NORWAY - 3. DIVISION, GROUP 2
17:00Mon 12 Oct
AAL
AF
Melhus vs Aalesund FK 2
CLASS E
THE READ
Match details. 3. Division, Group 2. Kick-off is Mon 12 Oct, 17:00 Lagos time.
Form. Melhus have won four, drawn one and lost five of their last ten, 1.3 points a game. Their last five, newest first: W L L L W. Aalesund FK 2 have won three, drawn one and lost six of their last ten, 1.0 points a game. Their last five, newest first: L L D W L.
The numbers. Melhus score 1.8 and concede two a game in their last five at home, with no clean sheets and three games without a goal. Melhus average 5.8 corners and 1.8 cards a game. Aalesund FK 2 score 1.4 and concede 2.4 a game in their last five away, with no clean sheets. Aalesund FK 2 average 3.9 corners and 1.9 cards a game.
Where it pulls both ways. The prices and the records disagree: the odds board makes it 82% against the records' 59%.
The read. No firm call: Melhus are the better side, but not at this price. An open game. Their goals for and against make Melhus the likelier winners; Melhus are the stronger side on form and the table; both teams' records favour Melhus. Their goals for and against point to an open game. Their records put over 2.5 goals at 69%.
The bets. No bet yet: nothing I'd back is priced yet. Leave: Melhus Win & Both Teams Score (the signs point different ways); Melhus Over 1.5 Goals (Melhus's own games don't back it (4 of 9)); Under 4.5 Goals (no unders on an open read). Predicted score: Melhus 2-1 Aalesund FK 2 (10% chance).
PICKSONE LIST
RESULT
Melhus or Over 1.5 GoalsPAGE ONLY
no price yet
MEL 6 of 9 (67%) · AAL 5 of 5 (100%)83.3%
Melhus: the bet landed in 6 of 9 (last 10, all venues) · Aalesund FK 2: the bet landed in 5 of 5 away · both last 10: 83% · Melhus: only games against sides at Aalesund FK 2's level · Aalesund FK 2: only games against sides at Melhus's level
Melhus or Draw (1UP)PAGE ONLY
no price yet
MEL 4 of 5 (80%) · AAL 5 of 6 (83%)82.2%
Melhus scored first 4 of last 5, led or was unbeaten in 4 · led or was unbeaten in 5 of 6 (last 10, all venues) · Aalesund FK 2 trailed or failed to win in 5 of 6 (last 10, all venues) · Melhus: only games against sides at Aalesund FK 2's level · Aalesund FK 2: only games against sides at Melhus's level
Melhus 1UPPAGE ONLY
no price yet
MEL 4 of 5 (80%) · AAL 5 of 6 (83%)82.2%
Melhus scored first 4 of last 5, led in 4 · led in 5 of 6 (last 10, all venues) · Aalesund FK 2 trailed in 5 of 6 (last 10, all venues) · Melhus: only games against sides at Aalesund FK 2's level · Aalesund FK 2: only games against sides at Melhus's level
Melhus or Both Teams ScorePAGE ONLY
no price yet
MEL 6 of 9 (67%) · AAL 5 of 5 (100%)81.7%
Melhus: the bet landed in 6 of 9 (last 10, all venues) · Aalesund FK 2: the bet landed in 5 of 5 away · both last 10: 78% · Melhus: only games against sides at Aalesund FK 2's level · Aalesund FK 2: only games against sides at Melhus's level
Melhus or Over 2.5 GoalsPAGE ONLY
no price yet
MEL 5 of 9 (56%) · AAL 5 of 5 (100%)77.8%
Melhus: the bet landed in 5 of 9 (last 10, all venues) · Aalesund FK 2: the bet landed in 5 of 5 away · both last 10: 78% · Melhus: only games against sides at Aalesund FK 2's level · Aalesund FK 2: only games against sides at Melhus's level
Melhus or Draw & Over 1.5PAGE ONLY
no price yet
MEL 5 of 9 (56%) · AAL 5 of 5 (100%)72.8%
Melhus: the bet landed in 5 of 9 (last 10, all venues) · Aalesund FK 2: the bet landed in 5 of 5 away · both last 10: 63% · Melhus: only games against sides at Aalesund FK 2's level · Aalesund FK 2: only games against sides at Melhus's level
Melhus to WinLEANHELD · the odds board 82%
1.22
MEL 4 of 9 (44%) · AAL 4 of 5 (80%)53.4%
Melhus won 4 of 9 (last 10, all venues) · Aalesund FK 2 lost 4 of 5 away · both last 10: 52% · Melhus: only games against sides at Aalesund FK 2's level · Aalesund FK 2: only games against sides at Melhus's level
GOALS
Over 0.5 GoalsPAGE ONLY
no price yet
MEL 9 of 9 (100%) · AAL 5 of 5 (100%)94.6%
