FSFAJ

14:30Tue 13 Oct

ALU

Fajr Sepasi FC vs Aluminium Arak

CLASS D

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THE READ

Match details. Pro League, Regular Season - 7. Kick-off is Tue 13 Oct, 14:30 Lagos time.

Form. Fajr Sepasi FC have won two, drawn four and lost four of their last ten, 1.0 points a game. Their last five, newest first: L L D D W. Aluminium Arak have won four, drawn six and lost none of their last ten, 1.8 points a game. Their last five, newest first: D D W D W.

The numbers. Fajr Sepasi FC score 0.6 and concede 1.2 a game over their last ten, with four clean sheets and four games without a goal. Fajr Sepasi FC average 0.0 cards a game. Aluminium Arak score 1.1 and concede 0.5 a game over their last ten, with six clean sheets and three games without a goal. Aluminium Arak average 0.0 cards a game.

The read. Aluminium Arak to win. A tight game. Aluminium Arak are the stronger side on form and the table. Their goals for and against point to a tight game. Their records put over 2.5 goals at 8%.

The bets. No bet yet: nothing I'd back is priced yet. Leave: Under 3.5 Goals (Aluminium Arak are a clear winner, no Unders); Over 0.5 Goals (no overs on a tight read); Aluminium Arak Over 0.5 goals (Fajr Sepasi FC's own games don't back it (3 of 7)). Predicted score: Fajr Sepasi FC 0-1 Aluminium Arak (9% chance).

PICKSONE LIST

RESULT

Aluminium Arak or Under 2.5 GoalsPAGE ONLY

no price yet

FAJ 5 of 6 (83%) · ALU 7 of 7 (100%)93.8%

Aluminium Arak: the bet landed in 5 of 6 (last 10, all venues) · Fajr Sepasi FC: the bet landed in 7 of 7 (last 10, all venues) · both last 10: 92% · Aluminium Arak: only games against sides at Fajr Sepasi FC's level · Fajr Sepasi FC: only games against sides at Aluminium Arak's level

HALVES

1st Half Under 2.5 GoalsPAGE ONLY

no price yet

FAJ 7 of 7 (100%) · ALU 6 of 6 (100%)100%

Fajr Sepasi FC: the bet landed in 7 of 7 (last 10, all venues) · Aluminium Arak: the bet landed in 6 of 6 (last 10, all venues) · both last 10: 100% · on half-time scores · Fajr Sepasi FC: only games against sides at Aluminium Arak's level · Aluminium Arak: only games against sides at Fajr Sepasi FC's level

1st Half - GG/NG: NoPAGE ONLY

1.09

FAJ 7 of 7 (100%) · ALU 5 of 6 (83%)91.7%

Fajr Sepasi FC: the bet landed in 7 of 7 (last 10, all venues) · Aluminium Arak: the bet landed in 5 of 6 (last 10, all venues) · both last 10: 92% · on half-time scores · Fajr Sepasi FC: only games against sides at Aluminium Arak's level · Aluminium Arak: only games against sides at Fajr Sepasi FC's level

1st Half Under 1.5 GoalsPAGE ONLY

no price yet

FAJ 7 of 7 (100%) · ALU 4 of 6 (67%)83.3%

Fajr Sepasi FC: the bet landed in 7 of 7 (last 10, all venues) · Aluminium Arak: the bet landed in 4 of 6 (last 10, all venues) · both last 10: 83% · on half-time scores · Fajr Sepasi FC: only games against sides at Aluminium Arak's level · Aluminium Arak: only games against sides at Fajr Sepasi FC's level

Left off the list: Under 3.5 Goals (Aluminium Arak are a clear winner - no Unders); Over 0.5 Goals (no overs on a tight read (rule 10)); Aluminium Arak Over 0.5 goals (Fajr Sepasi FC's own games don't back it (3 of 7)); Under 4.5 Goals (Aluminium Arak are a clear winner - no Unders); Under 5.5 Goals (Aluminium Arak are a clear winner - no Unders)

SCORELINES

Predicted score

Predicted score 0–1 9.1%

Fajr Sepasi FC goals →

Aluminium Arak goals ↓

0-09%

1-09%

2-07%

3-03%

4-00.9%

5-00.2%

0-19%

1-113%

2-18%

3-14%

4-11%

5-10.3%

0-26%

1-28%

2-25%

3-22%

4-20.7%

5-20.2%

0-33%

1-33%

2-32%

3-30.9%

4-30.3%

5-30.1%

0-40.8%

1-41%

2-40.7%

3-40.3%

4-40.1%

5-40.0%

0-50.2%

1-50.3%

2-50.2%

3-50.1%

4-50.0%

5-50.0%

Every score's chance from both teams' checked games, never cut or rescaled. The lit square is the likeliest score that fits the read (the call and a tight game).

FORM · LAST 10

FAJR SEPASI FCLLDDWDDLWL1.00 PPG

ALUMINIUM ARAKDDWDWDWDDW1.80 PPG

THE NUMBERS

FAJR SEPASI FC HOMExALUMINIUM ARAK AWAY

0.57SCORED A GAME1.291.29CONCEDED A GAME0.5740%CLEAN SHEETS60%0.00CORNERS A GAME0.000.00CARDS A GAME0.00

THE BANK

THE QUALITY READ

1.00POINTS A GAME1.57-0.71GOAL DIFFERENCE A GAME+0.57–SHOTS FOR MINUS AGAINST–1.0LAST 5: POINTS A GAME1.47LEAGUE GAMES7

Aluminium Arak: the quality side - a better goal difference.

Each club's own league games in the Bank: points, goal difference, shots for and against, the last 5. A side ahead on most of them is the quality side; its bets show what they won on games like this from 6 Oct to 2 Nov.

THE BANK'S READ

OVER 1.5 GOALS

56%

NO · 80/83

OVER 2.5 GOALS

20%

NO · 65/78

UNDER 4.5 GOALS

96%

VERY GOOD · 85/90

FAJR SEPASI FC OR DRAW

74%

NO · 80/85

ALUMINIUM ARAK OR DRAW

89%

VERY GOOD · 80/85

Each line from both sides' own league games this season, set against their league (7 and 7 games). The two numbers after each read are the line's okay and very good marks.

FAJR SEPASI FCxALUMINIUM ARAK

5GAMES50.60SCORED A GAME1.401.60CONCEDED A GAME1.002.2GOALS IN THEIR GAMES2.440%OVER 1.5 GOALS80%20%OVER 2.5 GOALS40%40%BOTH SCORE60%–CARDS IN THEIR GAMES––CORNERS IN THEIR GAMES–

Each side's own league games in our bank before this game; "Home v Away" is the home side's home games and the away side's away games.

TRENDS

Fajr Sepasi FC have scored in 60% of their games.

Aluminium Arak have scored in 70% of their games.

Fajr Sepasi FC kept a clean sheet in 40% of their games.

Aluminium Arak kept a clean sheet in 60% of their games.

BUILT FROM

form · last gameshome / awaygoals for & againstclean sheetsleague tablecornerscards