Match details. Primera Nacional, Regular Season - 34. Kick-off is Sun 18 Oct, 19:30 Lagos time. It is played at Estadio Nueva Chicago, Buenos Aires.
What's at stake. Nueva Chicago are 16th on 36 points after 33 games, 1 point behind Patronato, level on points with Chacarita Juniors. A win would take them above Patronato. Gimnasia y Esgrima de Jujuy are 4th on 55 points after 33 games, 3 points behind Atlanta, 3 points clear of Gimnasia Y Tiro. A win would take them level on points with Atlanta.
Form. Nueva Chicago have won two, drawn one and lost seven of their last ten, 0.7 points a game. Their last five, newest first: L L W D L. In this competition Nueva Chicago have gone L L W D L W. Gimnasia y Esgrima de Jujuy have won three, drawn five and lost two of their last ten, 1.4 points a game. Their last five, newest first: D L D D W. In this competition Gimnasia y Esgrima de Jujuy have gone D L D D W W.
The numbers. Nueva Chicago score 0.4 and concede one a game over their last ten, with two clean sheets and six games without a goal. Nueva Chicago average 3.4 corners and 3.1 cards a game. Gimnasia y Esgrima de Jujuy score 1.5 and concede 1.5 a game over their last ten, with one clean sheet. Gimnasia y Esgrima de Jujuy average 5.9 corners and 1.7 cards a game.
Head to head. In the last ten meetings Nueva Chicago have won three, drawn three and lost four. Four of the ten went over 2.5 goals and both teams scored in five. In the last four, Nueva Chicago won one and Gimnasia y Esgrima de Jujuy won three. The last time they met, on 17 Jun 2026, it finished Nueva Chicago 0-4 Gimnasia y Esgrima de Jujuy.
Where it pulls both ways. The prices and the records disagree: the odds board makes it 29% against the records' 50%.
The read. No firm call: Gimnasia y Esgrima de Jujuy are the better side, but not at this price. A draw is live. A tight game. Gimnasia y Esgrima de Jujuy are the stronger side on form and the table; both teams' records favour Gimnasia y Esgrima de Jujuy; the meetings favour Gimnasia y Esgrima de Jujuy. Their goals for and against point to a tight game. Their records put over 2.5 goals at 39%. Six of the last ten meetings went under 2.5.
The bets. Best bet: Under 3.5 Goals at 1.15, 75% on the records (Nueva Chicago: under 3.5 goals in 10 of 10; Gimnasia y Esgrima de Jujuy: under 3.5 goals in 7 of 10). Backup: Gimnasia y Esgrima de Jujuy or Under 2.5 Goals at 1.24. It often rescues the bet, but it is no guarantee. Leave: Nueva Chicago Under 1.5 goals (Gimnasia y Esgrima de Jujuy's own games don't back it (5 of 10)); Over 0.5 Goals (no overs on a tight read). Predicted score: Nueva Chicago 1-1 Gimnasia y Esgrima de Jujuy (14% chance).
Every score's chance from both teams' checked games, never cut or rescaled. The lit square is the likeliest score that fits the read (a tight game).