CTCSD

20:30Sat 17 Oct

CAP

CSD Tristan Suarez vs CA Patronato Parana

CLASS E

THE READ

Match details. Ar2, Regular Season - 34. Kick-off is Sat 17 Oct, 20:30 Lagos time. It is played at Estadio 20 de Octubre, Tristan Suarez.

What's at stake. CSD Tristan Suarez are 1st on 59 points after 33 games, level on points with Temperley. CA Patronato Parana are 15th on 37 points after 33 games, 2 points behind Quilmes, 1 point clear of Nueva Chicago. A win would take them above Quilmes. CA Patronato Parana have nothing left to play for.

Form. CSD Tristan Suarez have won four, drawn five and lost one of their last ten, 1.7 points a game. Their last five, newest first: D D W D D. In this competition CSD Tristan Suarez have gone D D W D D D. CA Patronato Parana have won three, drawn four and lost three of their last ten, 1.3 points a game. Their last five, newest first: W L W D D. In this competition CA Patronato Parana have gone W L W D D D.

The numbers. CSD Tristan Suarez score 1.4 and concede 0.2 a game in their last five at home, with four clean sheets and two games without a goal. CSD Tristan Suarez average 8.4 shots (2.7 on target), 4.2 corners and 2.0 cards a game, with 46% of the ball. CA Patronato Parana score 1.1 and concede 0.9 a game over their last ten, with five clean sheets and five games without a goal. CA Patronato Parana average 6.2 shots (2.2 on target), 3.2 corners and 2.5 cards a game, with 48% of the ball.

Head to head. The last time they met, on 31 May 2026, it finished CSD Tristan Suarez 1-1 CA Patronato Parana.

The case against. CA Patronato Parana's record still gives them 28% to win.

The read. CSD Tristan Suarez to win. A tight game. CSD Tristan Suarez are the stronger side on form and the table. Their goals for and against point to a tight game. Their records put over 2.5 goals at 38%.

The bets. No bet yet: nothing I'd back is priced yet. Leave: Under 3.5 Goals (CSD Tristan Suarez are a clear winner, no Unders); Over 0.5 Goals (no overs on a tight read); Under 2.5 Goals (CSD Tristan Suarez are a clear winner, no Unders). Predicted score: CSD Tristan Suarez 1-0 CA Patronato Parana (15% chance).

PICKSONE LIST

BOTH TEAMS SCORE

Both Teams to Score - NoLEANHELD · the odds board 71%

1.41

CSD 4 of 5 (80%) · CAP 5 of 6 (83%)50.5%

CSD Tristan Suarez: not both scored in 4 of 5 at home · CA Patronato Parana: not both scored in 5 of 6 (last 10, all venues) · both last 10: 72% · CSD Tristan Suarez: only games in CA Patronato Parana's division · CA Patronato Parana: only games against sides at CSD Tristan Suarez's level

Left off the list: Under 3.5 Goals (CSD Tristan Suarez are a clear winner - no Unders); Over 0.5 Goals (no overs on a tight read (rule 10)); Under 2.5 Goals (CSD Tristan Suarez are a clear winner - no Unders); Under 4.5 Goals (CSD Tristan Suarez are a clear winner - no Unders); Under 5.5 Goals (CSD Tristan Suarez are a clear winner - no Unders)

SCORELINES

Predicted score

Predicted score 1–0 14.6%

CSD Tristan Suarez goals →

CA Patronato Parana goals ↓

0-015%

1-015%

2-08%

3-03%

4-00.8%

5-00.2%

0-111%

1-114%

2-17%

3-13%

4-10.7%

5-10.2%

0-25%

1-26%

2-23%

3-21%

4-20.3%

5-20.1%

0-32%

1-32%

2-30.9%

3-30.3%

4-30.1%

5-30.0%

0-40.3%

1-40.4%

2-40.2%

3-40.1%

4-40.0%

5-40.0%

0-50.1%

1-50.1%

2-50.0%

3-50.0%

4-50.0%

5-50.0%

Every score's chance from both teams' checked games, never cut or rescaled. The lit square is the likeliest score that fits the read (the call and a tight game).

