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LATVIA - VIRSLIGA
FK Grobina crestFGFKG
12:00Sat 17 Oct
OGROgre United crestOU

FK Grobina vs Ogre United

CLASS B
THE READ

Match details. Virsliga, Regular Season - 33. Kick-off is Sat 17 Oct, 12:00 Lagos time. It is played at Grobiņas stadionā.

What's at stake. FK Grobina are 8th on 26 points after 32 games, 6 points behind FS Jelgava, 2 points clear of Tukums. Ogre United are 10th on 18 points after 32 games, 6 points behind Tukums. FK Grobina have nothing left to play for. Ogre United have nothing left to play for.

Form. FK Grobina have won one, drawn three and lost six of their last ten, 0.6 points a game. Their last five, newest first: L D D L W. In this competition FK Grobina have gone L D D L W L. Ogre United have won one, drawn two and lost seven of their last ten, 0.5 points a game. Their last five, newest first: L W L D L. In this competition Ogre United have gone L W L D L L.

The numbers. FK Grobina score 0.7 and concede 2.1 a game over their last ten, with two clean sheets and four games without a goal. FK Grobina average 3.9 corners and 2.6 cards a game. Ogre United score one and concede 2.3 a game over their last ten, with one clean sheet and three games without a goal. Ogre United average 3.5 corners and 2.1 cards a game.

Head to head. In the last three meetings FK Grobina have won none, drawn three and lost none. One of the three went over 2.5 goals and both teams scored in three. The last time they met, on 27 Jul 2026, it finished FK Grobina 2-2 Ogre United.

Where it pulls both ways. On goals, their goals for and against point to a tight game; their records put over 2.5 goals at 60%; two of the last three meetings went under 2.5.

The case against. Ogre United's record still gives them 30% to win. Not everything agrees on goals: their goals for and against point to a tight game. Not everything agrees on goals: two of the last three meetings went under 2.5.

The read. FK Grobina to win. An open game. Their goals for and against make FK Grobina the likelier winners; FK Grobina are the stronger side on form and the table. Their records put over 2.5 goals at 60%.

The bets. No bet yet: nothing I'd back is priced yet. Leave: Ogre United Under 1.5 goals (FK Grobina's own games don't back it (4 of 10)); FK Grobina Over 1.5 goals (FK Grobina's own games don't back it (1 of 10)); Under 4.5 Goals (FK Grobina are a clear winner, no Unders). Predicted score: FK Grobina 2-1 Ogre United (9% chance).

