Match details. Liga 2, Regular Season - 10. Kick-off is Sat 17 Oct, 09:00 Lagos time. It is played at Stadionul Dumitru Matarau, Stefanestii de Jos.
What's at stake. Csl Stefanestii de Jos are 19th on 6 points after 9 games, level on points with Viitorul Şelimbăr, 1 point clear of CSM Satu Mare. A win would take them above Viitorul Şelimbăr. CS Dinamo Bucuresti are 21st on 4 points after 9 games, 1 point behind CSM Satu Mare, 1 point clear of Dumbrăviţa. A win would take them above CSM Satu Mare.
Form. Csl Stefanestii de Jos have won two, drawn none and lost eight of their last ten, 0.6 points a game. Their last five, newest first: L L L L L. CS Dinamo Bucuresti have won one, drawn one and lost eight of their last ten, 0.4 points a game. Their last five, newest first: D L L L L.
The numbers. Csl Stefanestii de Jos score 0.7 and concede 2.1 a game over their last ten, with one clean sheet and five games without a goal. Csl Stefanestii de Jos average 10.0 shots (4.2 on target), 3.1 corners and 2.1 cards a game. CS Dinamo Bucuresti score 1.2 and concede 4.2 a game in their last six away, with no clean sheets and two games without a goal. CS Dinamo Bucuresti average 7.2 shots (3.4 on target), 2.1 corners and 2.1 cards a game.
The case against. CS Dinamo Bucuresti's record still gives them 47% to win.
The read. Csl Stefanestii de Jos to win. An open game. Csl Stefanestii de Jos are the stronger side on form and the table; both teams' records favour Csl Stefanestii de Jos. Their goals for and against point to an open game. Their records put over 2.5 goals at 80%.
The bets. Best bet: Over 1.5 Goals at 1.19, 76% on the records (Csl Stefanestii de Jos: over 1.5 goals in 7 of 9; CS Dinamo Bucuresti: over 1.5 goals in 5 of 5 away). Leave: Csl Stefanestii de Jos or Over 2.5 Goals (the signs point different ways); CS Dinamo Bucuresti or Over 2.5 Goals (the call backs Csl Stefanestii de Jos); Under 4.5 Goals (no unders on an open read). Predicted score: Csl Stefanestii de Jos 2-1 CS Dinamo Bucuresti (9% chance).
Every score's chance from both teams' checked games, never cut or rescaled. The lit square is the likeliest score that fits the read (the call and an open game).