CF Monterrey vs CF Pachuca
Match details. Liga MX, Apertura - 12. Kick-off is Mon 19 Oct, 02:00 Lagos time. It is played at Estadio BBVA, Monterrey. The referee is Cesar Arturo Ramos.
What's at stake. CF Monterrey are 12th on 14 points after 10 games, 2 points behind Puebla, level on points with Tigres UANL. A win would take them above Puebla. CF Pachuca are 14th on 13 points after 11 games, 1 point behind Tigres UANL, level on points with Atletico San Luis. A win would take them above Tigres UANL.
Form. CF Monterrey have won four, drawn two and lost four of their last ten, 1.4 points a game. Their last five, newest first: D L W D L. In this competition CF Monterrey have gone D L W D L L. CF Pachuca have won two, drawn four and lost four of their last ten, 1.0 points a game. Their last five, newest first: D L D W W. In this competition CF Pachuca have gone D L D W W D.
The numbers. CF Monterrey score 2.2 and concede 1.2 a game in their last five at home, with two clean sheets. CF Monterrey average 18.2 shots (5.8 on target), 7.4 corners and 2.0 cards a game, with 58% of the ball. CF Pachuca score 1.2 and concede 0.6 a game in their last five away, with two clean sheets and two games without a goal. CF Pachuca average 17.9 shots (5.2 on target), 5.6 corners and 3.0 cards a game, with 48% of the ball.
Head to head. In the last ten meetings CF Monterrey have won four, drawn none and lost six. Seven of the ten went over 2.5 goals and both teams scored in six. In the last four, CF Pachuca won four. The last time they met, on 19 Apr 2026, it finished CF Monterrey 1-3 CF Pachuca: CF Monterrey had 13 shots to 9, 55% of the ball, six yellow cards.
Where it pulls both ways. It pulls both ways: CF Monterrey are the stronger side on form and the table, but the meetings favour CF Pachuca.
The case against. CF Pachuca's record still gives them 39% to win. The meetings do not back them.
The read. CF Monterrey or the draw. A draw is live. An open game. CF Monterrey are the stronger side on form and the table; the meetings favour CF Pachuca. Their goals for and against point to an open game. Their records put over 2.5 goals at 53%. Seven of the last ten meetings went over 2.5.
The bets. Best bet: Over 1.5 Goals at 1.19, 76% on the records (CF Monterrey: over 1.5 goals in 3 of 5 at home; CF Pachuca: over 1.5 goals in 3 of 5 away). Backup: CF Monterrey Over 0.5 Goals at 1.12. It often rescues the bet, but it is no guarantee. Leave: Under 4.5 Goals (no unders on an open read); Under 5.5 Goals (no unders on an open read). Predicted score: CF Monterrey 2-1 CF Pachuca (9% chance).
Every score's chance from both teams' checked games, never cut or rescaled. The lit square is the likeliest score that fits the read (the call and an open game).