THE READ
Match details. 1st Division, Regular Season - 6. Kick-off is Sun 18 Oct, 17:00 Lagos time. It is played at Alphamega Stadium, Limassol. The referee is Dimitris Solomou.
What's at stake. Aris Limassol are 6th on 8 points after 5 games, 2 points behind Pafos, 1 point clear of Apoel Nicosia. A win would take them above Pafos. AEK Larnaca are 2nd on 12 points after 5 games, level on points with Apollon Limassol, level on points with AEL. A win would take them above Apollon Limassol.
Form. Aris Limassol have won four, drawn two and lost four of their last ten, 1.4 points a game. Their last five, newest first: W W D W L. AEK Larnaca have won six, drawn two and lost two of their last ten, 2.0 points a game. Their last five, newest first: W W L W W.
The numbers. Aris Limassol score 1.8 and concede 1.7 a game in their last six at home, with three clean sheets. Aris Limassol average 14.1 shots (7.1 on target), 5.6 corners and 3.0 cards a game. AEK Larnaca score 2.8 and concede 1.6 a game in their last five away, with no clean sheets. AEK Larnaca average 9.6 shots (4.9 on target), 3.7 corners and 2.0 cards a game.
Head to head. In the last ten meetings Aris Limassol have won two, drawn three and lost five. Two of the ten went over 2.5 goals and both teams scored in five. In the last four, Aris Limassol won one and AEK Larnaca won three. The last time they met, on 22 May 2026, it finished Aris Limassol 3-4 AEK Larnaca.
Where it pulls both ways. On goals, their goals for and against point to a tight game; their records put over 2.5 goals at 54%; eight of the last ten meetings went under 2.5, and the meetings settle it.
The case against. Aris Limassol's record still gives them 22% to win. Not everything agrees on goals: their records put over 2.5 goals at 54%.
The read. AEK Larnaca to win. A tight game. AEK Larnaca are the stronger side on form and the table; both teams' records favour AEK Larnaca; the meetings favour AEK Larnaca. Their goals for and against point to a tight game. Eight of the last ten meetings went under 2.5.
The bets. No bet yet: nothing I'd back is priced yet. Leave: Over 1.5 Goals (no overs on a tight read); AEK Larnaca or Over 2.5 Goals (no overs on a tight read); Over 0.5 Goals (no overs on a tight read). Predicted score: Aris Limassol 0-1 AEK Larnaca (8% chance).
PICKSONE LIST
RESULT
AEK Larnaca or Draw (1UP)IN CODES
1.31
ARI 4 of 5 (80%) · AEK 7 of 8 (88%)82.5%
AEK Larnaca scored first 4 of last 5, led or was unbeaten in 4 · led or was unbeaten in 7 of 8 (last 10, all venues) · Aris Limassol trailed or failed to win in 4 of 5 at home · AEK Larnaca: only games against sides at Aris Limassol's level · Aris Limassol: only games against sides at AEK Larnaca's level
2nd Half - Double Chance: Draw or AEK LarnacaPAGE ONLY
1.36
ARI 6 of 8 (75%) · AEK 4 of 5 (80%)77.3%
AEK Larnaca: the bet landed in 6 of 8 (last 10, all venues) · Aris Limassol: the bet landed in 4 of 5 at home · both last 10: 71% · H2H 5 of 6 · on half-time scores · AEK Larnaca: only games against sides at Aris Limassol's level · Aris Limassol: only games against sides at AEK Larnaca's level
