Gimnasia Y Tiro de Salta vs CA Atlanta
Match details. Primera Nacional, Regular Season - 34. Kick-off is Sat 17 Oct, 02:00 Lagos time. It is played at Estadio El Gigante del Norte, Salta.
What's at stake. Gimnasia Y Tiro de Salta are 6th on 49 points after 33 games, 2 points behind Midland, 1 point clear of Deportivo Maipu. A win would take them above Midland. CA Atlanta are 3rd on 58 points after 33 games, 1 point behind Temperley, 3 points clear of Gimnasia Jujuy. A win would take them above Temperley.
Form. Gimnasia Y Tiro de Salta have won four, drawn three and lost three of their last ten, 1.5 points a game. Their last five, newest first: D L W L D. CA Atlanta have won six, drawn one and lost three of their last ten, 1.9 points a game. Their last five, newest first: W W W D W.
The numbers. Gimnasia Y Tiro de Salta score one and concede 0.8 a game over their last ten, with five clean sheets and four games without a goal. Gimnasia Y Tiro de Salta average 3.2 corners and 2.2 cards a game. CA Atlanta score one and concede 1.2 a game in their last six away, with three clean sheets and two games without a goal. CA Atlanta average 3.5 corners and 1.9 cards a game.
Head to head. In the last five meetings Gimnasia Y Tiro de Salta have won one, drawn three and lost one. One of the five went over 2.5 goals and both teams scored in three. In the last four, Gimnasia Y Tiro de Salta won one, two were drawn and CA Atlanta won one. The last time they met, on 31 May 2026, it finished Gimnasia Y Tiro de Salta 1-1 CA Atlanta.
The case against. CA Atlanta's record still gives them 36% to win.
The read. Gimnasia Y Tiro de Salta or the draw. A draw is live. A tight game. CA Atlanta are the stronger side on form and the table. Their goals for and against point to a tight game. Their records put over 2.5 goals at 27%. Four of the last five meetings went under 2.5.
The bets. Best bet: Under 3.5 Goals at 1.11, 78% on the records (Gimnasia Y Tiro de Salta: under 3.5 goals in 7 of 10; CA Atlanta: under 3.5 goals in 4 of 6 away). Backup: Under 1.5 first-half goals at 1.21. It often rescues the bet, but it is no guarantee. Leave: Gimnasia Y Tiro de Salta Over 0.5 goals (CA Atlanta's own games don't back it (3 of 6)); Over 0.5 Goals (no overs on a tight read). Predicted score: Gimnasia Y Tiro de Salta 1-1 CA Atlanta (14% chance).
Every score's chance from both teams' checked games, never cut or rescaled. The lit square is the likeliest score that fits the read (the call and a tight game).