FC Pohang Steelers scored under 1.5 in 6 of 10 (last 10, all venues) · Johor Darul Tazim FC conceded under 1.5 in 9 of 10 (last 10, all venues) · both last 10: 75% · H2H 0 of 3
Match details. AFC Champions League Elite, League Phase - 2. Kick-off is Tue 13 Oct, 11:00 Lagos time. It is played at Pohang Steel Yard.
What's at stake. FC Pohang Steelers are 14th on 0 points after 1 game, level on points with Ratchaburi, level on points with Công An Nhân Dân. A win would take them above Ratchaburi. Johor Darul Tazim FC are 9th on 1 point after 1 game, level on points with Buriram United, 1 point clear of Kashiwa Reysol. A win would take them above Buriram United.
Form. FC Pohang Steelers have won three, drawn three and lost four of their last ten, 1.2 points a game. Their last five, newest first: L W L D D. In this competition FC Pohang Steelers have gone L. Johor Darul Tazim FC have won nine, drawn one and lost none of their last ten, 2.8 points a game. Their last five, newest first: W W W D W. In this competition Johor Darul Tazim FC have gone D.
The numbers. FC Pohang Steelers score one and concede 1.6 a game over their last ten, with two clean sheets and five games without a goal. FC Pohang Steelers average 12.2 shots (4.6 on target), 4.6 corners and 1.4 cards a game, with 45% of the ball. Johor Darul Tazim FC score 5.4 and concede 0.5 a game over their last ten, with six clean sheets. Johor Darul Tazim FC average 20.1 shots (10.4 on target), 7.1 corners and 1.8 cards a game.
Head to head. In the last three meetings FC Pohang Steelers have won two, drawn none and lost one. Two of the three went over 2.5 goals and both teams scored in two. The last time they met, on 18 Feb 2025, it finished FC Pohang Steelers 2-5 Johor Darul Tazim FC.
The case against. FC Pohang Steelers's record still gives them 22% to win.
The read. Johor Darul Tazim FC to win. An open game. Their goals for and against make Johor Darul Tazim FC the likelier winners; Johor Darul Tazim FC are the stronger side on form and the table; both teams' records favour Johor Darul Tazim FC. Their goals for and against point to an open game. Their records put over 2.5 goals at 78%. Two of the last three meetings went over 2.5.
The bets. Best bet: Over 1.5 Goals at 1.23, 91% on the records (FC Pohang Steelers: over 1.5 goals in 8 of 10; Johor Darul Tazim FC: over 1.5 goals in 10 of 10). Backup: Johor Darul Tazim FC Over 0.5 Goals at 1.21. It often rescues the bet, but it is no guarantee. Leave: Under 5.5 Goals (no unders on an open read); Johor Darul Tazim FC (Draw No Bet) (the signs point different ways); Johor Darul Tazim FC Over 1.5 goals (FC Pohang Steelers's own games don't back it (5 of 10)). Predicted score: FC Pohang Steelers 0-3 Johor Darul Tazim FC (11% chance).
Every score's chance from both teams' checked games, never cut or rescaled. The lit square is the likeliest score that fits the read (the call and an open game).