Degerfors IF vs Kalmar FF
Match details. Allsvenskan, Regular Season - 24. Kick-off is Mon 19 Oct, 18:00 Lagos time. It is played at Stora Valla, Degfors. The referee is Mohammed Al-Hakim.
What's at stake. Degerfors IF are 13th on 20 points after 23 games, 3 points behind Mjallby AIF, 1 point clear of Kalmar FF. A win would take them level on points with Mjallby AIF. Kalmar FF are 14th on 19 points after 23 games, 1 point behind Degerfors IF, 1 point clear of Orgryte IS. A win would take them above Degerfors IF.
Team news. Degerfors IF are without J. Pikkarainen (knee injury), J. Pikkarainen (knee injury). Kalmar FF are without K. Paananen (thigh injury), K. Paananen (thigh injury).
Form. Degerfors IF have won three, drawn one and lost six of their last ten, 1.0 points a game. Their last five, newest first: D L L W L. In this competition Degerfors IF have gone D L L W L L. Kalmar FF have won one, drawn two and lost seven of their last ten, 0.5 points a game. Their last five, newest first: L L L L L. In this competition Kalmar FF have gone L L L L L D.
The numbers. Degerfors IF score 0.8 and concede 1.2 a game over their last ten, with two clean sheets and six games without a goal. Degerfors IF average 10.2 shots (3.5 on target), 4.6 corners and 1.6 cards a game, with 43% of the ball. Kalmar FF score 0.5 and concede 1.2 a game in their last six away, with one clean sheet and four games without a goal. Kalmar FF average 12.8 shots (2.9 on target), 4.1 corners and 1.0 cards a game, with 49% of the ball.
Head to head. In the last seven meetings Degerfors IF have won one, drawn none and lost six. Five of the seven went over 2.5 goals and both teams scored in five. In the last four, Degerfors IF won one and Kalmar FF won three. The last time they met, on 23 May 2026, it finished Degerfors IF 1-2 Kalmar FF: Degerfors IF had 21 shots to 14, 54% of the ball, three yellow cards.
Where it pulls both ways. It pulls both ways: Degerfors IF are the stronger side on form and the table, but the meetings favour Kalmar FF. On goals, their goals for and against point to a tight game; their records put over 2.5 goals at 38%; five of the last seven meetings went over 2.5.
The case against. Kalmar FF's record still gives them 45% to win. The meetings do not back them. Not everything agrees on goals: five of the last seven meetings went over 2.5.
The read. Degerfors IF or the draw. A draw is live. A tight game. Degerfors IF are the stronger side on form and the table; the meetings favour Kalmar FF. Their goals for and against point to a tight game. Their records put over 2.5 goals at 38%.
The bets. Best bet: Under 3.5 Goals at 1.30, 76% on the records (Degerfors IF: under 3.5 goals in 10 of 10; Kalmar FF: under 3.5 goals in 5 of 6 away). Backup: Under 4.5 Goals at 1.10. It often rescues the bet, but it is no guarantee. Leave: Degerfors IF Over 0.5 goals (Degerfors IF's own games don't back it (4 of 10)); Degerfors IF or draw and under 3.5 goals (the signs point different ways); Over 0.5 Goals (no overs on a tight read). Predicted score: Degerfors IF 1-1 Kalmar FF (14% chance).
Every score's chance from both teams' checked games, never cut or rescaled. The lit square is the likeliest score that fits the read (the call and a tight game).