PICKSONE LIST
RESULT
FK Grobina or Over 1.5 GoalsPAGE ONLY
no price yet
FKG 8 of 10 (80%) · OGR 9 of 10 (90%)90.3%
FK Grobina: the bet landed in 8 of 10 (last 10, all venues) · Ogre United: the bet landed in 9 of 10 (last 10, all venues) · both last 10: 85% · H2H 3 of 3 · FK Grobina: only games against sides at Ogre United's level · Ogre United: only games against sides at FK Grobina's level
FK Grobina or Both Teams ScoreIN CODES
1.15
FKG 6 of 10 (60%) · OGR 9 of 10 (90%)83.9%
FK Grobina: the bet landed in 6 of 10 (last 10, all venues) · Ogre United: the bet landed in 9 of 10 (last 10, all venues) · both last 10: 75% · H2H 3 of 3 · FK Grobina: only games against sides at Ogre United's level · Ogre United: only games against sides at FK Grobina's level
Double Chance: FK Grobina or DrawPAGE ONLY
1.23
FKG 4 of 10 (40%) · OGR 9 of 10 (90%)79.4%
FK Grobina unbeaten in 4 of 10 (last 10, all venues) · Ogre United failed to win 9 of 10 (last 10, all venues) · both last 10: 65% · H2H 3 of 3 · FK Grobina: only games against sides at Ogre United's level · Ogre United: only games against sides at FK Grobina's level
FK Grobina or Over 2.5 GoalsPAGE ONLY
1.28
FKG 6 of 10 (60%) · OGR 9 of 10 (90%)70.5%
FK Grobina: the bet landed in 6 of 10 (last 10, all venues) · Ogre United: the bet landed in 9 of 10 (last 10, all venues) · both last 10: 75% · H2H 1 of 3 · FK Grobina: only games against sides at Ogre United's level · Ogre United: only games against sides at FK Grobina's level
FK Grobina or Draw (1UP)LEANPAGE ONLY
1.17
FKG 3 of 5 (60%) · OGR 4 of 9 (44%)68.1%
FK Grobina scored first 2 of last 5, led or was unbeaten in 3 · led or was unbeaten in 4 of 9 (last 10, all venues) · Ogre United trailed or failed to win in 5 of 5 away
FK Grobina or Draw & Over 1.5LEANPAGE ONLY
1.45
FKG 2 of 10 (20%) · OGR 8 of 10 (80%)67.8%
FK Grobina: the bet landed in 2 of 10 (last 10, all venues) · Ogre United: the bet landed in 8 of 10 (last 10, all venues) · both last 10: 50% · H2H 3 of 3 · FK Grobina: only games against sides at Ogre United's level · Ogre United: only games against sides at FK Grobina's level
FK Grobina or draw and over 2.5 goalsLEANPAGE ONLY
2.10
FKG 1 of 10 (10%) · OGR 8 of 10 (80%)51.2%
FK Grobina: the bet landed in 1 of 10 (last 10, all venues) · Ogre United: the bet landed in 8 of 10 (last 10, all venues) · both last 10: 45% · H2H 1 of 3 · FK Grobina: only games against sides at Ogre United's level · Ogre United: only games against sides at FK Grobina's level
GOALS
Over 1.5 GoalsIN CODES
1.22
FKG 7 of 10 (70%) · OGR 8 of 10 (80%)80.9%
FK Grobina: over 1.5 goals in 7 of 10 (last 10, all venues) · Ogre United: over 1.5 goals in 8 of 10 (last 10, all venues) · both last 10: 75% · H2H 3 of 3 · FK Grobina: only games against sides at Ogre United's level · Ogre United: only games against sides at FK Grobina's level
Over 2.5 GoalsLEANPAGE ONLY
1.72
FKG 5 of 10 (50%) · OGR 8 of 10 (80%)55.4%
FK Grobina: over 2.5 goals in 5 of 10 (last 10, all venues) · Ogre United: over 2.5 goals in 8 of 10 (last 10, all venues) · both last 10: 65% · H2H 1 of 3 · FK Grobina: only games against sides at Ogre United's level · Ogre United: only games against sides at FK Grobina's level
BOTH TEAMS SCORE
Both Teams to Score - YesLEANPAGE ONLY
1.59
FKG 5 of 10 (50%) · OGR 6 of 10 (60%)52.3%
FK Grobina: both scored in 5 of 10 (last 10, all venues) · Ogre United: both scored in 6 of 10 (last 10, all venues) · both last 10: 55% · H2H 3 of 3 · FK Grobina: only games against sides at Ogre United's level · Ogre United: only games against sides at FK Grobina's level
FK GROBINA GOALS
FK Grobina Over 0.5 goalsIN CODES
1.16
FKG 6 of 10 (60%) · OGR 9 of 10 (90%)83.5%
FK Grobina scored in 6 of 10 (last 10, all venues) · Ogre United conceded in 9 of 10 (last 10, all venues) · both last 10: 75% · H2H 3 of 3 · FK Grobina: only games against sides at Ogre United's level · Ogre United: only games against sides at FK Grobina's level
OGRE UNITED GOALS
Ogre United Over 0.5 goalsLEANPAGE ONLY
1.40
FKG 7 of 10 (70%) · OGR 8 of 10 (80%)63%
Ogre United scored in 7 of 10 (last 10, all venues) · FK Grobina conceded in 8 of 10 (last 10, all venues) · both last 10: 75% · H2H 3 of 3 · Ogre United: only games against sides at FK Grobina's level · FK Grobina: only games against sides at Ogre United's level
HALVES
Under 2.5 first-half goalsPAGE ONLY
1.12
FKG 9 of 10 (90%) · OGR 8 of 10 (80%)87.1%
FK Grobina: the bet landed in 9 of 10 (last 10, all venues) · Ogre United: the bet landed in 8 of 10 (last 10, all venues) · both last 10: 85% · H2H 3 of 3 · on half-time scores · FK Grobina: only games against sides at Ogre United's level · Ogre United: only games against sides at FK Grobina's level
1st Half - GG/NG: NoPAGE ONLY
1.21
FKG 9 of 10 (90%) · OGR 7 of 10 (70%)78.1%
FK Grobina: the bet landed in 9 of 10 (last 10, all venues) · Ogre United: the bet landed in 7 of 10 (last 10, all venues) · both last 10: 80% · H2H 2 of 3 · on half-time scores · FK Grobina: only games against sides at Ogre United's level · Ogre United: only games against sides at FK Grobina's level
2nd Half - Over/Under: Over 0.5PAGE ONLY
1.19
FKG 9 of 10 (90%) · OGR 7 of 10 (70%)78.1%
FK Grobina: the bet landed in 9 of 10 (last 10, all venues) · Ogre United: the bet landed in 7 of 10 (last 10, all venues) · both last 10: 80% · H2H 2 of 3 · on half-time scores · FK Grobina: only games against sides at Ogre United's level · Ogre United: only games against sides at FK Grobina's level
Under 1.5 first-half goalsLEANPAGE ONLY
1.51
FKG 7 of 10 (70%) · OGR 6 of 10 (60%)60.5%
FK Grobina: the bet landed in 7 of 10 (last 10, all venues) · Ogre United: the bet landed in 6 of 10 (last 10, all venues) · both last 10: 65% · H2H 1 of 3 · on half-time scores · FK Grobina: only games against sides at Ogre United's level · Ogre United: only games against sides at FK Grobina's level
Left off the list: Ogre United Under 1.5 goals (FK Grobina's own games don't back it (4 of 10)); FK Grobina Over 1.5 goals (FK Grobina's own games don't back it (1 of 10)); Under 4.5 Goals (FK Grobina are a clear winner - no Unders); Under 5.5 Goals (FK Grobina are a clear winner - no Unders)
SCORELINES
Predicted score
Predicted score 2–1 9.2%
FK Grobina goals →
Ogre United goals ↓
0-08%
1-010%
2-08%
3-04%
4-02%
5-00.5%
0-17%
1-113%
2-19%
3-15%
4-12%
5-10.5%
0-24%
1-27%
2-25%
3-23%
4-21.0%
5-20.3%
0-32%
1-33%
2-32%
3-31.0%
4-30.4%
5-30.1%
0-40.5%
1-40.7%
2-40.5%
3-40.3%
4-40.1%
5-40.0%
0-50.1%
1-50.2%
2-50.1%
3-50.1%
4-50.0%
5-50.0%

