Match details. Primera Nacional, Regular Season - 34. Kick-off is Sun 18 Oct, 21:00 Lagos time. It is played at Estadio Arturo Jiya Miranda, Santiago del Estero.
What's at stake. CA Guemes are 18th on 23 points after 33 games, 13 points behind Chacarita Juniors. Club Almagro are 12th on 41 points after 33 games, 2 points behind San Martin Tucuman, 1 point clear of Agropecuario. A win would take them above San Martin Tucuman. Club Almagro have nothing left to play for.
Form. CA Guemes have won none, drawn four and lost six of their last ten, 0.4 points a game. Their last five, newest first: L L L L L. In this competition CA Guemes have gone L L L L L L. Club Almagro have won three, drawn three and lost four of their last ten, 1.2 points a game. Their last five, newest first: W W L L D. In this competition Club Almagro have gone W W L L D L.
The numbers. CA Guemes score 0.3 and concede 1.4 a game over their last ten, with two clean sheets and seven games without a goal. CA Guemes average 3.2 corners and 2.3 cards a game. Club Almagro score one and concede 1.4 a game in their last five away, with one clean sheet. Club Almagro average 4.4 corners and 2.3 cards a game.
Head to head. In the last eight meetings CA Guemes have won two, drawn three and lost three. One of the eight went over 2.5 goals and both teams scored in three. In the last four, CA Guemes won two, one was drawn and Club Almagro won one. The last time they met, on 31 May 2026, it finished CA Guemes 0-2 Club Almagro.
The case against. CA Guemes's record still gives them 23% to win.
The read. Club Almagro to win. A tight game. Club Almagro are the stronger side on form and the table. Their goals for and against point to a tight game. Their records put over 2.5 goals at 24%. Seven of the last eight meetings went under 2.5.
The bets. No bet yet: nothing I'd back is priced yet. Leave: Under 3.5 Goals (Club Almagro are a clear winner, no Unders); Under 2.5 Goals (Club Almagro are a clear winner, no Unders); Over 0.5 Goals (no overs on a tight read). Predicted score: CA Guemes 0-1 Club Almagro (10% chance).
Every score's chance from both teams' checked games, never cut or rescaled. The lit square is the likeliest score that fits the read (the call and a tight game).