Match details. Parva Liga, Regular Season - 12. Kick-off is Fri 23 Oct, 17:00 Lagos time. It is played at Bistritsa Stadium, a neutral ground.
What's at stake. FC CSKA 1948 are 4th on 22 points after 11 games, 4 points behind Ludogorets, 3 points clear of Botev Plovdiv. Botev Plovdiv are 5th on 19 points after 11 games, 3 points behind CSKA 1948, 2 points clear of Arda Kardzhali. A win would take them level on points with CSKA 1948.
Form. FC CSKA 1948 have won six, drawn one and lost three of their last ten, 1.9 points a game. Their last five, newest first: W L W W L. Botev Plovdiv have won seven, drawn none and lost three of their last ten, 2.1 points a game. Their last five, newest first: W W W W W.
The numbers. FC CSKA 1948 score two and concede one a game over their last ten, with two clean sheets and two games without a goal. FC CSKA 1948 average 13.5 shots (7.2 on target), 4.5 corners and 1.4 cards a game, with 49% of the ball. Botev Plovdiv score 1.9 and concede one a game over their last ten, with five clean sheets and two games without a goal. Botev Plovdiv average 11.0 shots (4.7 on target), 3.9 corners and 2.0 cards a game, with 53% of the ball.
Head to head. In the last nine meetings FC CSKA 1948 have won five, drawn three and lost one. Four of the nine went over 2.5 goals and both teams scored in three. In the last four, FC CSKA 1948 won two, one was drawn and Botev Plovdiv won one. The last time they met, on 8 Mar 2026, it finished FC CSKA 1948 0-0 Botev Plovdiv: FC CSKA 1948 had 14 shots to 14, 51% of the ball, five yellow cards.
Where it pulls both ways. On goals, their goals for and against point to a tight game; their records put over 2.5 goals at 55%; five of the last nine meetings went under 2.5.
The case against. Botev Plovdiv's record still gives them 42% to win. Not everything agrees on goals: their records put over 2.5 goals at 55%.
The read. FC CSKA 1948 to win. A draw is live. A tight game. Both teams' records favour FC CSKA 1948; the meetings favour FC CSKA 1948. Their goals for and against point to a tight game. Five of the last nine meetings went under 2.5.
The bets. Best bet: Under 3.5 Goals at 1.37, 79% on the records (FC CSKA 1948: under 3.5 goals in 5 of 8; Botev Plovdiv: under 3.5 goals in 5 of 8). Backup: FC CSKA 1948 or Under 2.5 Goals at 1.23. It often rescues the bet, but it is no guarantee. Leave: Over 0.5 Goals (no overs on a tight read). Predicted score: FC CSKA 1948 1-0 Botev Plovdiv (12% chance).
Every score's chance from both teams' checked games, never cut or rescaled. The lit square is the likeliest score that fits the read (the call and a tight game).