Match details. AFC Champions League Elite, League Phase - 2. Kick-off is Tue 13 Oct, 13:15 Lagos time. It is played at Chang Arena, Buriram.
Form. Buriram United have won six, drawn four and lost none of their last ten, 2.2 points a game. Their last five, newest first: W D W D D. Beijing Guoan have won seven, drawn three and lost none of their last ten, 2.4 points a game. Their last five, newest first: W W D W D.
The numbers. Buriram United score 1.8 and concede 0.7 a game in their last six at home, with three clean sheets and two games without a goal. Buriram United average 12.5 shots (5.4 on target), 1.0 corners and 2.8 cards a game. Beijing Guoan score 2.3 and concede 0.7 a game in their last six away, with three clean sheets. Beijing Guoan average 12.0 shots (5.7 on target), 2.0 corners and 2.0 cards a game.
Where it pulls both ways. On goals, their goals for and against point to a tight game; their records put over 2.5 goals at 59%.
The read. A draw. Little separates them, and both sides draw often.
The bets. No bet yet: nothing I'd back is priced yet. Leave: Beijing Guoan or Under 2.5 Goals (the call is a draw); Beijing Guoan or Over 2.5 Goals (the call is a draw); Beijing Guoan or Over 1.5 Goals (the call is a draw). Predicted score: Buriram United 1-1 Beijing Guoan (13% chance).
Every score's chance from both teams' checked games, never cut or rescaled. The lit square is the likeliest score that fits the read (the call).