Match details. AFC Champions League Two. Kick-off is Tue 13 Oct, 14:45 Lagos time.
Form. East Bengal FC have won five, drawn four and lost one of their last ten, 1.9 points a game. Their last five, newest first: D W D W D. Al Shorta SC have won five, drawn four and lost one of their last ten, 1.9 points a game. Their last five, newest first: D W W D W.
The numbers. East Bengal FC score 3.6 and concede 0.6 a game in their last five at home, with two clean sheets. East Bengal FC average 18.1 shots (6.4 on target), 8.9 corners and 2.4 cards a game. Al Shorta SC score one and concede 0.4 a game over their last ten, with seven clean sheets and three games without a goal. Al Shorta SC average 14.0 shots (5.1 on target), 5.5 corners and 1.7 cards a game.
The case against. Al Shorta SC's record still gives them 33% to win.
The read. East Bengal FC to win. A tight game. Their goals for and against make East Bengal FC the likelier winners; East Bengal FC are the stronger side on form and the table. Their goals for and against point to a tight game. Their records put over 2.5 goals at 38%.
The bets. No bet yet: nothing I'd back is priced yet. Leave: Under 4.5 Goals (the signs point different ways); Over 0.5 Goals (no overs on a tight read). Predicted score: East Bengal FC 1-0 Al Shorta SC (13% chance).
Every score's chance from both teams' checked games, never cut or rescaled. The lit square is the likeliest score that fits the read (the call and a tight game).