Match details. Primera Division, Regular Season - 25. Kick-off is Sun 25 Oct, 16:30 Lagos time. It is played at Estadio Municipal Nelson Oyarzún Arenas, Chillan. The referee is Hector Jona.
What's at stake. Nublense are 11th on 32 points after 24 games, level on points with Huachipato, 3 points clear of A. Italiano. A win would take them above Huachipato. Coquimbo Unido are 8th on 32 points after 23 games, 1 point behind D. La Serena, level on points with Concepción. A win would take them above D. La Serena. Nublense have nothing left to play for. Coquimbo Unido have nothing left to play for.
Form. Nublense have won three, drawn two and lost five of their last ten, 1.1 points a game. Their last five, newest first: L L L L L. In this competition Nublense have gone L L L L L W. Coquimbo Unido have won two, drawn three and lost four of their last nine, 1.0 points a game. Their last five, newest first: W L L W L. In this competition Coquimbo Unido have gone W L L W L D.
The numbers. Nublense score 1.4 and concede 1.4 a game in their last five at home, with one clean sheet. Nublense average 10.9 shots (3.8 on target), 4.1 corners and 2.9 cards a game, with 48% of the ball. Coquimbo Unido score 1.6 and concede 1.7 a game over their last nine, with two clean sheets. Coquimbo Unido average 12.6 shots (5.0 on target), 6.5 corners and 3.0 cards a game, with 48% of the ball.
Head to head. In the last nine meetings Nublense have won three, drawn three and lost three. Four of the nine went over 2.5 goals and both teams scored in five. In the last four, two were drawn and Coquimbo Unido won two. The last time they met, on 19 Apr 2026, it finished Nublense 1-1 Coquimbo Unido: Nublense had 14 shots to 9, 58% of the ball, seven yellow cards.
Where it pulls both ways. On goals, their goals for and against point to an open game; their records put over 2.5 goals at 53%; five of the last nine meetings went under 2.5.
The read. No side to back. Nothing separates them clearly enough to back a side.
The bets. No bet on this one: too close to call. Leave: Nublense or Over 2.5 Goals (no result call); Coquimbo Unido or Over 2.5 Goals (no result call); Coquimbo Unido or Over 1.5 Goals (no result call). Predicted score: Nublense 1-1 Coquimbo Unido (13% chance).
Every score's chance from both teams' checked games, never cut or rescaled. The lit square is the likeliest score that fits the read (the Model's table).