Match details. Ligue 1, Regular Season - 5. Kick-off is Tue 13 Oct, 20:15 Lagos time.
Form. USM Alger have won three, drawn four and lost three of their last ten, 1.3 points a game. Their last five, newest first: L W W D D. JS Saoura have won four, drawn four and lost two of their last ten, 1.6 points a game. Their last five, newest first: D D L L W.
The numbers. USM Alger score 1.5 and concede 1.3 a game over their last ten, with two clean sheets and three games without a goal. USM Alger average 8.3 shots (4.7 on target), 4.3 corners and 2.0 cards a game. JS Saoura score one and concede 1.4 a game in their last five away, with three clean sheets and three games without a goal. JS Saoura average 2.0 corners and 2.5 cards a game.
Where it pulls both ways. The prices and the records disagree: the odds board makes it 51% against the records' 25%.
The read. No firm call: USM Alger are the better side, but not at this price. An open game. Their goals for and against make USM Alger the likelier winners; USM Alger are the stronger side on form and the table. Their goals for and against point to an open game. Their records put over 2.5 goals at 55%.
The bets. Best bet: Over 1.5 Goals at 1.56, 76% on the records (USM Alger: over 1.5 goals in 7 of 10; JS Saoura: over 1.5 goals in 3 of 5). Backup: Over 0.5 Goals at 1.12. It often rescues the bet, but it is no guarantee. Leave: Under 4.5 Goals (no unders on an open read); Under 5.5 Goals (no unders on an open read). Predicted score: USM Alger 2-1 JS Saoura (10% chance).
Every score's chance from both teams' checked games, never cut or rescaled. The lit square is the likeliest score that fits the read (an open game).