Match details. Liga 2, Regular Season - 10. Kick-off is Sat 17 Oct, 09:00 Lagos time. It is played at Stadionul Clinceni, a neutral ground.
What's at stake. SC Popesti Leordeni are 5th on 18 points after 9 games, level on points with Chindia Targoviste, 1 point clear of CS Afumati. A win would take them above Chindia Targoviste. CS Afumati are 6th on 17 points after 9 games, 1 point behind Popești-Leordeni, level on points with Metalul Buzău. A win would take them above Popești-Leordeni.
Form. SC Popesti Leordeni have won six, drawn two and lost two of their last ten, 2.0 points a game. Their last five, newest first: W L W W D. CS Afumati have won five, drawn two and lost three of their last ten, 1.7 points a game. Their last five, newest first: W W D W W.
The numbers. SC Popesti Leordeni score 2.6 and concede 1.6 a game over their last ten, with two clean sheets. SC Popesti Leordeni average 11.4 shots (5.4 on target), 4.2 corners and 1.8 cards a game. CS Afumati score 1.7 and concede 1.2 a game over their last ten, with three clean sheets and two games without a goal. CS Afumati average 12.8 shots (5.4 on target), 6.1 corners and 1.9 cards a game.
Head to head. In the last seven meetings SC Popesti Leordeni have won two, drawn one and lost four. Three of the seven went over 2.5 goals and both teams scored in four. In the last four, SC Popesti Leordeni won one, one was drawn and CS Afumati won two. The last time they met, on 25 May 2024, it finished SC Popesti Leordeni 1-3 CS Afumati.
Where it pulls both ways. It pulls both ways: SC Popesti Leordeni are the stronger side on form and the table, but the meetings favour CS Afumati. On goals, their goals for and against point to a tight game; their records put over 2.5 goals at 69%; four of the last seven meetings went under 2.5.
The case against. CS Afumati's record still gives them 36% to win. The meetings do not back them.
The read. SC Popesti Leordeni or the draw. SC Popesti Leordeni are the stronger side on form and the table; the meetings favour CS Afumati.
The bets. No bet yet: nothing I'd back is priced yet. Leave: SC Popesti Leordeni or Draw & Over 1.5 (the signs point different ways). Predicted score: SC Popesti Leordeni 1-1 CS Afumati (14% chance).
Every score's chance from both teams' checked games, never cut or rescaled. The lit square is the likeliest score that fits the read (the call).