Adelaide City FC vs Avondale FC
Match details. Australian Championship, Group Stage - 1. Kick-off is Fri 16 Oct, 09:30 Lagos time. It is played at Adelaide City Park.
What's at stake. Adelaide City FC are 2nd on 0 points after 0 games. Avondale FC are 4th on 0 points after 0 games.
Form. Adelaide City FC have won nine, drawn one and lost none of their last ten, 2.8 points a game. Their last five, newest first: W W W W W. Avondale FC have won six, drawn one and lost three of their last ten, 1.9 points a game. Their last five, newest first: W W W W L.
The numbers. Adelaide City FC score 2.5 and concede 0.3 a game in their last six at home, with five clean sheets. Adelaide City FC average 14.1 shots (6.3 on target), 5.0 corners and 1.8 cards a game. Avondale FC score two and concede 1.8 a game in their last five away, with one clean sheet. Avondale FC average 9.7 shots (4.6 on target), 4.5 corners and 2.7 cards a game.
The case against. Adelaide City FC's record still gives them 61% to win.
The read. Avondale FC to win. An open game. Their goals for and against make Adelaide City FC the likelier winners; Adelaide City FC are the stronger side on form and the table; both teams' records favour Adelaide City FC. Their goals for and against point to an open game. Their records put over 2.5 goals at 55%.
The bets. Best bet: Over 1.5 Goals at 1.20, 84% on the records (Adelaide City FC: over 1.5 goals in 4 of 6 at home; Avondale FC: over 1.5 goals in 5 of 5 away). Leave: Under 4.5 Goals (Avondale FC are a clear winner, no Unders); Under 5.5 Goals (Avondale FC are a clear winner, no Unders). Predicted score: Adelaide City FC 1-2 Avondale FC (5% chance).
Every score's chance from both teams' checked games, never cut or rescaled. The lit square is the likeliest score that fits the read (the call and an open game).