SCOTLAND - CHALLENGE CUP
19:45Tue 13 Oct
KEL
KH
East Kilbride FC vs Kelty Hearts FC
CLASS D
THE READ
Match details. Challenge Cup, Group Stage - 6. Kick-off is Tue 13 Oct, 19:45 Lagos time. It is played at K-Park Training Academy, East Kilbride.
Form. East Kilbride FC have won five, drawn two and lost three of their last ten, 1.7 points a game. Their last five, newest first: D W L D W. Kelty Hearts FC have won four, drawn none and lost six of their last ten, 1.2 points a game. Their last five, newest first: L W W L L.
The numbers. East Kilbride FC score 2.2 and concede 1.6 a game in their last five at home, with no clean sheets. East Kilbride FC average 1.8 shots (0.6 on target), 1.2 corners and 0.6 cards a game. Kelty Hearts FC score 1.4 and concede 1.6 a game in their last five away, with two clean sheets. Kelty Hearts FC average 0.0 cards a game.
The case against. Kelty Hearts FC's record still gives them 32% to win.
The read. East Kilbride FC to win. An open game. East Kilbride FC are the stronger side on form and the table; both teams' records favour East Kilbride FC. Their goals for and against point to an open game. Their records put over 2.5 goals at 75%.
The bets. No bet yet: nothing I'd back is priced yet. Leave: East Kilbride FC Win & Over 1.5 (the signs point different ways); Under 4.5 Goals (no unders on an open read); East Kilbride FC or draw and over 2.5 goals (the signs point different ways). Predicted score: East Kilbride FC 2-1 Kelty Hearts FC (9% chance).
PICKSONE LIST
RESULT
East Kilbride FC or Over 1.5 GoalsPAGE ONLY
no price yet
EAS 4 of 5 (80%) · KEL 5 of 5 (100%)92.7%
East Kilbride FC: the bet landed in 4 of 5 at home · Kelty Hearts FC: the bet landed in 5 of 5 away · both last 10: 95%
East Kilbride FC or Over 2.5 GoalsIN CODES
1.10
EAS 4 of 5 (80%) · KEL 4 of 5 (80%)85.4%
East Kilbride FC: the bet landed in 4 of 5 at home · Kelty Hearts FC: the bet landed in 4 of 5 away · both last 10: 90%
East Kilbride FC or Draw (1UP)PAGE ONLY
no price yet
EAS 4 of 5 (80%) · KEL 4 of 5 (80%)73.3%
East Kilbride FC scored first 3 of last 5, led or was unbeaten in 4 · led or was unbeaten in 4 of 5 at home · Kelty Hearts FC trailed or failed to win in 3 of 5 away
East Kilbride FC 1UPPAGE ONLY
no price yet
EAS 4 of 5 (80%) · KEL 4 of 5 (80%)73.3%
East Kilbride FC scored first 3 of last 5, led in 4 · led in 4 of 5 at home · Kelty Hearts FC trailed in 3 of 5 away
East Kilbride FC or Draw & Over 1.5LEANPAGE ONLY
1.19
EAS 4 of 5 (80%) · KEL 3 of 5 (60%)72.3%
East Kilbride FC: the bet landed in 4 of 5 at home · Kelty Hearts FC: the bet landed in 3 of 5 away · both last 10: 65%
East Kilbride FC (Draw No Bet)LEANPAGE ONLY
1.19
EAS 5 of 8 (62%) · KEL 3 of 5 (60%)66.1%
East Kilbride FC won 5 of 8 (last 10, all venues) (draws left out) · Kelty Hearts FC lost 3 of 5 away (draws left out) · both last 10: 61% · won 5, refunded 2, lost 3
GOALS
Over 0.5 GoalsPAGE ONLY
no price yet
EAS 5 of 5 (100%) · KEL 5 of 5 (100%)100%
East Kilbride FC: over 0.5 goals in 5 of 5 at home · Kelty Hearts FC: over 0.5 goals in 5 of 5 away · both last 10: 100%
Over 2.5 GoalsIN CODES
1.29
EAS 4 of 5 (80%) · KEL 3 of 5 (60%)78.1%
East Kilbride FC: over 2.5 goals in 4 of 5 at home · Kelty Hearts FC: over 2.5 goals in 3 of 5 away · both last 10: 85%
BOTH TEAMS SCORE
Both Teams to Score - YesLEANPAGE ONLY
1.41
EAS 4 of 5 (80%) · KEL 2 of 5 (40%)61.6%
East Kilbride FC: both scored in 4 of 5 at home · Kelty Hearts FC: both scored in 2 of 5 away · both last 10: 70%
EAST KILBRIDE FC GOALS
East Kilbride FC Over 0.5 GoalsPAGE ONLY
no price yet
EAS 4 of 5 (80%) · KEL 3 of 5 (60%)76.6%
East Kilbride FC scored in 4 of 5 at home · Kelty Hearts FC conceded in 3 of 5 away · both last 10: 80%
East Kilbride FC Over 1.5 GoalsIN CODES
1.28
EAS 4 of 5 (80%) · KEL 3 of 5 (60%)73.8%
East Kilbride FC scored over 1.5 in 4 of 5 at home · Kelty Hearts FC conceded over 1.5 in 3 of 5 away · both last 10: 70%
KELTY HEARTS FC GOALS
Kelty Hearts FC Over 0.5 GoalsIN CODES
1.33
EAS 4 of 5 (80%) · KEL 5 of 5 (100%)85%