Every score's chance from both teams' checked games, never cut or rescaled. The lit square is the likeliest score that fits the read (the call and an open game).

FORM · LAST 10
FK GROBINALDLLLWLDDL0.60 PPG
OGRE UNITEDLDLLLLDLWL0.50 PPG
THE NUMBERS
FK GROBINA HOMExOGRE UNITED AWAY
0.70SCORED A GAME1.002.10CONCEDED A GAME2.3020%CLEAN SHEETS10%47%FAILED TO SCORE31%3.94CORNERS A GAME3.472.65CARDS A GAME2.09
THE BANK
THE QUALITY READ
0.82POINTS A GAME0.89-1.09GOAL DIFFERENCE A GAME-1.11-4.5SHOTS FOR MINUS AGAINST-5.61.0LAST 5: POINTS A GAME0.811LEAGUE GAMES9
No quality side: neither club is ahead on more of these.
Each club's own league games in the Bank: points, goal difference, shots for and against, the last 5. A side ahead on most of them is the quality side; its bets show what they won on games like this from 6 Oct to 2 Nov.
THE BANK'S READ
OVER 1.5 GOALS
84%
VERY GOOD · 80/83
OVER 2.5 GOALS
78%
OKAY · 65/78
UNDER 4.5 GOALS
91%
VERY GOOD · 85/90
FK GROBINA OR DRAW
86%
VERY GOOD · 80/85
OGRE UNITED OR DRAW
50%
NO · 80/85
Each line from both sides' own league games this season, set against their league (11 and 9 games). The two numbers after each read are the line's okay and very good marks.
FK GROBINAxOGRE UNITED
5GAMES50.60SCORED A GAME1.000.80CONCEDED A GAME1.801.4GOALS IN THEIR GAMES2.840%OVER 1.5 GOALS80%20%OVER 2.5 GOALS80%40%BOTH SCORE60%5.0CARDS IN THEIR GAMES4.89.4CORNERS IN THEIR GAMES11.8
Each side's own league games in our bank before this game; "Home v Away" is the home side's home games and the away side's away games.
HEAD TO HEAD · LAST 3
FK GROBINA 0 · 0%DRAW 3OGRE UNITED 0 · 0%
3 of 3BOTH TEAMS SCORED
3 of 3OVER 1.5 GOALS
1 of 3OVER 2.5 GOALS
1 of 3OVER 3.5 GOALS
2026-04-13FK Grobina 1 – 1 Ogre United
2026-05-25FK Grobina 1 – 1 Ogre United
2026-07-27FK Grobina 2 – 2 Ogre United
TRENDS
FK Grobina have scored in 70% of their games.
Ogre United have scored in 80% of their games.
FK Grobina kept a clean sheet in 20% of their games.
Ogre United kept a clean sheet in 10% of their games.
BUILT FROM
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