Match details. Parva Liga. Kick-off is Tue 27 Oct, 16:00 Lagos time.
Form. PFC Cherno More Varna have won two, drawn two and lost six of their last ten, 0.8 points a game. Their last five, newest first: L W L D D. FK Septemvri Sofia have won two, drawn two and lost six of their last ten, 0.8 points a game. Their last five, newest first: D L L L L.
The numbers. PFC Cherno More Varna score 1.4 and concede 1.8 a game in their last five at home, with no clean sheets and two games without a goal. PFC Cherno More Varna average 4.7 corners and 2.9 cards a game. FK Septemvri Sofia score 0.8 and concede 1.4 a game in their last five away, with one clean sheet. FK Septemvri Sofia average 3.9 corners and 2.8 cards a game.
The case against. FK Septemvri Sofia's record still gives them 42% to win.
The read. PFC Cherno More Varna to win. An open game. Their goals for and against make PFC Cherno More Varna the likelier winners; PFC Cherno More Varna are the stronger side on form and the table. Their goals for and against point to an open game. Their records put over 2.5 goals at 65%.
The bets. No bet yet: nothing I'd back is priced yet. Leave: Under 4.5 Goals (no unders on an open read); Under 5.5 Goals (no unders on an open read). Predicted score: PFC Cherno More Varna 2-1 FK Septemvri Sofia (10% chance).
PICKSONE LIST
RESULT
PFC Cherno More Varna or Both Teams ScoreIN CODES
1.19
PFC 6 of 8 (75%) · FKS 7 of 9 (78%)75.7%
PFC Cherno More Varna: the bet landed in 6 of 8 (last 10, all venues) · FK Septemvri Sofia: the bet landed in 7 of 9 (last 10, all venues) · both last 10: 76% · PFC Cherno More Varna: only games against sides at FK Septemvri Sofia's level · FK Septemvri Sofia: only games against sides at PFC Cherno More Varna's level
BOTH TEAMS SCORE
Both Teams to Score - YesLEANPAGE ONLY
2.05
PFC 6 of 8 (75%) · FKS 4 of 9 (44%)43.8%
PFC Cherno More Varna: both scored in 6 of 8 (last 10, all venues) · FK Septemvri Sofia: both scored in 4 of 9 (last 10, all venues) · both last 10: 60% · PFC Cherno More Varna: only games against sides at FK Septemvri Sofia's level · FK Septemvri Sofia: only games against sides at PFC Cherno More Varna's level
PFC CHERNO MORE VARNA GOALS
PFC Cherno More Varna Over 0.5 goalsIN CODES
1.19
PFC 6 of 8 (75%) · FKS 7 of 9 (78%)79.2%
PFC Cherno More Varna scored in 6 of 8 (last 10, all venues) · FK Septemvri Sofia conceded in 7 of 9 (last 10, all venues) · both last 10: 76% · PFC Cherno More Varna: only games against sides at FK Septemvri Sofia's level · FK Septemvri Sofia: only games against sides at PFC Cherno More Varna's level
Left off the list: Under 4.5 Goals (no unders on an open read (rule 10)); Under 5.5 Goals (no unders on an open read (rule 10))
SCORELINES
Predicted score
Predicted score 2–19.8%
PFC Cherno More Varna goals →
FK Septemvri Sofia goals ↓
0-07%
1-011%
2-011%
3-06%
4-03%
5-01%
0-15%
1-112%
2-110%
3-16%
4-13%
5-10.9%
0-23%
1-25%
2-24%
3-23%
4-21%
5-20.4%
0-30.8%
1-31%
2-31%
3-30.8%
4-30.4%
5-30.1%
0-40.2%
1-40.3%
2-40.3%
3-40.2%
4-40.1%
5-40.0%
0-50.0%
1-50.1%
2-50.1%
3-50.0%
4-50.0%
5-50.0%
Every score's chance from both teams' checked games, never cut or rescaled. The lit square is the likeliest score that fits the read (the call and an open game).
FORM · LAST 10
PFC CHERNO MORE VARNALWLDDLLWLL0.80 PPG
FK SEPTEMVRI SOFIADLLLLDWWLL0.80 PPG
THE NUMBERS
PFC CHERNO MORE VARNA HOMExFK SEPTEMVRI SOFIA AWAY
1.00SCORED A GAME0.912.00CONCEDED A GAME1.9110%CLEAN SHEETS20%4.73CORNERS A GAME3.912.91CARDS A GAME2.82
THE BANK
THE BANKER MENU
OVER 1.5 CARDS
–
649 OF 684
NO PRICE YET
The league averages 5.0+ cards a game.
Other bets the bookie sells that won 9 times in 10 or more on games like this one, in each of three spells: 20-24 Oct, 25-29 Oct and 30 Oct-2 Nov. The price is low because the bookie expects it too. A bet with no price yet, or one under 1.09, is not in any code.
THE QUALITY READ
0.40POINTS A GAME0.62-1.00GOAL DIFFERENCE A GAME-1.00-1.0SHOTS FOR MINUS AGAINST+1.00.4LAST 5: POINTS A GAME0.25LEAGUE GAMES8
No quality side: neither club is ahead on more of these.
Each club's own league games in the Bank: points, goal difference, shots for and against, the last 5. A side ahead on most of them is the quality side; its bets show what they won on games like this from 6 Oct to 2 Nov.
THE BANK'S READ
OVER 1.5 GOALS
85%
VERY GOOD · 80/83
OVER 2.5 GOALS
55%
NO · 65/78
UNDER 4.5 GOALS
90%
VERY GOOD · 85/90
PFC CHERNO MORE VARNA OR DRAW
61%
NO · 80/85
FK SEPTEMVRI SOFIA OR DRAW
76%
NO · 80/85
Each line from both sides' own league games this season, set against their league (5 and 8 games). The two numbers after each read are the line's okay and very good marks.
PFC CHERNO MORE VARNAxFK SEPTEMVRI SOFIA
5GAMES50.80SCORED A GAME1.201.80CONCEDED A GAME2.402.6GOALS IN THEIR GAMES3.680%OVER 1.5 GOALS100%40%OVER 2.5 GOALS80%60%BOTH SCORE80%6.4CARDS IN THEIR GAMES5.26.8CORNERS IN THEIR GAMES8.2
Each side's own league games in our bank before this game; "Home v Away" is the home side's home games and the away side's away games.
TRENDS
PFC Cherno More Varna have scored in 70% of their games.
FK Septemvri Sofia have scored in 70% of their games.
PFC Cherno More Varna kept a clean sheet in 10% of their games.
FK Septemvri Sofia kept a clean sheet in 20% of their games.
BUILT FROM
form · last gameshome / awaygoals for & againstclean sheetsleague tablecornerscards