FMFKM

18:00Sat 17 Oct

OFK

FK Macva Sabac vs OFK Beograd

CLASS B

THE READ

Match details. Superliga, Regular Season - 12. Kick-off is Sat 17 Oct, 18:00 Lagos time. It is played at Stadion FK Mačva, Šabac.

What's at stake. FK Macva Sabac are 12th on 9 points after 11 games, 1 point behind OFK Beograd, 1 point clear of Radnicki NIS. A win would take them above OFK Beograd. OFK Beograd are 11th on 10 points after 11 games, 1 point behind FK Partizan, 1 point clear of Macva. A win would take them above FK Partizan.

Form. FK Macva Sabac have won two, drawn three and lost five of their last ten, 0.9 points a game. Their last five, newest first: D L L D D. In this competition FK Macva Sabac have gone D L L D D W. OFK Beograd have won two, drawn four and lost four of their last ten, 1.0 points a game. Their last five, newest first: D L L D L. In this competition OFK Beograd have gone D L L D L W.

The numbers. FK Macva Sabac score 0.8 and concede one a game in their last five at home, with three clean sheets. FK Macva Sabac average 9.2 shots (2.5 on target), 2.5 corners and 2.6 cards a game, with 42% of the ball. OFK Beograd score 1.2 and concede 1.8 a game in their last five away, with one clean sheet and two games without a goal. OFK Beograd average 11.5 shots (3.4 on target), 3.1 corners and 2.6 cards a game, with 55% of the ball.

Head to head. In the last five meetings FK Macva Sabac have won three, drawn one and lost one. Two of the five went over 2.5 goals and both teams scored in two. In the last four, FK Macva Sabac won two, one was drawn and OFK Beograd won one. The last time they met, on 7 May 2024, it finished FK Macva Sabac 2-0 OFK Beograd.

The case against. OFK Beograd's record still gives them 29% to win.

The read. FK Macva Sabac to win. A tight game. Their goals for and against make FK Macva Sabac the likelier winners; both teams' records favour FK Macva Sabac. Their goals for and against point to a tight game. Their records put over 2.5 goals at 46%. Three of the last five meetings went under 2.5.

The bets. No bet yet: nothing I'd back is priced yet. Leave: Over 1.5 Goals (no overs on a tight read); FK Macva Sabac or Over 1.5 Goals (no overs on a tight read); Over 0.5 Goals (no overs on a tight read). Predicted score: FK Macva Sabac 1-0 OFK Beograd (11% chance).

PICKSONE LIST

GOALS

Under 5.5 GoalsPAGE ONLY

no price yet

FKM 5 of 5 (100%) · OFK 5 of 5 (100%)95.9%

FK Macva Sabac: under 5.5 goals in 5 of 5 at home · OFK Beograd: under 5.5 goals in 5 of 5 away · both last 10: 95% · H2H 5 of 5 · FK Macva Sabac: only games against sides at OFK Beograd's level · OFK Beograd: only games against sides at FK Macva Sabac's level

Under 4.5 GoalsPAGE ONLY

no price yet

FKM 5 of 5 (100%) · OFK 4 of 5 (80%)89.7%

FK Macva Sabac: under 4.5 goals in 5 of 5 at home · OFK Beograd: under 4.5 goals in 4 of 5 away · both last 10: 90% · H2H 5 of 5 · FK Macva Sabac: only games against sides at OFK Beograd's level · OFK Beograd: only games against sides at FK Macva Sabac's level

FK MACVA SABAC GOALS

FK Macva Sabac Over 0.5 goalsIN CODES

1.47

FKM 4 of 5 (80%) · OFK 4 of 5 (80%)74.3%

FK Macva Sabac scored in 4 of 5 at home · OFK Beograd conceded in 4 of 5 away · both last 10: 70% · H2H 5 of 5 · FK Macva Sabac: only games against sides at OFK Beograd's level · OFK Beograd: only games against sides at FK Macva Sabac's level

HALVES

Under 1.5 first-half goalsPAGE ONLY

1.38

FKM 5 of 5 (100%) · OFK 4 of 5 (80%)85%

FK Macva Sabac: the bet landed in 5 of 5 at home · OFK Beograd: the bet landed in 4 of 5 away · both last 10: 80% · H2H 4 of 5 · on half-time scores · FK Macva Sabac: only games against sides at OFK Beograd's level · OFK Beograd: only games against sides at FK Macva Sabac's level

CARDS

Over 3.5 CardsPAGE ONLY

no price yet

FKM 6 of 8 (75%) · OFK 8 of 8 (100%)87.5%

FK Macva Sabac's games: over 3.5 cards in 6 of 8 (last 10, all venues) · OFK Beograd's games: over 3.5 cards in 8 of 8 (last 10, all venues) · both last 10: 88% · FK Macva Sabac: only games against sides at OFK Beograd's level · OFK Beograd: only games against sides at FK Macva Sabac's level