Kelty Hearts FC scored in 4 of 5 away · East Kilbride FC conceded in 5 of 5 at home · both last 10: 90%
Kelty Hearts FC Under 1.5 goalsLEANPAGE ONLY
1.45
EAS 3 of 5 (60%) · KEL 3 of 5 (60%)55.9%
Kelty Hearts FC scored under 1.5 in 3 of 5 away · East Kilbride FC conceded under 1.5 in 3 of 5 at home · both last 10: 50%
HALVES
Over 0.5 first-half goalsPAGE ONLY
1.16
EAS 4 of 5 (80%) · KEL 5 of 5 (100%)91.7%
East Kilbride FC: the bet landed in 4 of 5 at home · Kelty Hearts FC: the bet landed in 5 of 5 away · both last 10: 95% · on half-time scores
2nd Half - Over/Under: Over 0.5PAGE ONLY
1.09
EAS 4 of 5 (80%) · KEL 4 of 5 (80%)83.3%
East Kilbride FC: the bet landed in 4 of 5 at home · Kelty Hearts FC: the bet landed in 4 of 5 away · both last 10: 90% · on half-time scores
Left off the list: East Kilbride FC Win & Over 1.5 (the numbers (39%) and the records (52%) are on opposite sides, and nothing settles it); Under 4.5 Goals (no unders on an open read (rule 10)); East Kilbride FC or draw and over 2.5 goals (the numbers (41%) and the records (60%) are on opposite sides, and nothing settles it); East Kilbride FC or draw and both teams score (the numbers (46%) and the records (58%) are on opposite sides, and nothing settles it); East Kilbride FC to Win (the numbers (45%) and the records (52%) are on opposite sides, and nothing settles it); Under 5.5 Goals (no unders on an open read (rule 10))
SCORELINES
Predicted score
Predicted score 2–1 9.1%
East Kilbride FC goals →
Kelty Hearts FC goals ↓
0-04%
1-06%
2-06%
3-04%
4-02%
5-00.6%
0-15%
1-111%
2-19%
3-15%
4-12%
5-10.9%
0-24%
1-27%
2-27%
3-24%
4-22%
5-20.6%
0-32%
1-34%
2-33%
3-32%
4-30.9%
5-30.3%
0-40.7%
1-41%
2-41%
3-40.7%
4-40.3%
5-40.1%
0-50.2%
1-50.4%
2-50.3%
3-50.2%
4-50.1%
5-50.0%
Every score's chance from both teams' checked games, never cut or rescaled. The lit square is the likeliest score that fits the read (the call and an open game).
FORM · LAST 10
EAST KILBRIDE FCDWLDWWWLLW1.70 PPG
KELTY HEARTS FCLWWLLLWWLL1.20 PPG
THE NUMBERS
EAST KILBRIDE FC HOMExKELTY HEARTS FC AWAY
3.40SCORED A GAME2.802.40CONCEDED A GAME2.6010%CLEAN SHEETS20%1.20CORNERS A GAME0.000.62CARDS A GAME0.00
THE BANK
THE BANKER MENU
EAST KILBRIDE FC OR DRAW (1UP)
–
137 OF 146
NO PRICE YET
The tips call a clear winner and every tip has the favourite winning by 2+.
Other bets the bookie sells that won 9 times in 10 or more on games like this one, in each of three spells: 20-24 Oct, 25-29 Oct and 30 Oct-2 Nov. The price is low because the bookie expects it too. A bet with no price yet, or one under 1.09, is not in any code.
THE QUALITY READ
1.70POINTS A GAME1.20+0.50GOAL DIFFERENCE A GAME-0.60–SHOTS FOR MINUS AGAINST–2.0LAST 5: POINTS A GAME1.210LEAGUE GAMES10
East Kilbride FC: the quality side - a better goal difference, better form (last 5).
Each club's own league games in the Bank: points, goal difference, shots for and against, the last 5. A side ahead on most of them is the quality side; its bets show what they won on games like this from 6 Oct to 2 Nov.
THE BANK'S READ
OVER 1.5 GOALS
95%
VERY GOOD · 80/83
OVER 2.5 GOALS
91%
VERY GOOD · 65/78
UNDER 4.5 GOALS
56%
NO · 85/90
EAST KILBRIDE FC OR DRAW
82%
OKAY · 80/85
KELTY HEARTS FC OR DRAW
26%
NO · 80/85
Each line from both sides' own league games this season, set against their league (10 and 10 games). The two numbers after each read are the line's okay and very good marks.
EAST KILBRIDE FCxKELTY HEARTS FC
5GAMES62.60SCORED A GAME0.831.00CONCEDED A GAME2.173.6GOALS IN THEIR GAMES3.080%OVER 1.5 GOALS83%80%OVER 2.5 GOALS50%60%BOTH SCORE50%–CARDS IN THEIR GAMES––CORNERS IN THEIR GAMES–
Each side's own league games in our bank before this game; "Home v Away" is the home side's home games and the away side's away games.
TRENDS
East Kilbride FC have scored in 80% of their games.
Kelty Hearts FC have scored in 90% of their games.
East Kilbride FC kept a clean sheet in 10% of their games.
Kelty Hearts FC kept a clean sheet in 20% of their games.
BUILT FROM
form · last gameshome / awaygoals for & againstclean sheetsleague tablecornerscards