SSSIM

17:00Tue 13 Oct

MAS

Simba SC vs Mashujaa FC

CLASS D

THE READ

Match details. Premier League, Regular Season - 8. Kick-off is Tue 13 Oct, 17:00 Lagos time. It is played at Isamuhyo Stadium, Dar es Salaam.

Form. Simba SC have won nine, drawn none and lost one of their last ten, 2.7 points a game. Their last five, newest first: W W W W W. Mashujaa FC have won six, drawn none and lost four of their last ten, 1.8 points a game. Their last five, newest first: W W L W L.

The numbers. Simba SC score two and concede 0.5 a game over their last ten, with five clean sheets. Simba SC average 8.5 shots (3.2 on target), 6.5 corners and 1.5 cards a game. Mashujaa FC score 0.6 and concede 0.8 a game in their last five away, with two clean sheets and two games without a goal. Mashujaa FC average 8.0 shots (3.3 on target), 6.5 corners and 1.2 cards a game.

The case against. Mashujaa FC's record still gives them 23% to win.

The read. Simba SC to win. A tight game. Their goals for and against make Simba SC the likelier winners; Simba SC are the stronger side on form and the table; both teams' records favour Simba SC. Their goals for and against point to a tight game. Their records put over 2.5 goals at 35%.

The bets. No bet yet: nothing I'd back is priced yet. Leave: Simba SC or draw and under 3.5 goals (Simba SC are a clear winner, no Unders); Under 2.5 Goals (Simba SC are a clear winner, no Unders); 1st Half Result or Match Result: Simba SC (the signs point different ways). Predicted score: Simba SC 1-0 Mashujaa FC (11% chance).

PICKSONE LIST

RESULT

Simba SC to Win Either Half: YesPAGE ONLY

1.10

SIM 7 of 7 (100%) · MAS 3 of 5 (60%)78.3%

Simba SC: the bet landed in 7 of 7 (last 10, all venues) · Mashujaa FC: the bet landed in 3 of 5 away · both last 10: 75% · on half-time scores · Simba SC: only games in Mashujaa FC's division · Mashujaa FC: only games in Simba SC's division

1X2 - 2UP: Simba SCLEANPAGE ONLY

1.16

SIM 5 of 5 (100%) · MAS 6 of 6 (100%)69%

Simba SC scored first 4 of last 5, led by 2 or won in 5 · led by 2 or won in 6 of 6 (last 10, all venues) · Mashujaa FC trailed by 2 or lost in 4 of 9 (last 10, all venues) · Simba SC: only games in Mashujaa FC's division · Mashujaa FC: only games in Simba SC's division

Simba SC to WinLEANHELD · the odds board 85%

1.17

SIM 7 of 7 (100%) · MAS 3 of 5 (60%)62.2%

Simba SC won 7 of 7 (last 10, all venues) · Mashujaa FC lost 3 of 5 away · both last 10: 70% · Simba SC: only games in Mashujaa FC's division · Mashujaa FC: only games in Simba SC's division

SIMBA SC GOALS

Simba SC Over 0.5 GoalsPAGE ONLY

no price yet

SIM 7 of 7 (100%) · MAS 3 of 5 (60%)84.5%

Simba SC scored in 7 of 7 (last 10, all venues) · Mashujaa FC conceded in 3 of 5 away · both last 10: 85% · Simba SC: only games in Mashujaa FC's division · Mashujaa FC: only games in Simba SC's division

CARDS

Over 1.5 CardsPAGE ONLY

no price yet

SIM 6 of 6 (100%) · MAS 7 of 9 (78%)88.9%

Simba SC's games: over 1.5 cards in 6 of 6 (last 10, all venues) · Mashujaa FC's games: over 1.5 cards in 7 of 9 (last 10, all venues) · both last 10: 89% · Simba SC: only games in Mashujaa FC's division · Mashujaa FC: only games in Simba SC's division

