Omonia Aradippou vs AEL Limassol
Match details. 1st Division, Regular Season - 6. Kick-off is Sun 18 Oct, 16:00 Lagos time. It is played at Aradippou Stadium. The referee is Christou Konstantinos.
What's at stake. Omonia Aradippou are 8th on 6 points after 5 games, 1 point behind Apoel Nicosia, 1 point clear of Omonia 29is Maiou. A win would take them above Apoel Nicosia. AEL Limassol are 3rd on 12 points after 5 games, level on points with AEK Larnaca, 1 point clear of Omonia Nicosia. A win would take them above AEK Larnaca.
Form. Omonia Aradippou have won three, drawn five and lost two of their last ten, 1.4 points a game. Their last five, newest first: L D D W D. AEL Limassol have won five, drawn one and lost four of their last ten, 1.6 points a game. Their last five, newest first: W W W L W.
The numbers. Omonia Aradippou score 1.1 and concede one a game over their last ten, with one clean sheet and two games without a goal. Omonia Aradippou average 11.0 shots (4.2 on target), 5.0 corners and 2.6 cards a game. AEL Limassol score 1.2 and concede 2.2 a game in their last five away, with one clean sheet. AEL Limassol average 10.8 shots (4.8 on target), 3.6 corners and 2.9 cards a game.
Head to head. In the last seven meetings Omonia Aradippou have won one, drawn one and lost five. Six of the seven went over 2.5 goals and both teams scored in four. In the last four, Omonia Aradippou won one and AEL Limassol won three. The last time they met, on 4 Apr 2026, it finished Omonia Aradippou 0-3 AEL Limassol: Omonia Aradippou had 12 shots to 15, 61% of the ball, six yellow cards.
Where it pulls both ways. On goals, their goals for and against point to a tight game; their records put over 2.5 goals at 57%; six of the last seven meetings went over 2.5, and the meetings settle it.
The case against. Omonia Aradippou's record still gives them 28% to win. Not everything agrees on goals: their goals for and against point to a tight game.
The read. AEL Limassol to win. An open game. Both teams' records favour AEL Limassol; the meetings favour AEL Limassol. Their records put over 2.5 goals at 57%. Six of the last seven meetings went over 2.5.
The bets. Best bet: Over 1.5 Goals at 1.25, 73% on the records (Omonia Aradippou: over 1.5 goals in 8 of 10; AEL Limassol: over 1.5 goals in 8 of 9). Backup: 2nd Half - Over/Under: Over 0.5 at 1.20. It often rescues the bet, but it is no guarantee. Leave: Omonia Aradippou or Over 1.5 Goals (the call backs AEL Limassol); Under 4.5 Goals (no unders on an open read); Under 5.5 Goals (no unders on an open read). Predicted score: Omonia Aradippou 1-2 AEL Limassol (8% chance).
Every score's chance from both teams' checked games, never cut or rescaled. The lit square is the likeliest score that fits the read (the call and an open game).