Melhus: over 0.5 goals in 9 of 9 (last 10, all venues) · Aalesund FK 2: over 0.5 goals in 5 of 5 away · both last 10: 100% · Melhus: only games against sides at Aalesund FK 2's level · Aalesund FK 2: only games against sides at Melhus's level
Over 1.5 GoalsPAGE ONLY
no price yet
MEL 6 of 9 (67%) · AAL 5 of 5 (100%)81.1%
Melhus: over 1.5 goals in 6 of 9 (last 10, all venues) · Aalesund FK 2: over 1.5 goals in 5 of 5 away · both last 10: 83% · Melhus: only games against sides at Aalesund FK 2's level · Aalesund FK 2: only games against sides at Melhus's level
Over 2.5 GoalsLEANPAGE ONLY
no price yet
MEL 5 of 9 (56%) · AAL 4 of 5 (80%)58.4%
Melhus: over 2.5 goals in 5 of 9 (last 10, all venues) · Aalesund FK 2: over 2.5 goals in 4 of 5 away · both last 10: 73% · Melhus: only games against sides at Aalesund FK 2's level · Aalesund FK 2: only games against sides at Melhus's level
BOTH TEAMS SCORE
Both Teams to Score - YesLEANPAGE ONLY
1.42
MEL 6 of 9 (67%) · AAL 4 of 5 (80%)58.6%
Melhus: both scored in 6 of 9 (last 10, all venues) · Aalesund FK 2: both scored in 4 of 5 away · both last 10: 73% · Melhus: only games against sides at Aalesund FK 2's level · Aalesund FK 2: only games against sides at Melhus's level
MELHUS GOALS
Melhus Over 0.5 GoalsPAGE ONLY
no price yet
MEL 6 of 9 (67%) · AAL 5 of 5 (100%)84.6%
Melhus scored in 6 of 9 (last 10, all venues) · Aalesund FK 2 conceded in 5 of 5 away · both last 10: 78% · Melhus: only games against sides at Aalesund FK 2's level · Aalesund FK 2: only games against sides at Melhus's level
Left off the list: Melhus Win & Both Teams Score (the numbers (28%) and the records (51%) are on opposite sides, and nothing settles it); Melhus Over 1.5 Goals (Melhus's own games don't back it (4 of 9)); Under 4.5 Goals (no unders on an open read (rule 10)); Under 5.5 Goals (no unders on an open read (rule 10))
SCORELINES
Predicted score
Predicted score 2–1 9.8%
Melhus goals →
Aalesund FK 2 goals ↓
0-05%
1-08%
2-08%
3-05%
4-02%
5-00.9%
0-15%
1-111%
2-110%
3-16%
4-13%
5-11%
0-23%
1-26%
2-26%
3-24%
4-22%
5-20.6%
0-31%
1-32%
2-32%
3-31%
4-30.6%
5-30.2%
0-40.4%
1-40.7%
2-40.6%
3-40.4%
4-40.2%
5-40.1%
0-50.1%
1-50.2%
2-50.1%
3-50.1%
4-50.0%
5-50.0%
Every score's chance from both teams' checked games, never cut or rescaled. The lit square is the likeliest score that fits the read (an open game).
FORM · LAST 10
MELHUSWLLLWLLWWD1.30 PPG
AALESUND FK 2LLDWLLWLWL1.00 PPG
THE NUMBERS
MELHUS HOMExAALESUND FK 2 AWAY
2.36SCORED A GAME1.811.27CONCEDED A GAME2.9560%BOTH SCORED80%0%CLEAN SHEETS10%5.79CORNERS A GAME3.851.79CARDS A GAME1.85
THE BANK
THE QUALITY READ
1.67POINTS A GAME1.25+1.22GOAL DIFFERENCE A GAME-0.62–SHOTS FOR MINUS AGAINST-6.21.2LAST 5: POINTS A GAME0.89LEAGUE GAMES8
Melhus: the quality side - a better goal difference.
Each club's own league games in the Bank: points, goal difference, shots for and against, the last 5. A side ahead on most of them is the quality side; its bets show what they won on games like this from 6 Oct to 2 Nov.
THE BANK'S READ
OVER 1.5 GOALS
90%
VERY GOOD · 80/83
OVER 2.5 GOALS
70%
OKAY · 65/78
UNDER 4.5 GOALS
60%
NO · 85/90
MELHUS OR DRAW
69%
NO · 80/85
AALESUND FK 2 OR DRAW
48%
NO · 80/85
Each line from both sides' own league games this season, set against their league (9 and 8 games). The two numbers after each read are the line's okay and very good marks.
MELHUSxAALESUND FK 2
5GAMES51.80SCORED A GAME1.801.20CONCEDED A GAME3.403.0GOALS IN THEIR GAMES5.260%OVER 1.5 GOALS100%60%OVER 2.5 GOALS100%60%BOTH SCORE100%–CARDS IN THEIR GAMES––CORNERS IN THEIR GAMES–
Each side's own league games in our bank before this game; "Home v Away" is the home side's home games and the away side's away games.
TRENDS
Melhus have scored in 60% of their games.
Aalesund FK 2 have scored in 90% of their games.
Melhus kept a clean sheet in 0% of their games.
Aalesund FK 2 kept a clean sheet in 10% of their games.
BUILT FROM
form · last gameshome / awaygoals for & againstclean sheetsleague tablecornerscards