Match details. Parva Liga, Regular Season - 12. Kick-off is Mon 26 Oct, 18:30 Lagos time. It is played at Balgarska Armiya Stadium, Sofia.
What's at stake. PFC CSKA Sofia are 2nd on 27 points after 11 games, 1 point behind Levski Sofia, 1 point clear of Ludogorets. A win would take them above Levski Sofia. Ludogorets are 3rd on 26 points after 10 games, 1 point behind CSKA Sofia, 1 point clear of CSKA 1948. A win would take them above CSKA Sofia.
Form. PFC CSKA Sofia have won six, drawn three and lost one of their last ten, 2.1 points a game. Their last five, newest first: D W L W D. Ludogorets have won seven, drawn three and lost none of their last ten, 2.4 points a game. Their last five, newest first: W W W W D.
The numbers. PFC CSKA Sofia score 2.3 and concede 1.2 a game over their last ten, with two clean sheets. PFC CSKA Sofia average 18.0 shots (9.0 on target), 6.8 corners and 2.8 cards a game, with 53% of the ball. Ludogorets score 2.3 and concede 0.9 a game over their last ten, with three clean sheets. Ludogorets average 12.4 shots (5.2 on target), 5.3 corners and 2.4 cards a game, with 57% of the ball.
Head to head. In the last ten meetings PFC CSKA Sofia have won two, drawn three and lost five. Four of the ten went over 2.5 goals and both teams scored in three. In the last four, PFC CSKA Sofia won two, one was drawn and Ludogorets won one. The last time they met, on 25 May 2026, it finished PFC CSKA Sofia 0-1 Ludogorets.
Where it pulls both ways. On goals, their goals for and against point to an open game; their records put over 2.5 goals at 50%; six of the last ten meetings went under 2.5.
The read. No side to back. Nothing separates them clearly enough to back a side.
The bets. No bet on this one: too close to call. Leave: PFC CSKA Sofia or Over 2.5 Goals (no result call); Ludogorets or Over 2.5 Goals (no result call); PFC CSKA Sofia or Over 1.5 Goals (no result call). Predicted score: PFC CSKA Sofia 1-1 Ludogorets (13% chance).
Every score's chance from both teams' checked games, never cut or rescaled. The lit square is the likeliest score that fits the read (the Model's table).