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CYPRUS - 1ST DIVISION
Pafos FC crestPFPAF
16:00Mon 19 Oct
APOAPOEL Nikosia crestAN

Pafos FC vs APOEL Nikosia

CLASS E
THE READ

Match details. 1st Division, Regular Season - 6. Kick-off is Mon 19 Oct, 16:00 Lagos time. It is played at Stelios Kyriakides Stadium, Paphos. The referee is Chrysovalantis Theouli.

What's at stake. Pafos FC are 5th on 10 points after 5 games, 1 point behind Omonia Nicosia, 1 point clear of Aris. A win would take them above Omonia Nicosia. APOEL Nikosia are 8th on 7 points after 5 games, 1 point behind Omonia 29is Maiou, 1 point clear of Omonia Aradippou. A win would take them above Omonia 29is Maiou.

Form. Pafos FC have won three, drawn one and lost one of their last five, 2.0 points a game. Their last five, newest first: W L W D W. APOEL Nikosia have won two, drawn one and lost two of their last five, 1.4 points a game. Their last five, newest first: W D L W L.

The numbers. Pafos FC score 1.4 and concede 0.6 a game over their last five, with three clean sheets and two games without a goal. APOEL Nikosia score 2.4 and concede 1.6 a game over their last five, with one clean sheet.

Head to head. In the last nine meetings Pafos FC have won five, drawn two and lost two. Two of the nine went over 2.5 goals and both teams scored in three. In the last four, Pafos FC won three and one was drawn. The last time they met, on 22 May 2026, it finished Pafos FC 2-0 APOEL Nikosia.

Where it pulls both ways. On goals, their goals for and against point to an open game; their records put over 2.5 goals at 57%; seven of the last nine meetings went under 2.5, and the meetings settle it.

The case against. APOEL Nikosia's record still gives them 27% to win. Not everything agrees on goals: their goals for and against point to an open game. Not everything agrees on goals: their records put over 2.5 goals at 57%.

The read. Pafos FC to win. A tight game. Their goals for and against make Pafos FC the likelier winners; Pafos FC are the stronger side on form and the table; both teams' records favour Pafos FC; the meetings favour Pafos FC. Seven of the last nine meetings went under 2.5.

The bets. No bet yet: nothing I'd back is priced yet. Leave: Over 1.5 Goals (no overs on a tight read); Pafos FC or Over 2.5 Goals (no overs on a tight read); APOEL Nikosia Under 1.5 goals (APOEL Nikosia's own games don't back it (2 of 5)). Predicted score: Pafos FC 1-0 APOEL Nikosia (10% chance).

