Match details. National Womens Soccer League. Kick-off is Mon 19 Oct, 00:00 Lagos time.
Form. Chicago Red Stars have won one, drawn two and lost seven of their last ten, 0.5 points a game. Their last five, newest first: L L L D L. Seattle Reign FC have won five, drawn one and lost four of their last ten, 1.6 points a game. Their last five, newest first: L W L L W.
The numbers. Chicago Red Stars score 0.6 and concede 2.8 a game in their last five at home, with one clean sheet and four games without a goal. Chicago Red Stars average 3.1 corners and 1.0 cards a game. Seattle Reign FC score 1.1 and concede 0.9 a game over their last ten, with five clean sheets. Seattle Reign FC average 4.5 corners and 1.6 cards a game.
Where it pulls both ways. On goals, their goals for and against point to a tight game; their records put over 2.5 goals at 53%.
The case against. Chicago Red Stars's record still gives them 28% to win.
The read. Seattle Reign FC to win. Their goals for and against make Seattle Reign FC the likelier winners; Seattle Reign FC are the stronger side on form and the table; both teams' records favour Seattle Reign FC.
The bets. Best bet: Seattle Reign FC (Draw No Bet) at 1.10, 72% on the records (Seattle Reign FC won 5 of 9 (draws left out); Chicago Red Stars lost 7 of 8 (draws left out)). Backup: Over 1.5 Goals at 1.16. It often rescues the bet, but it is no guarantee. Leave: Seattle Reign FC or Draw (1UP) (the signs point different ways); Under 4.5 Goals (Seattle Reign FC are a clear winner, no Unders); Under 5.5 Goals (Seattle Reign FC are a clear winner, no Unders). Predicted score: Chicago Red Stars 0-1 Seattle Reign FC (12% chance).
Every score's chance from both teams' checked games, never cut or rescaled. The lit square is the likeliest score that fits the read (the call).