Wolfsburg vs Heidenheim
Match details. 2. Bundesliga, Regular Season - 8. Kick-off is Sat 17 Oct, 12:00 Lagos time. It is played at Volkswagen Arena, Wolfsburg. The referee is Tom Bauer.
What's at stake. Wolfsburg are 5th on 12 points after 7 games, 1 point behind 1. FC Magdeburg, level on points with 1. FC Kaiserslautern. A win would take them above 1. FC Magdeburg. Heidenheim are 3rd on 14 points after 7 games, 4 points behind 1. FC Nürnberg, 1 point clear of 1. FC Magdeburg.
Form. Wolfsburg have won three, drawn six and lost one of their last ten, 1.5 points a game. Their last five, newest first: D W L D W. Heidenheim have won five, drawn two and lost three of their last ten, 1.7 points a game. Their last five, newest first: D D W W W.
The numbers. Wolfsburg score 2.2 and concede 1.5 a game over their last ten, with three clean sheets and three games without a goal. Wolfsburg average 16.8 shots (7.3 on target), 6.7 corners and 2.5 cards a game, with 56% of the ball. Heidenheim score 1.8 and concede 2.4 a game in their last five away, with one clean sheet. Heidenheim average 12.2 shots (5.4 on target), 5.5 corners and 1.6 cards a game, with 47% of the ball.
Head to head. In the last eight meetings Wolfsburg have won five, drawn two and lost one. Three of the eight went over 2.5 goals and both teams scored in five. In the last four, Wolfsburg won two, one was drawn and Heidenheim won one. The last time they met, on 17 Jan 2026, it finished Wolfsburg 1-1 Heidenheim: Wolfsburg had 13 shots to 13, 70% of the ball, seven yellow cards.
Where it pulls both ways. The prices and the records disagree: the odds board makes it 60% against the records' 34%. On goals, their goals for and against point to an open game; their records put over 2.5 goals at 51%; five of the last eight meetings went under 2.5.
The case against. Not everything agrees on goals: five of the last eight meetings went under 2.5.
The read. No firm call: Wolfsburg are the better side, but not at this price. An open game. Their goals for and against make Wolfsburg the likelier winners; the meetings favour Wolfsburg. Their goals for and against point to an open game. Their records put over 2.5 goals at 51%.
The bets. No bet yet: nothing I'd back is priced yet. Leave: Under 5.5 Goals (Wolfsburg are a clear winner, no Unders); Under 4.5 Goals (Wolfsburg are a clear winner, no Unders). Predicted score: Wolfsburg 2-1 Heidenheim (10% chance).
Every score's chance from both teams' checked games, never cut or rescaled. The lit square is the likeliest score that fits the read (an open game).