Cavalry FC vs Pacific FC
Pacific FC scored under 1.5 in 4 of 6 away · Cavalry FC conceded under 1.5 in 5 of 5 at home · both last 10: 70% · H2H 5 of 6 · Pacific FC: only games against sides at Cavalry FC's level · Cavalry FC: only games against sides at Pacific FC's level
Match details. Canadian Premier League, Group Stage. Kick-off is Sat 17 Oct, 21:00 Lagos time. It is played at ATCO Field, Foothills County.
What's at stake. Cavalry FC are 1st on 54 points after 26 games, level on points with Forge. Pacific FC are 8th on 14 points after 26 games, 13 points behind York United. Pacific FC have nothing left to play for.
Form. Cavalry FC have won six, drawn two and lost two of their last ten, 2.0 points a game. Their last five, newest first: D L L W D. In this competition Cavalry FC have gone D L L W D W. Pacific FC have won two, drawn three and lost five of their last ten, 0.9 points a game. Their last five, newest first: L L L W D. In this competition Pacific FC have gone L L L W D L.
The numbers. Cavalry FC score 2.6 and concede 0.6 a game in their last five at home, with two clean sheets. Cavalry FC average 15.3 shots (5.0 on target), 5.2 corners and 3.5 cards a game, with 47% of the ball. Pacific FC score 1.2 and concede 2.7 a game in their last six away, with one clean sheet and four games without a goal. Pacific FC average 10.4 shots (3.1 on target), 3.6 corners and 1.9 cards a game, with 52% of the ball.
Head to head. In the last ten meetings Cavalry FC have won eight, drawn one and lost one. Six of the ten went over 2.5 goals and both teams scored in four. In the last four, Cavalry FC won four. The last time they met, on 13 Sep 2026, it finished Cavalry FC 1-0 Pacific FC: Cavalry FC had 19 shots to 10, 54% of the ball, two yellow cards.
Where it pulls both ways. The prices and the records disagree: the odds board makes it 85% against the records' 63%.
The read. No firm call: Cavalry FC are the better side, but not at this price. An open game. Their goals for and against make Cavalry FC the likelier winners; Cavalry FC are the stronger side on form and the table; both teams' records favour Cavalry FC; the meetings favour Cavalry FC. Their goals for and against point to an open game. Their records put over 2.5 goals at 63%. Six of the last ten meetings went over 2.5.
The bets. Best bet: Over 1.5 Goals at 1.09, 78% on the records (Cavalry FC: over 1.5 goals in 4 of 5 at home; Pacific FC: over 1.5 goals in 5 of 6 away). Full cover: Pacific FC Under 1.5 Goals at 1.20. It wins on every score where the best bet loses. Leave: Under 4.5 Goals (Cavalry FC are a clear winner, no Unders); Under 5.5 Goals (Cavalry FC are a clear winner, no Unders). Predicted score: Cavalry FC 2-1 Pacific FC (10% chance).
Every score's chance from both teams' checked games, never cut or rescaled. The lit square is the likeliest score that fits the read (an open game).