PICKSONE LIST
RESULT
Double Chance: Pafos FC or DrawIN CODES
1.21
PAF 4 of 5 (80%) · APO 3 of 5 (60%)76.8%
Pafos FC unbeaten in 4 of 5 (last 10, all venues) · APOEL Nikosia failed to win 3 of 5 (last 10, all venues) · both last 10: 70% · H2H 5 of 6 · Pafos FC: only games against sides at APOEL Nikosia's level · APOEL Nikosia: only games against sides at Pafos FC's level
Pafos FC or Both Teams ScoreIN CODES
1.16
PAF 3 of 5 (60%) · APO 4 of 5 (80%)73.3%
Pafos FC: the bet landed in 3 of 5 (last 10, all venues) · APOEL Nikosia: the bet landed in 4 of 5 (last 10, all venues) · both last 10: 70% · H2H 5 of 6 · Pafos FC: only games against sides at APOEL Nikosia's level · APOEL Nikosia: only games against sides at Pafos FC's level
Pafos FC or Draw & Over 1.5LEANPAGE ONLY
1.57
PAF 2 of 5 (40%) · APO 3 of 5 (60%)54.2%
Pafos FC: the bet landed in 2 of 5 (last 10, all venues) · APOEL Nikosia: the bet landed in 3 of 5 (last 10, all venues) · both last 10: 50% · H2H 4 of 6 · Pafos FC: only games against sides at APOEL Nikosia's level · APOEL Nikosia: only games against sides at Pafos FC's level
Pafos FC to WinLEANPAGE ONLY
1.91
PAF 3 of 5 (60%) · APO 2 of 5 (40%)51.3%
Pafos FC won 3 of 5 (last 10, all venues) · APOEL Nikosia lost 2 of 5 (last 10, all venues) · both last 10: 50% · H2H 3 of 6 · Pafos FC: only games against sides at APOEL Nikosia's level · APOEL Nikosia: only games against sides at Pafos FC's level
GOALS
Under 5.5 GoalsPAGE ONLY
no price yet
PAF 5 of 5 (100%) · APO 4 of 5 (80%)94.2%
Pafos FC: under 5.5 goals in 5 of 5 (last 10, all venues) · APOEL Nikosia: under 5.5 goals in 4 of 5 (last 10, all venues) · both last 10: 90% · H2H 5 of 6 · Pafos FC: only games against sides at APOEL Nikosia's level · APOEL Nikosia: only games against sides at Pafos FC's level
Under 4.5 GoalsPAGE ONLY
no price yet
PAF 5 of 5 (100%) · APO 4 of 5 (80%)86.1%
Pafos FC: under 4.5 goals in 5 of 5 (last 10, all venues) · APOEL Nikosia: under 4.5 goals in 4 of 5 (last 10, all venues) · both last 10: 90% · H2H 5 of 6 · Pafos FC: only games against sides at APOEL Nikosia's level · APOEL Nikosia: only games against sides at Pafos FC's level
PAFOS FC GOALS
Pafos FC Over 0.5 goalsIN CODES
1.17
PAF 3 of 5 (60%) · APO 4 of 5 (80%)81.1%
Pafos FC scored in 3 of 5 (last 10, all venues) · APOEL Nikosia conceded in 4 of 5 (last 10, all venues) · both last 10: 70% · H2H 5 of 6 · Pafos FC: only games against sides at APOEL Nikosia's level · APOEL Nikosia: only games against sides at Pafos FC's level
HALVES
2nd Half - Over/Under: Over 0.5PAGE ONLY
1.23
PAF 4 of 5 (80%) · APO 5 of 5 (100%)84.2%
Pafos FC: the bet landed in 4 of 5 (last 10, all venues) · APOEL Nikosia: the bet landed in 5 of 5 (last 10, all venues) · both last 10: 90% · H2H 4 of 6 · on half-time scores · Pafos FC: only games against sides at APOEL Nikosia's level · APOEL Nikosia: only games against sides at Pafos FC's level
Left off the list: Over 1.5 Goals (no overs on a tight read (rule 10)); Pafos FC or Over 2.5 Goals (no overs on a tight read (rule 10)); APOEL Nikosia Under 1.5 goals (APOEL Nikosia's own games don't back it (2 of 5)); Pafos FC or Over 1.5 Goals (no overs on a tight read (rule 10)); Over 0.5 Goals (no overs on a tight read (rule 10))
SCORELINES
Predicted score
Predicted score 1–0 10.4%
Pafos FC goals →
APOEL Nikosia goals ↓
0-07%
1-010%
2-09%
3-05%
4-02%
5-00.7%
0-16%
1-112%
2-110%
3-15%
4-12%
5-10.7%
0-24%
1-26%
2-25%
3-23%
4-21%
5-20.4%
0-31%
1-32%
2-32%
3-31.0%
4-30.4%
5-30.1%
0-40.3%
1-40.6%
2-40.5%
3-40.3%
4-40.1%
5-40.0%
0-50.1%
1-50.1%
2-50.1%
3-50.1%
4-50.0%
5-50.0%

Every score's chance from both teams' checked games, never cut or rescaled. The lit square is the likeliest score that fits the read (the call and a tight game).

FORM · LAST 5
PAFOS FCWDWLW2.00 PPG
APOEL NIKOSIALWLDW1.40 PPG
THE NUMBERS
PAFOS FC HOMExAPOEL NIKOSIA AWAY
1.40SCORED A GAME2.400.60CONCEDED A GAME1.6060%CLEAN SHEETS20%40%FAILED TO SCORE0%
THE BANK
THE BANK'S READ
OVER 1.5 GOALS
82%
OKAY · 80/83
OVER 2.5 GOALS
71%
OKAY · 65/78
UNDER 4.5 GOALS
91%
VERY GOOD · 85/90
PAFOS FC OR DRAW
77%
NO · 80/85
APOEL NIKOSIA OR DRAW
67%
NO · 80/85
Each line from both sides' own league games this season, set against their league (5 and 4 games). The two numbers after each read are the line's okay and very good marks.
HEAD TO HEAD · LAST 9
PAFOS FC 5 · 56%DRAW 2APOEL NIKOSIA 2 · 22%
3 of 9BOTH TEAMS SCORED
6 of 9OVER 1.5 GOALS
2 of 9OVER 2.5 GOALS
1 of 9OVER 3.5 GOALS
2024-09-25Pafos FC 0 – 1 APOEL Nikosia
2024-11-23Pafos FC 2 – 1 APOEL Nikosia
2025-02-24Pafos FC 2 – 0 APOEL Nikosia
2025-04-06Pafos FC 0 – 1 APOEL Nikosia
2025-05-12Pafos FC 1 – 1 APOEL Nikosia
2025-08-31Pafos FC 1 – 0 APOEL Nikosia
2026-02-04Pafos FC 2 – 0 APOEL Nikosia
2026-04-26Pafos FC 3 – 3 APOEL Nikosia
TRENDS
Pafos FC failed to score in 40% of their games.
APOEL Nikosia failed to score in 0% of their games.
BUILT FROM
form · last gameshome / awaygoals for & againsthead to headleague table
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