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ARGENTINA - PRIMERA NACIONAL
CA Guemes crestCGCAG
21:00Sun 18 Oct
CLUClub Almagro crestCA

CA Guemes vs Club Almagro

CLASS E
THE READ

Match details. Primera Nacional, Regular Season - 34. Kick-off is Sun 18 Oct, 21:00 Lagos time. It is played at Estadio Arturo Jiya Miranda, Santiago del Estero.

What's at stake. CA Guemes are 18th on 23 points after 33 games, 13 points behind Chacarita Juniors. Club Almagro are 12th on 41 points after 33 games, 2 points behind San Martin Tucuman, 1 point clear of Agropecuario. A win would take them above San Martin Tucuman. Club Almagro have nothing left to play for.

Form. CA Guemes have won none, drawn four and lost six of their last ten, 0.4 points a game. Their last five, newest first: L L L L L. In this competition CA Guemes have gone L L L L L L. Club Almagro have won three, drawn three and lost four of their last ten, 1.2 points a game. Their last five, newest first: W W L L D. In this competition Club Almagro have gone W W L L D L.

The numbers. CA Guemes score 0.3 and concede 1.4 a game over their last ten, with two clean sheets and seven games without a goal. CA Guemes average 3.2 corners and 2.3 cards a game. Club Almagro score one and concede 1.4 a game in their last five away, with one clean sheet. Club Almagro average 4.4 corners and 2.3 cards a game.

Head to head. In the last eight meetings CA Guemes have won two, drawn three and lost three. One of the eight went over 2.5 goals and both teams scored in three. In the last four, CA Guemes won two, one was drawn and Club Almagro won one. The last time they met, on 31 May 2026, it finished CA Guemes 0-2 Club Almagro.

The case against. CA Guemes's record still gives them 23% to win.

The read. Club Almagro to win. A tight game. Club Almagro are the stronger side on form and the table. Their goals for and against point to a tight game. Their records put over 2.5 goals at 24%. Seven of the last eight meetings went under 2.5.

The bets. No bet yet: nothing I'd back is priced yet. Leave: Under 3.5 Goals (Club Almagro are a clear winner, no Unders); Under 2.5 Goals (Club Almagro are a clear winner, no Unders); Over 0.5 Goals (no overs on a tight read). Predicted score: CA Guemes 0-1 Club Almagro (10% chance).

PICKSONE LIST
CLUB ALMAGRO GOALS
Club Almagro Over 0.5 goalsIN CODES
1.12
CAG 4 of 5 (80%) · CLU 8 of 10 (80%)75%
Club Almagro scored in 4 of 5 away · CA Guemes conceded in 8 of 10 (last 10, all venues) · both last 10: 75% · H2H 4 of 6 · Club Almagro: only games against sides at CA Guemes's level · CA Guemes: only games against sides at Club Almagro's level
HALVES
Under 1.5 first-half goalsPAGE ONLY
1.35
CAG 8 of 10 (80%) · CLU 3 of 5 (60%)76.3%
CA Guemes: the bet landed in 8 of 10 (last 10, all venues) · Club Almagro: the bet landed in 3 of 5 away · both last 10: 65% · H2H 6 of 6 · on half-time scores · CA Guemes: only games against sides at Club Almagro's level · Club Almagro: only games against sides at CA Guemes's level
Left off the list: Under 3.5 Goals (Club Almagro are a clear winner - no Unders); Under 2.5 Goals (Club Almagro are a clear winner - no Unders); Over 0.5 Goals (no overs on a tight read (rule 10)); Under 4.5 Goals (Club Almagro are a clear winner - no Unders); Under 5.5 Goals (Club Almagro are a clear winner - no Unders)
SCORELINES
Predicted score
Predicted score 0–1 10.3%
CA Guemes goals →
Club Almagro goals ↓
0-010%
1-010%
2-06%
3-02%
4-00.7%
5-00.2%
0-110%
1-114%
2-18%
3-13%
4-10.9%
5-10.2%
0-27%
1-28%
2-25%
3-22%
4-20.5%
5-20.1%
0-33%
1-33%
2-32%
3-30.8%
4-30.2%
5-30.1%
0-40.9%
1-41%
2-40.6%
3-40.2%
4-40.1%
5-40.0%
0-50.2%
1-50.3%
2-50.2%
3-50.1%
4-50.0%
5-50.0%

Every score's chance from both teams' checked games, never cut or rescaled. The lit square is the likeliest score that fits the read (the call and a tight game).