Left off the list: Simba SC or draw and under 3.5 goals (Simba SC are a clear winner - no Unders); Under 2.5 Goals (Simba SC are a clear winner - no Unders); 1st Half Result or Match Result: Simba SC (the numbers (56%) and the records (78%) are 22 points apart, and nothing settles it); Simba SC 1UP (the numbers (64%) and the records (89%) are 25 points apart, and nothing settles it); Over 0.5 Goals (no overs on a tight read (rule 10)); Under 4.5 Goals (Simba SC are a clear winner - no Unders); Under 5.5 Goals (Simba SC are a clear winner - no Unders)

SCORELINES

Predicted score

Predicted score 1–0 11%

Simba SC goals →

Mashujaa FC goals ↓

0-08%

1-011%

2-09%

3-05%

4-02%

5-00.6%

0-17%

1-113%

2-19%

3-15%

4-12%

5-10.6%

0-24%

1-26%

2-25%

3-23%

4-21.0%

5-20.3%

0-31%

1-32%

2-32%

3-30.9%

4-30.3%

5-30.1%

0-40.3%

1-40.5%

2-40.4%

3-40.2%

4-40.1%

5-40.0%

0-50.1%

1-50.1%

2-50.1%

3-50.0%

4-50.0%

5-50.0%

Every score's chance from both teams' checked games, never cut or rescaled. The lit square is the likeliest score that fits the read (the call and a tight game).

FORM · LAST 10

SIMBA SCWWWWWWWWWL2.70 PPG

MASHUJAA FCWWLWLLWLWW1.80 PPG

THE NUMBERS

SIMBA SC HOMExMASHUJAA FC AWAY

1.86SCORED A GAME1.140.43CONCEDED A GAME1.0050%CLEAN SHEETS30%6.50CORNERS A GAME6.501.50CARDS A GAME1.22

THE BANK

THE BANKER MENU

SIMBA SC OR DRAW (1UP)

–

137 OF 146

NO PRICE YET

The tips call a clear winner and every tip has the favourite winning by 2+.

Other bets the bookie sells that won 9 times in 10 or more on games like this one, in each of three spells: 20-24 Oct, 25-29 Oct and 30 Oct-2 Nov. The price is low because the bookie expects it too. A bet with no price yet, or one under 1.09, is not in any code.

THE QUALITY READ

3.00POINTS A GAME1.71+1.43GOAL DIFFERENCE A GAME+0.14–SHOTS FOR MINUS AGAINST–3.0LAST 5: POINTS A GAME1.87LEAGUE GAMES7

Simba SC: the quality side - more points a game, a better goal difference, better form (last 5).

SIMBA SC 2:0 HANDICAP

–

389 OF 413

NO PRICE YET

Each club's own league games in the Bank: points, goal difference, shots for and against, the last 5. A side ahead on most of them is the quality side; its bets show what they won on games like this from 6 Oct to 2 Nov.

THE BANK'S READ

OVER 1.5 GOALS

72%

NO · 80/83

OVER 2.5 GOALS

52%

NO · 65/78

UNDER 4.5 GOALS

99%

VERY GOOD · 85/90

SIMBA SC OR DRAW

85%

OKAY · 80/85

MASHUJAA FC OR DRAW

18%

NO · 80/85

Each line from both sides' own league games this season, set against their league (7 and 7 games). The two numbers after each read are the line's okay and very good marks.

SIMBA SCxMASHUJAA FC

5GAMES51.80SCORED A GAME1.400.40CONCEDED A GAME1.202.2GOALS IN THEIR GAMES2.680%OVER 1.5 GOALS80%40%OVER 2.5 GOALS80%40%BOTH SCORE80%–CARDS IN THEIR GAMES––CORNERS IN THEIR GAMES–

Each side's own league games in our bank before this game; "Home v Away" is the home side's home games and the away side's away games.

TRENDS

Simba SC have scored in 90% of their games.

Mashujaa FC have scored in 70% of their games.

Simba SC kept a clean sheet in 50% of their games.

Mashujaa FC kept a clean sheet in 30% of their games.

BUILT FROM

form · last gameshome / awaygoals for & againstclean sheetsleague tablecornerscards