Left off the list: Over 1.5 Goals (no overs on a tight read (rule 10)); FK Macva Sabac or Over 1.5 Goals (no overs on a tight read (rule 10)); Over 0.5 Goals (no overs on a tight read (rule 10))

SCORELINES

Predicted score

Predicted score 1–0 10.8%

FK Macva Sabac goals →

OFK Beograd goals ↓

0-08%

1-011%

2-09%

3-04%

4-02%

5-00.5%

0-17%

1-113%

2-19%

3-15%

4-12%

5-10.5%

0-24%

1-27%

2-25%

3-22%

4-20.9%

5-20.3%

0-32%

1-32%

2-32%

3-30.9%

4-30.3%

5-30.1%

0-40.4%

1-40.6%

2-40.5%

3-40.2%

4-40.1%

5-40.0%

0-50.1%

1-50.1%

2-50.1%

3-50.0%

4-50.0%

5-50.0%

Every score's chance from both teams' checked games, never cut or rescaled. The lit square is the likeliest score that fits the read (the call and a tight game).

FORM · LAST 10

FK MACVA SABACLLWLWDDLLD0.90 PPG

OFK BEOGRADDWDLWLDLLD1.00 PPG

THE NUMBERS

FK MACVA SABAC HOMExOFK BEOGRAD AWAY

0.80SCORED A GAME1.301.40CONCEDED A GAME1.7030%CLEAN SHEETS30%36%FAILED TO SCORE36%2.50CORNERS A GAME3.122.62CARDS A GAME2.620.71xG0.972.11xG AGAINST1.31

THE BANK

THE BANKER MENU

OVER 1.5 CARDS

–

649 OF 684

NO PRICE YET

The league averages 5.0+ cards a game.

Other bets the bookie sells that won 9 times in 10 or more on games like this one, in each of three spells: 20-24 Oct, 25-29 Oct and 30 Oct-2 Nov. The price is low because the bookie expects it too. A bet with no price yet, or one under 1.09, is not in any code.

THE QUALITY READ

0.82POINTS A GAME0.91-1.00GOAL DIFFERENCE A GAME-0.73-5.4SHOTS FOR MINUS AGAINST-3.00.6LAST 5: POINTS A GAME0.411LEAGUE GAMES11

No quality side: neither club is ahead on more of these.

Each club's own league games in the Bank: points, goal difference, shots for and against, the last 5. A side ahead on most of them is the quality side; its bets show what they won on games like this from 6 Oct to 2 Nov.

THE BANK'S READ

OVER 1.5 GOALS

73%

NO · 80/83

OVER 2.5 GOALS

49%

NO · 65/78

UNDER 4.5 GOALS

86%

OKAY · 85/90

FK MACVA SABAC OR DRAW

72%

NO · 80/85

OFK BEOGRAD OR DRAW

46%

NO · 80/85

Each line from both sides' own league games this season, set against their league (11 and 11 games). The two numbers after each read are the line's okay and very good marks.

FK MACVA SABACxOFK BEOGRAD

5GAMES60.80SCORED A GAME1.001.00CONCEDED A GAME2.171.8GOALS IN THEIR GAMES3.240%OVER 1.5 GOALS83%40%OVER 2.5 GOALS67%40%BOTH SCORE50%–CARDS IN THEIR GAMES––CORNERS IN THEIR GAMES–

Each side's own league games in our bank before this game; "Home v Away" is the home side's home games and the away side's away games.

HEAD TO HEAD · LAST 5

FK MACVA SABAC 3 · 60%DRAW 1OFK BEOGRAD 1 · 20%

2 of 5BOTH TEAMS SCORED

4 of 5OVER 1.5 GOALS

2 of 5OVER 2.5 GOALS

0 of 5OVER 3.5 GOALS

2016-10-15FK Macva Sabac 1 – 0 OFK Beograd

2017-05-03FK Macva Sabac 3 – 0 OFK Beograd

2023-11-05FK Macva Sabac 1 – 2 OFK Beograd

2024-04-13FK Macva Sabac 1 – 1 OFK Beograd

2024-05-07FK Macva Sabac 2 – 0 OFK Beograd

TRENDS

FK Macva Sabac have scored in 70% of their games.

OFK Beograd have scored in 70% of their games.

FK Macva Sabac kept a clean sheet in 30% of their games.

OFK Beograd kept a clean sheet in 30% of their games.

BUILT FROM

form · last gameshome / awaygoals for & againstxG & xGAclean sheetshead to headleague tablecornerscards