FORM · LAST 10
CA GUEMESDDDDLLLLLL0.40 PPG
CLUB ALMAGRODLDWLDLLWW1.20 PPG
THE NUMBERS
CA GUEMES HOMExCLUB ALMAGRO AWAY
0.30SCORED A GAME1.001.40CONCEDED A GAME1.3020%CLEAN SHEETS20%42%FAILED TO SCORE39%3.19CORNERS A GAME4.412.31CARDS A GAME2.31
THE BANK
THE BANKER MENU
DRAW OR CLUB ALMAGRO (1UP)
–
137 OF 146
NO PRICE YET
The tips call a clear winner and every tip has the favourite winning by 2+.
Other bets the bookie sells that won 9 times in 10 or more on games like this one, in each of three spells: 20-24 Oct, 25-29 Oct and 30 Oct-2 Nov. The price is low because the bookie expects it too. A bet with no price yet, or one under 1.09, is not in any code.
THE QUALITY READ
0.14POINTS A GAME1.15-1.57GOAL DIFFERENCE A GAME-0.54-5.6SHOTS FOR MINUS AGAINST-0.50.0LAST 5: POINTS A GAME1.47LEAGUE GAMES13
Club Almagro: the quality side - more points a game, a better goal difference, more shots than it allows, better form (last 5).
CLUB ALMAGRO 0:2 HANDICAP
–
373 OF 433
NO PRICE YET
Each club's own league games in the Bank: points, goal difference, shots for and against, the last 5. A side ahead on most of them is the quality side; its bets show what they won on games like this from 6 Oct to 2 Nov.
THE BANK'S READ
OVER 1.5 GOALS
79%
NO · 80/83
OVER 2.5 GOALS
28%
NO · 65/78
UNDER 4.5 GOALS
100%
VERY GOOD · 85/90
CA GUEMES OR DRAW
43%
NO · 80/85
CLUB ALMAGRO OR DRAW
75%
NO · 80/85
Each line from both sides' own league games this season, set against their league (7 and 13 games). The two numbers after each read are the line's okay and very good marks.
CA GUEMESxCLUB ALMAGRO
5GAMES50.00SCORED A GAME1.401.80CONCEDED A GAME1.601.8GOALS IN THEIR GAMES3.080%OVER 1.5 GOALS80%0%OVER 2.5 GOALS80%0%BOTH SCORE80%4.4CARDS IN THEIR GAMES–9.0CORNERS IN THEIR GAMES–
Each side's own league games in our bank before this game; "Home v Away" is the home side's home games and the away side's away games.
HEAD TO HEAD · LAST 8
CA GUEMES 2 · 25%DRAW 3CLUB ALMAGRO 3 · 38%
3 of 8BOTH TEAMS SCORED
5 of 8OVER 1.5 GOALS
1 of 8OVER 2.5 GOALS
0 of 8OVER 3.5 GOALS
2021-07-04CA Guemes 0 – 2 Club Almagro
2021-11-01CA Guemes 0 – 0 Club Almagro
2022-06-19CA Guemes 1 – 2 Club Almagro
2023-06-03CA Guemes 1 – 1 Club Almagro
2023-10-16CA Guemes 1 – 0 Club Almagro
2025-05-31CA Guemes 1 – 1 Club Almagro
2025-10-04CA Guemes 1 – 0 Club Almagro
2026-05-31CA Guemes 0 – 2 Club Almagro
TRENDS
CA Guemes have scored in 30% of their games.
Club Almagro have scored in 70% of their games.
CA Guemes kept a clean sheet in 20% of their games.
Club Almagro kept a clean sheet in 20% of their games.
BUILT FROM
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