Crvena Zvezda vs FK Mladost Lucani

Match details. Superliga, Regular Season - 12. Kick-off is Sun 18 Oct, 15:00 Lagos time. It is played at Rajko Mitić Stadion, Belgrade.

What's at stake. Crvena Zvezda are 1st on 31 points after 11 games, 3 points clear of Vojvodina. FK Mladost Lucani are 7th on 17 points after 11 games, level on points with Radnik Surdulica, 2 points clear of Cukaricki. A win would take them above Radnik Surdulica.

Form. Crvena Zvezda have won nine, drawn one and lost none of their last ten, 2.8 points a game. Their last five, newest first: W W W W D. In this competition Crvena Zvezda have gone W W W W D W. FK Mladost Lucani have won four, drawn four and lost two of their last ten, 1.6 points a game. Their last five, newest first: D W L W L. In this competition FK Mladost Lucani have gone D W L W L W.

The numbers. Crvena Zvezda score 2.8 and concede 0.4 a game in their last five at home, with three clean sheets. Crvena Zvezda average 15.8 shots (6.8 on target), 4.1 corners and 2.4 cards a game, with 58% of the ball. FK Mladost Lucani score 0.6 and concede 1.6 a game in their last five away, with two clean sheets and three games without a goal. FK Mladost Lucani average 9.6 shots (2.9 on target), 3.4 corners and 2.8 cards a game, with 44% of the ball.

Head to head. In the last eight meetings Crvena Zvezda have won seven, drawn one and lost none. Six of the eight went over 2.5 goals and both teams scored in five. In the last four, Crvena Zvezda won four. The last time they met, on 20 Dec 2025, it finished Crvena Zvezda 4-0 FK Mladost Lucani: Crvena Zvezda had 25 shots to 2, 75% of the ball.

Where it pulls both ways. The prices and the records disagree: the odds board makes it 93% against the records' 70%.

The read. No firm call: Crvena Zvezda are the better side, but not at this price. An open game. Their goals for and against make Crvena Zvezda the likelier winners; Crvena Zvezda are the stronger side on form and the table; both teams' records favour Crvena Zvezda; the meetings favour Crvena Zvezda. Their goals for and against point to an open game. Their records put over 2.5 goals at 59%. Six of the last eight meetings went over 2.5.

The bets. No bet yet: nothing I'd back is priced yet. Leave: Crvena Zvezda or Under 2.5 Goals (no unders on an open read); Crvena Zvezda Over 1.5 goals (FK Mladost Lucani's own games don't back it (2 of 5)); Under 5.5 Goals (Crvena Zvezda are a clear winner, no Unders). Predicted score: Crvena Zvezda 3-0 FK Mladost Lucani (12% chance).