Match details. Parva Liga, Regular Season - 12. Kick-off is Mon 26 Oct, 16:00 Lagos time. It is played at Stadion Lokomotiv, Plovdiv.
What's at stake. PFC Lokomotiv Plovdiv are 12th on 8 points after 11 games, 1 point behind Lokomotiv Sofia, level on points with Septemvri Sofia. A win would take them above Lokomotiv Sofia. PFC Slavia Sofia are 8th on 11 points after 11 games, 2 points behind Spartak Varna, level on points with Dunav Ruse. A win would take them above Spartak Varna.
Form. PFC Lokomotiv Plovdiv have won three, drawn two and lost five of their last ten, 1.1 points a game. Their last five, newest first: W W D D L. PFC Slavia Sofia have won three, drawn four and lost three of their last ten, 1.3 points a game. Their last five, newest first: W L L D W.
The numbers. PFC Lokomotiv Plovdiv score 0.7 and concede 1.1 a game over their last ten, with three clean sheets and four games without a goal. PFC Lokomotiv Plovdiv average 8.3 shots (3.3 on target), 3.9 corners and 3.0 cards a game, with 37% of the ball. PFC Slavia Sofia score 1.6 and concede 0.4 a game in their last five away, with three clean sheets. PFC Slavia Sofia average 5.8 shots (3.0 on target), 3.9 corners and 3.2 cards a game, with 42% of the ball.
Head to head. In the last nine meetings PFC Lokomotiv Plovdiv have won six, drawn one and lost two. Five of the nine went over 2.5 goals and both teams scored in five. In the last four, PFC Lokomotiv Plovdiv won three and PFC Slavia Sofia won one. The last time they met, on 8 Feb 2026, it finished PFC Lokomotiv Plovdiv 2-0 PFC Slavia Sofia.
Where it pulls both ways. On goals, their goals for and against point to a tight game; their records put over 2.5 goals at 34%; five of the last nine meetings went over 2.5.
The case against. PFC Slavia Sofia's record still gives them 40% to win. Not everything agrees on goals: five of the last nine meetings went over 2.5.
The read. PFC Lokomotiv Plovdiv to win. A draw is live. A tight game. Their goals for and against make PFC Lokomotiv Plovdiv the likelier winners; the meetings favour PFC Lokomotiv Plovdiv. Their goals for and against point to a tight game. Their records put over 2.5 goals at 34%.
The bets. Best bet: Under 3.5 Goals at 1.18, 76% on the records (PFC Lokomotiv Plovdiv: under 3.5 goals in 8 of 8; PFC Slavia Sofia: under 3.5 goals in 9 of 9). Backup: PFC Lokomotiv Plovdiv or Under 2.5 Goals at 1.16. It often rescues the bet, but it is no guarantee. Leave: PFC Slavia Sofia or Under 2.5 Goals (the call backs PFC Lokomotiv Plovdiv); Over 0.5 Goals (no overs on a tight read). Predicted score: PFC Lokomotiv Plovdiv 1-0 PFC Slavia Sofia (12% chance).
Every score's chance from both teams' checked games, never cut or rescaled. The lit square is the likeliest score that fits the read (the call and a tight game).