AEK Larnaca win or both teams scoreIN CODES
1.26
ARI 7 of 8 (88%) · AEK 3 of 5 (60%)76.2%
AEK Larnaca: the bet landed in 7 of 8 (last 10, all venues) · Aris Limassol: the bet landed in 3 of 5 at home · both last 10: 77% · H2H 4 of 6 · AEK Larnaca: only games against sides at Aris Limassol's level · Aris Limassol: only games against sides at AEK Larnaca's level
AEK Larnaca or draw and over 1.5 goalsSETTLEDPAGE ONLY
1.80
ARI 3 of 5 (60%) · AEK 6 of 8 (75%)70.9%
Aris Limassol: the bet landed in 3 of 5 at home · AEK Larnaca: the bet landed in 6 of 8 (last 10, all venues) · both last 10: 65% · H2H 4 of 6 · Aris Limassol: only games against sides at AEK Larnaca's level · AEK Larnaca: only games against sides at Aris Limassol's level · rule 2: the meetings back AEK Larnaca: in the last 10 meetings, Aris Limassol won 2, AEK Larnaca won 5 and 3 were drawn; in t
AEK Larnaca 1UPSETTLEDPAGE ONLY
1.65
ARI 4 of 5 (80%) · AEK 7 of 8 (88%)69.2%
AEK Larnaca scored first 4 of last 5, led in 4 · led in 7 of 8 (last 10, all venues) · Aris Limassol trailed in 2 of 5 at home · AEK Larnaca: only games against sides at Aris Limassol's level · Aris Limassol: only games against sides at AEK Larnaca's level · rule 2: the meetings back AEK Larnaca: in the last 10 meetings, Aris Limassol won 2, AEK Larnaca won 5 and 3 were drawn; in the last 4, Aris
Double Chance: Draw or AEK LarnacaLEANPAGE ONLY
1.42
ARI 7 of 8 (88%) · AEK 4 of 5 (80%)64.8%
AEK Larnaca unbeaten in 7 of 8 (last 10, all venues) · Aris Limassol failed to win 4 of 5 at home · both last 10: 77% · H2H 4 of 6 · AEK Larnaca: only games against sides at Aris Limassol's level · Aris Limassol: only games against sides at AEK Larnaca's level
1X2 - 2UP: AEK LarnacaSETTLEDPAGE ONLY
2.25
ARI 4 of 5 (80%) · AEK 5 of 8 (62%)60.8%
AEK Larnaca scored first 4 of last 5, led by 2 or won in 4 · led by 2 or won in 5 of 8 (last 10, all venues) · Aris Limassol trailed by 2 or lost in 2 of 5 at home · AEK Larnaca: only games against sides at Aris Limassol's level · Aris Limassol: only games against sides at AEK Larnaca's level · rule 2: the meetings back AEK Larnaca: in the last 10 meetings, Aris Limassol won 2, AEK Larnaca won 5 a
AEK Larnaca (Draw No Bet)LEANPAGE ONLY
1.77
ARI 5 of 6 (83%) · AEK 4 of 7 (57%)51.6%
AEK Larnaca won 5 of 6 (last 10, all venues) (draws left out) · Aris Limassol lost 4 of 7 (last 10, all venues) (draws left out) · both last 10: 70% · H2H 3 of 5 · AEK Larnaca: only games against sides at Aris Limassol's level · Aris Limassol: only games against sides at AEK Larnaca's level · won 6, refunded 3, lost 2
GOALS
no price yet
ARI 4 of 5 (80%) · AEK 7 of 8 (88%)95.4%
Aris Limassol: under 5.5 goals in 4 of 5 at home · AEK Larnaca: under 5.5 goals in 7 of 8 (last 10, all venues) · both last 10: 88% · H2H 5 of 6 · Aris Limassol: only games against sides at AEK Larnaca's level · AEK Larnaca: only games against sides at Aris Limassol's level
1.18
ARI 3 of 5 (60%) · AEK 6 of 8 (75%)88.6%
