Match details. 1st Division, Regular Season - 6. Kick-off is Sat 17 Oct, 16:00 Lagos time. It is played at Stelios Chari Stadium, Ypsonas.
What's at stake. Krasava ENY Ypsonas FC are 14th on 0 points after 5 games, 3 points behind Anorthosis. A win would take them level on points with Anorthosis. Karmiotissa FC are 12th on 3 points after 5 games, 1 point behind Nea Salamis, level on points with Anorthosis. A win would take them above Nea Salamis.
Form. Krasava ENY Ypsonas FC have won one, drawn three and lost six of their last ten, 0.6 points a game. Their last five, newest first: W L L L L. Karmiotissa FC have won four, drawn four and lost two of their last ten, 1.6 points a game. Their last five, newest first: L D D D L.
The numbers. Krasava ENY Ypsonas FC score 0.4 and concede 1.6 a game in their last five at home, with one clean sheet and three games without a goal. Krasava ENY Ypsonas FC average 8.1 shots (3.5 on target), 2.4 corners and 2.0 cards a game. Karmiotissa FC score 1.4 and concede 1.1 a game over their last ten, with five clean sheets and four games without a goal. Karmiotissa FC average 8.4 shots (3.0 on target), 3.2 corners and 2.8 cards a game.
Head to head. Karmiotissa FC have won all of the last three meetings. Two of the three went over 2.5 goals and both teams scored in two. The last time they met, on 19 Oct 2022, it finished Krasava ENY Ypsonas FC 2-3 Karmiotissa FC.
Where it pulls both ways. On goals, their goals for and against point to a tight game; their records put over 2.5 goals at 55%; two of the last three meetings went over 2.5.
The case against. Not everything agrees on goals: their records put over 2.5 goals at 55%. Not everything agrees on goals: two of the last three meetings went over 2.5.
The read. No side to back. A tight game. Nothing separates them clearly enough to back a side. Their goals for and against point to a tight game.
The bets. Best bet: Under 3.5 Goals at 1.33, 73% on the records (Krasava ENY Ypsonas FC: under 3.5 goals in 4 of 5 at home; Karmiotissa FC: under 3.5 goals in 4 of 5). Backup: Under 1.5 first-half goals at 1.41. It often rescues the bet, but it is no guarantee. Leave: Karmiotissa FC or Under 2.5 Goals (no side to back); Krasava ENY Ypsonas FC Under 1.5 goals (Karmiotissa FC's own games don't back it (2 of 5)); Karmiotissa FC Over 0.5 goals (Karmiotissa FC's own games don't back it (2 of 5)). Predicted score: Krasava ENY Ypsonas FC 1-1 Karmiotissa FC (13% chance).
Every score's chance from both teams' checked games, never cut or rescaled. The lit square is the likeliest score that fits the read (a tight game).