Match details. Challenge Cup, Group Stage - 6. Kick-off is Tue 13 Oct, 19:45 Lagos time. It is played at Shielfield Park, Berwick.
Form. Berwick Rangers have won three, drawn one and lost six of their last ten, 1.0 points a game. Their last five, newest first: L L W W D. Queen of the South FC have won four, drawn three and lost three of their last ten, 1.5 points a game. Their last five, newest first: W W W D L.
The numbers. Berwick Rangers score 2.2 and concede two a game in their last five at home, with one clean sheet. Berwick Rangers average 0.0 cards a game. Queen of the South FC score 0.8 and concede three a game in their last five away, with one clean sheet. Queen of the South FC average 1.6 shots (0.8 on target), 0.2 corners and 0.2 cards a game.
Where it pulls both ways. It pulls both ways: their goals for and against make Berwick Rangers the likelier winners, but Queen of the South FC are the stronger side on form and the table; both teams' records favour Berwick Rangers.
The read. No side to back. An open game. Nothing separates them clearly enough to back a side. Their goals for and against point to an open game. Their records put over 2.5 goals at 62%.
The bets. No bet yet: nothing I'd back is priced yet. Leave: Queen of the South FC or Over 2.5 Goals (no result call); Under 5.5 Goals (no unders on an open read); Under 4.5 Goals (no unders on an open read). Predicted score: Berwick Rangers 2-1 Queen of the South FC (9% chance).
Every score's chance from both teams' checked games, never cut or rescaled. The lit square is the likeliest score that fits the read (an open game).