Astana vs FK Kaspii Aktau
Match details. Premier League, Regular Season - 23. Kick-off is Sun 18 Oct, 15:00 Lagos time. It is played at Astana Arena. The referee is D. Gorda.
What's at stake. Astana are 3rd on 48 points after 26 games, 12 points behind Kairat Almaty, level on points with Okzhetpes. FK Kaspii Aktau are 9th on 32 points after 27 games, 3 points behind Ulytau, level on points with Zhenys. A win would take them level on points with Ulytau.
Form. Astana have won seven, drawn one and lost two of their last ten, 2.2 points a game. Their last five, newest first: W L W L W. In this competition Astana have gone W L W L W W. FK Kaspii Aktau have won four, drawn three and lost three of their last ten, 1.5 points a game. Their last five, newest first: W W L L W. In this competition FK Kaspii Aktau have gone W W L L W D.
The numbers. Astana score 1.9 and concede 0.8 a game over their last ten, with four clean sheets. FK Kaspii Aktau score 1.4 and concede 1.5 a game over their last ten, with two clean sheets.
Head to head. In the last nine meetings Astana have won six, drawn two and lost one. Six of the nine went over 2.5 goals and both teams scored in four. In the last four, Astana won three and FK Kaspii Aktau won one. The last time they met, on 3 May 2026, it finished Astana 0-1 FK Kaspii Aktau.
Where it pulls both ways. On goals, their goals for and against point to a tight game; their records put over 2.5 goals at 58%; six of the last nine meetings went over 2.5, and the meetings settle it.
The case against. FK Kaspii Aktau's record still gives them 27% to win. Not everything agrees on goals: their goals for and against point to a tight game.
The read. Astana to win. An open game. Their goals for and against make Astana the likelier winners; Astana are the stronger side on form and the table; both teams' records favour Astana. Their records put over 2.5 goals at 58%. Six of the last nine meetings went over 2.5.
The bets. Best bet: Over 1.5 Goals at 1.17, 74% on the records (Astana: over 1.5 goals in 7 of 10; FK Kaspii Aktau: over 1.5 goals in 8 of 10). Full cover: FK Kaspii Aktau Under 1.5 Goals at 1.16. It wins on every score where the best bet loses. Leave: Astana or Under 2.5 Goals (no unders on an open read); Under 4.5 Goals (no unders on an open read); Under 5.5 Goals (no unders on an open read). Predicted score: Astana 2-1 FK Kaspii Aktau (9% chance).
Every score's chance from both teams' checked games, never cut or rescaled. The lit square is the likeliest score that fits the read (the call and an open game).