Edinburgh City FC vs St Mirren B
Match details. Challenge Cup. Kick-off is Tue 13 Oct, 19:45 Lagos time.
Form. Edinburgh City FC have won four, drawn three and lost three of their last ten, 1.5 points a game. Their last five, newest first: L D L W W. St Mirren B have won four, drawn one and lost five of their last ten, 1.3 points a game. Their last five, newest first: W L L W W.
The numbers. Edinburgh City FC score 2.2 and concede 1.6 a game in their last five at home, with one clean sheet. Edinburgh City FC average 0.0 cards a game. St Mirren B score 2.1 and concede 1.9 a game in their last ten away, with no clean sheets and two games without a goal. St Mirren B average 0.0 cards a game.
Where it pulls both ways. It pulls both ways: St Mirren B are the stronger side on form and the table, but both teams' records favour Edinburgh City FC.
The read. No side to back. An open game. Nothing separates them clearly enough to back a side. Their goals for and against point to an open game. Their records put over 2.5 goals at 60%.
The bets. No bet yet: nothing I'd back is priced yet. Leave: St Mirren B or Over 2.5 Goals (no result call); St Mirren B or Draw (1UP) (no result call); Under 4.5 Goals (no unders on an open read). Predicted score: Edinburgh City FC 2-1 St Mirren B (8% chance).
Every score's chance from both teams' checked games, never cut or rescaled. The lit square is the likeliest score that fits the read (an open game).