FORM · LAST 10

CSD TRISTAN SUAREZWWLWDDDWDD1.70 PPG

CA PATRONATO PARANALDWLDDDWLW1.30 PPG

THE NUMBERS

CSD TRISTAN SUAREZ HOMExCA PATRONATO PARANA AWAY

0.90SCORED A GAME1.100.30CONCEDED A GAME0.9069%CLEAN SHEETS35%39%FAILED TO SCORE48%4.24CORNERS A GAME3.251.97CARDS A GAME2.55

THE BANK

THE BANKER MENU

OVER 1.5 CARDS

–

543 OF 573

NO PRICE YET

Both sides' last 5 games point to 5.2+ cards.

CA PATRONATO PARANA 0:3 HANDICAP

–

134 OF 142

NO PRICE YET

The tips say a tight game and the Bank expects under 2.3 goals.

BOTH HALVES OVER 1.5: NO

–

138 OF 151

NO PRICE YET

The tips say a tight game and the Bank expects under 2.3 goals.

NO TEAM SCORES 3 IN A ROW

–

85 OF 93

NO PRICE YET

The tips say a tight or mixed game, the Bank expects under 2.3 goals, and the favourite fails to score in 1 game in 4 or more.

Other bets the bookie sells that won 9 times in 10 or more on games like this one, in each of three spells: 20-24 Oct, 25-29 Oct and 30 Oct-2 Nov. The price is low because the bookie expects it too. A bet with no price yet, or one under 1.09, is not in any code.

THE QUALITY READ

1.38POINTS A GAME1.57+0.25GOAL DIFFERENCE A GAME+0.71-1.5SHOTS FOR MINUS AGAINST+4.41.4LAST 5: POINTS A GAME1.68LEAGUE GAMES7

CA Patronato Parana: the quality side - more shots than it allows.

Each club's own league games in the Bank: points, goal difference, shots for and against, the last 5. A side ahead on most of them is the quality side; its bets show what they won on games like this from 6 Oct to 2 Nov.

THE BANK'S READ

OVER 1.5 GOALS

28%

NO · 80/83

OVER 2.5 GOALS

11%

NO · 65/78

UNDER 4.5 GOALS

100%

VERY GOOD · 85/90

CSD TRISTAN SUAREZ OR DRAW

92%

VERY GOOD · 80/85

CA PATRONATO PARANA OR DRAW

57%

NO · 80/85

Each line from both sides' own league games this season, set against their league (8 and 7 games). The two numbers after each read are the line's okay and very good marks.

CSD TRISTAN SUAREZxCA PATRONATO PARANA

5GAMES50.20SCORED A GAME1.000.00CONCEDED A GAME0.200.2GOALS IN THEIR GAMES1.20%OVER 1.5 GOALS40%0%OVER 2.5 GOALS20%0%BOTH SCORE0%4.6CARDS IN THEIR GAMES6.07.2CORNERS IN THEIR GAMES8.8

Each side's own league games in our bank before this game; "Home v Away" is the home side's home games and the away side's away games.

HEAD TO HEAD · LAST 5

CSD TRISTAN SUAREZ 1 · 20%DRAW 1CA PATRONATO PARANA 3 · 60%

1 of 5BOTH TEAMS SCORED

4 of 5OVER 1.5 GOALS

1 of 5OVER 2.5 GOALS

0 of 5OVER 3.5 GOALS

2024-02-17CSD Tristan Suarez 0 – 1 CA Patronato Parana

2024-07-07CSD Tristan Suarez 0 – 3 CA Patronato Parana

2025-03-01CSD Tristan Suarez 2 – 0 CA Patronato Parana

2025-07-06CSD Tristan Suarez 0 – 2 CA Patronato Parana

2026-05-31CSD Tristan Suarez 1 – 1 CA Patronato Parana

TRENDS

CSD Tristan Suarez have scored in 62% of their games.

CA Patronato Parana have scored in 38% of their games.

CSD Tristan Suarez kept a clean sheet in 69% of their games.

CA Patronato Parana kept a clean sheet in 35% of their games.

BUILT FROM

form · last gameshome / awaygoals for & againstclean sheetshead to headleague tablecornerscards