee. Predicted score: PFC Chernomorets Burgas 1-0 PFK Sportist Svoge (12% chance).
Every score's chance from both teams' checked games, never cut or rescaled. The lit square is the likeliest score that fits the read (the call).