Bayswater City vs Marconi Stallions
Match details. Australian Championship, Group Stage - 1. Kick-off is Sat 17 Oct, 09:30 Lagos time. It is played at Frank Drago Reserve.
What's at stake. Bayswater City are 3rd on 0 points after 0 games. Marconi Stallions are 2nd on 0 points after 0 games.
Form. Bayswater City have won seven, drawn two and lost one of their last ten, 2.3 points a game. Their last five, newest first: W W W W W. Marconi Stallions have won four, drawn one and lost five of their last ten, 1.3 points a game. Their last five, newest first: L D W W L.
The numbers. Bayswater City score 3.7 and concede 1.6 a game in their last seven at home, with three clean sheets. Bayswater City average 13.9 shots (7.9 on target), 5.3 corners and 1.8 cards a game. Marconi Stallions score 1.1 and concede 1.1 a game over their last ten, with four clean sheets and two games without a goal. Marconi Stallions average 10.3 shots (4.5 on target), 5.0 corners and 1.6 cards a game.
Where it pulls both ways. The prices and the records disagree: the odds board makes it 29% against the records' 65%.
The read. No firm call: Bayswater City are the better side, but not at this price. An open game. Their goals for and against make Bayswater City the likelier winners; Bayswater City are the stronger side on form and the table; both teams' records favour Bayswater City. Their goals for and against point to an open game. Their records put over 2.5 goals at 52%.
The bets. No bet yet: nothing I'd back is priced yet. Leave: Under 4.5 Goals (no unders on an open read); Under 5.5 Goals (no unders on an open read); Bayswater City Over 1.5 goals (Marconi Stallions's own games don't back it (3 of 10)). Predicted score: Bayswater City 2-1 Marconi Stallions (10% chance).
Every score's chance from both teams' checked games, never cut or rescaled. The lit square is the likeliest score that fits the read (an open game).