Match details. Slovensky Pohar, Round of 32. Kick-off is Tue 13 Oct, 14:00 Lagos time.
What's at stake. It is one game, with penalties if it is level.
Form. FK Cadca have won seven, drawn one and lost two of their last ten, 2.2 points a game. Their last five, newest first: W W W D L. 1. FC Tatran Presov have won five, drawn two and lost three of their last ten, 1.7 points a game. Their last five, newest first: D W D L W.
The numbers. FK Cadca score three and concede 1.1 a game over their last ten, with four clean sheets. FK Cadca average 11.0 shots (5.0 on target), 4.0 corners and 1.7 cards a game. 1. FC Tatran Presov score 2.8 and concede 1.2 a game in their last six away, with three clean sheets. 1. FC Tatran Presov average 9.2 shots (4.4 on target), 4.9 corners and 2.0 cards a game.
The case against. FK Cadca's record still gives them 46% to win.
The read. 1. FC Tatran Presov or the draw. An open game. Their goals for and against make FK Cadca the likelier winners; FK Cadca are the stronger side on form and the table; both teams' records favour FK Cadca. Their goals for and against point to an open game. Their records put over 2.5 goals at 79%.
The bets. Best bet: Over 1.5 Goals at 1.13, 84% on the records (FK Cadca: over 1.5 goals in 9 of 10; 1. FC Tatran Presov: over 1.5 goals in 5 of 6 away). Backup: 2nd Half - Over/Under: Over 0.5 at 1.11. It often rescues the bet, but it is no guarantee. Leave: Under 4.5 Goals (no unders on an open read); FK Cadca Over 0.5 Goals (1. FC Tatran Presov's own games don't back it (3 of 6)); Under 5.5 Goals (no unders on an open read). Predicted score: FK Cadca 2-2 1. FC Tatran Presov (7% chance).
Every score's chance from both teams' checked games, never cut or rescaled. The lit square is the likeliest score that fits the read (the call and an open game).