Match details. Primera Nacional, Regular Season - 34. Kick-off is Sat 17 Oct, 18:30 Lagos time. It is played at Estadio de Chacarita Juniors, Buenos Aires.
What's at stake. Chacarita Juniors are 17th on 33 points after 33 games, 3 points behind Nueva Chicago, 10 points clear of Club Atlético Güemes. A win would take them level on points with Nueva Chicago. CD Maipu are 7th on 48 points after 33 games, 3 points behind Midland, 1 point clear of Colegiales. A win would take them level on points with Midland.
Form. Chacarita Juniors have won two, drawn one and lost seven of their last ten, 0.7 points a game. Their last five, newest first: L W L W L. In this competition Chacarita Juniors have gone L W L W L L. CD Maipu have won four, drawn four and lost two of their last ten, 1.6 points a game. Their last five, newest first: D W W D D. In this competition CD Maipu have gone D W W D D D.
The numbers. Chacarita Juniors score one and concede 0.6 a game in their last five at home, with three clean sheets and two games without a goal. Chacarita Juniors average 4.5 corners and 2.5 cards a game. CD Maipu score one and concede 1.2 a game in their last five away, with one clean sheet and two games without a goal. CD Maipu average 4.4 corners and 1.8 cards a game.
Head to head. In the last nine meetings Chacarita Juniors have won five, drawn one and lost three. Five of the nine went over 2.5 goals and both teams scored in five. In the last four, Chacarita Juniors won three and CD Maipu won one. The last time they met, on 31 May 2026, it finished Chacarita Juniors 2-3 CD Maipu.
Where it pulls both ways. On goals, their goals for and against point to a tight game; their records put over 2.5 goals at 36%; five of the last nine meetings went over 2.5.
The case against. Not everything agrees on goals: five of the last nine meetings went over 2.5.
The read. No side to back. A tight game. Nothing separates them clearly enough to back a side. Their goals for and against point to a tight game. Their records put over 2.5 goals at 36%.
The bets. Best bet: Under 3.5 Goals at 1.13, 76% on the records (Chacarita Juniors: under 3.5 goals in 5 of 5 at home; CD Maipu: under 3.5 goals in 4 of 5 away). Backup: Under 1.5 first-half goals at 1.21. It often rescues the bet, but it is no guarantee. Leave: Chacarita Juniors or Under 2.5 Goals (no result call); CD Maipu or Under 2.5 Goals (no result call); CD Maipu Over 0.5 goals (Chacarita Juniors's own games don't back it (2 of 5)). Predicted score: Chacarita Juniors 1-1 CD Maipu (14% chance).
Every score's chance from both teams' checked games, never cut or rescaled. The lit square is the likeliest score that fits the read (a tight game).