Sutherland Sharks vs South Melbourne FC
Match details. Australian Championship, Group Stage - 1. Kick-off is Sat 17 Oct, 05:00 Lagos time. It is played at Seymour Shaw Park.
What's at stake. Sutherland Sharks are 1st on 0 points after 0 games. South Melbourne FC are 3rd on 0 points after 0 games, level on points with Preston Lions. A win would take them above Preston Lions.
Form. Sutherland Sharks have won four, drawn three and lost three of their last ten, 1.5 points a game. Their last five, newest first: D L W L D. South Melbourne FC have won five, drawn two and lost three of their last ten, 1.7 points a game. Their last five, newest first: D W L W L.
The numbers. Sutherland Sharks score 1.6 and concede 1.3 a game in their last seven at home, with no clean sheets. Sutherland Sharks average 11.7 shots (5.0 on target), 4.7 corners and 1.8 cards a game. South Melbourne FC score 1.7 and concede 1.1 a game over their last ten, with three clean sheets and two games without a goal. South Melbourne FC average 12.7 shots (5.1 on target), 7.7 corners and 1.2 cards a game.
The case against. Sutherland Sharks's record still gives them 36% to win.
The read. South Melbourne FC to win. An open game. South Melbourne FC are the stronger side on form and the table. Their goals for and against point to an open game. Their records put over 2.5 goals at 64%.
The bets. No bet yet: nothing I'd back is priced yet. Leave: South Melbourne FC or Under 2.5 Goals (no unders on an open read); Under 4.5 Goals (South Melbourne FC are a clear winner, no Unders); Under 5.5 Goals (South Melbourne FC are a clear winner, no Unders). Predicted score: Sutherland Sharks 1-2 South Melbourne FC (9% chance).
Every score's chance from both teams' checked games, never cut or rescaled. The lit square is the likeliest score that fits the read (the call and an open game).