Aris Limassol: under 4.5 goals in 3 of 5 at home · AEK Larnaca: under 4.5 goals in 6 of 8 (last 10, all venues) · both last 10: 71% · H2H 4 of 6 · Aris Limassol: only games against sides at AEK Larnaca's level · AEK Larnaca: only games against sides at Aris Limassol's level
BOTH TEAMS SCORE
Both Teams to Score - YesLEANPAGE ONLY
1.58
ARI 3 of 5 (60%) · AEK 6 of 8 (75%)53.9%
Aris Limassol: both scored in 3 of 5 at home · AEK Larnaca: both scored in 6 of 8 (last 10, all venues) · both last 10: 65% · H2H 3 of 6 · Aris Limassol: only games against sides at AEK Larnaca's level · AEK Larnaca: only games against sides at Aris Limassol's level
ARIS LIMASSOL GOALS
Aris Limassol Over 0.5 goalsIN CODES
1.27
ARI 4 of 5 (80%) · AEK 7 of 8 (88%)72.4%
Aris Limassol scored in 4 of 5 at home · AEK Larnaca conceded in 7 of 8 (last 10, all venues) · both last 10: 83% · H2H 5 of 6 · Aris Limassol: only games against sides at AEK Larnaca's level · AEK Larnaca: only games against sides at Aris Limassol's level
Aris Limassol Under 1.5 goalsLEANPAGE ONLY
1.44
ARI 3 of 5 (60%) · AEK 6 of 8 (75%)57.8%
Aris Limassol scored under 1.5 in 3 of 5 at home · AEK Larnaca conceded under 1.5 in 6 of 8 (last 10, all venues) · both last 10: 65% · H2H 4 of 6 · Aris Limassol: only games against sides at AEK Larnaca's level · AEK Larnaca: only games against sides at Aris Limassol's level
AEK LARNACA GOALS
AEK Larnaca Over 0.5 goalsIN CODES
1.27
ARI 7 of 8 (88%) · AEK 3 of 5 (60%)74.7%
AEK Larnaca scored in 7 of 8 (last 10, all venues) · Aris Limassol conceded in 3 of 5 at home · both last 10: 77% · H2H 4 of 6 · AEK Larnaca: only games against sides at Aris Limassol's level · Aris Limassol: only games against sides at AEK Larnaca's level
HALVES
2nd Half - Over/Under: Over 0.5PAGE ONLY
1.19
ARI 4 of 5 (80%) · AEK 8 of 8 (100%)85.3%
Aris Limassol: the bet landed in 4 of 5 at home · AEK Larnaca: the bet landed in 8 of 8 (last 10, all venues) · both last 10: 94% · H2H 4 of 6 · on half-time scores · Aris Limassol: only games against sides at AEK Larnaca's level · AEK Larnaca: only games against sides at Aris Limassol's level
CARDS
no price yet
ARI 5 of 5 (100%) · AEK 5 of 8 (62%)79.4%
Aris Limassol's games: over 3.5 cards in 5 of 5 at home · AEK Larnaca's games: over 3.5 cards in 5 of 8 (last 10, all venues) · both last 10: 76% · Aris Limassol: only games against sides at AEK Larnaca's level · AEK Larnaca: only games against sides at Aris Limassol's level
Left off the list: Over 1.5 Goals (no overs on a tight read (rule 10)); AEK Larnaca or Over 2.5 Goals (no overs on a tight read (rule 10)); Over 0.5 Goals (no overs on a tight read (rule 10))
HEAD TO HEAD · LAST 10
ARIS LIMASSOL 2 · 20%DRAW 3AEK LARNACA 5 · 50%
5 of 10BOTH TEAMS SCORED
7 of 10OVER 1.5 GOALS
2 of 10OVER 2.5 GOALS
2 of 10OVER 3.5 GOALS
2024-03-04Aris Limassol 1 – 1 AEK Larnaca
2024-04-14Aris Limassol 0 – 1 AEK Larnaca
2024-11-03Aris Limassol 0 – 2 AEK Larnaca
2025-02-09Aris Limassol 1 – 1 AEK Larnaca
2025-03-29Aris Limassol 1 – 1 AEK Larnaca
2025-04-27Aris Limassol 1 – 0 AEK Larnaca
2025-09-22Aris Limassol 2 – 3 AEK Larnaca
2026-01-10Aris Limassol 1 – 0 AEK Larnaca