Oldham Athletic vs Cheltenham Town
Match details. League Two, Regular Season - 11. Kick-off is Sat 17 Oct, 15:00 Lagos time. It is played at Boundary Park, Oldham.
What's at stake. Oldham Athletic are 21st on 8 points after 9 games, 2 points behind Rotherham, level on points with Port Vale. A win would take them above Rotherham. Cheltenham Town are 8th on 15 points after 10 games, level on points with Chesterfield, level on points with Bristol Rovers. A win would take them above Chesterfield.
Form. Oldham Athletic have won three, drawn two and lost five of their last ten, 1.1 points a game. Their last five, newest first: W D L W L. Cheltenham Town have won three, drawn five and lost two of their last ten, 1.4 points a game. Their last five, newest first: D L L W D.
The numbers. Oldham Athletic score 1.7 and concede 1.3 a game in their last six at home, with three clean sheets. Oldham Athletic average 7.9 shots (2.1 on target), 5.6 corners and 1.1 cards a game, with 46% of the ball. Cheltenham Town score 1.7 and concede 1.7 a game over their last ten, with no clean sheets and two games without a goal. Cheltenham Town average 8.4 shots (2.9 on target), 4.1 corners and 3.2 cards a game, with 44% of the ball.
Head to head. In the last eight meetings Oldham Athletic have won four, drawn two and lost two. Four of the eight went over 2.5 goals and both teams scored in three. In the last four, Oldham Athletic won three and Cheltenham Town won one. The last time they met, on 17 Jan 2026, it finished Oldham Athletic 2-1 Cheltenham Town: Oldham Athletic had 12 shots to 10, 45% of the ball, five yellow cards.
Where it pulls both ways. Cheltenham Town are the form side, but the meetings favour Oldham Athletic: in the last eight meetings, Oldham Athletic won four, Cheltenham Town won two and two were drawn.
The case against. Not everything agrees on goals: their goals for and against point to an open game. Not everything agrees on goals: their records put over 2.5 goals at 59%.
The read. No side to back. A draw is live. A tight game. Form and the meetings point different ways, so I back neither side.
The bets. Best bet: Under 3.5 Goals at 1.42, 72% on the records (Oldham Athletic: under 3.5 goals in 7 of 8; Cheltenham Town: under 3.5 goals in 4 of 8). Backup: Under 4.5 Goals at 1.16. It often rescues the bet, but it is no guarantee. Leave: Over 1.5 Goals (no overs on a tight read); Over 0.5 Goals (no overs on a tight read). Predicted score: Oldham Athletic 1-1 Cheltenham Town (13% chance).
Every score's chance from both teams' checked games, never cut or rescaled. The lit square is the likeliest score that fits the read (a tight game).