AUAYR

19:30Fri 16 Oct

PAR

Ayr United FC vs Partick Thistle FC

CLASS E

THE READ

Match details. Championship, Regular Season - 11. Kick-off is Fri 16 Oct, 19:30 Lagos time. It is played at Somerset Park, Ayr. The referee is M. MacDermid.

What's at stake. Ayr United FC are 7th on 12 points after 10 games, 1 point behind Inverness CT, 1 point clear of Arbroath. A win would take them above Inverness CT. Partick Thistle FC are 3rd on 18 points after 9 games, 2 points behind Raith Rovers, 5 points clear of Livingston. A win would take them above Raith Rovers.

Form. Ayr United FC have won three, drawn three and lost four of their last ten, 1.2 points a game. Their last five, newest first: D W L W L. In this competition Ayr United FC have gone D W L W L L. Partick Thistle FC have won five, drawn three and lost two of their last ten, 1.8 points a game. Their last five, newest first: W W D L W.

The numbers. Ayr United FC score one and concede 1.2 a game in their last five at home, with one clean sheet. Ayr United FC average 4.3 corners and 1.8 cards a game. Partick Thistle FC score 0.8 and concede 0.8 a game in their last five away, with one clean sheet and two games without a goal. Partick Thistle FC average 13.1 shots (5.4 on target), 8.2 corners and 1.7 cards a game.

Head to head. In the last ten meetings Ayr United FC have won two, drawn two and lost six. Three of the ten went over 2.5 goals and both teams scored in four. In the last four, two were drawn and Partick Thistle FC won two. The last time they met, on 5 Sep 2026, it finished Ayr United FC 0-1 Partick Thistle FC.

The read. Partick Thistle FC to win. A tight game. Partick Thistle FC are the stronger side on form and the table; both teams' records favour Partick Thistle FC; the meetings favour Partick Thistle FC. Their goals for and against point to a tight game. Their records put over 2.5 goals at 24%. Seven of the last ten meetings went under 2.5.

The bets. No bet yet: nothing I'd back is priced yet. Leave: Over 0.5 Goals (no overs on a tight read). Predicted score: Ayr United FC 0-1 Partick Thistle FC (10% chance).

PICKSONE LIST

RESULT

Partick Thistle FC or Under 2.5 GoalsSETTLEDPAGE ONLY

1.17

AYR 9 of 9 (100%) · PAR 5 of 5 (100%)99%

Partick Thistle FC: the bet landed in 9 of 9 (last 10, all venues) · Ayr United FC: the bet landed in 5 of 5 at home · both last 10: 95% · H2H 6 of 6 · Partick Thistle FC: only games against sides at Ayr United FC's level · Ayr United FC: only games against sides at Partick Thistle FC's level · rule 2: the meetings back Partick Thistle FC: in the last 10 meetings, Ayr United FC won 2, Partick This

Partick Thistle FC or Draw (1UP)IN CODES

1.15

AYR 4 of 5 (80%) · PAR 8 of 9 (89%)83%

Partick Thistle FC scored first 3 of last 5, led or was unbeaten in 4 · led or was unbeaten in 8 of 9 (last 10, all venues) · Ayr United FC trailed or failed to win in 8 of 10 (last 10, all venues) · Partick Thistle FC: only games against sides at Ayr United FC's level

Double Chance: Draw or Partick Thistle FCLEANPAGE ONLY

1.20

AYR 8 of 9 (89%) · PAR 4 of 5 (80%)71.6%

Partick Thistle FC unbeaten in 8 of 9 (last 10, all venues) · Ayr United FC failed to win 4 of 5 at home · both last 10: 79% · H2H 6 of 6 · Partick Thistle FC: only games against sides at Ayr United FC's level · Ayr United FC: only games against sides at Partick Thistle FC's level

Partick Thistle FC 1UPLEANPAGE ONLY

1.38

AYR 3 of 5 (60%) · PAR 6 of 9 (67%)65.6%

Partick Thistle FC scored first 3 of last 5, led in 3 · led in 6 of 9 (last 10, all venues) · Ayr United FC trailed in 7 of 10 (last 10, all venues) · Partick Thistle FC: only games against sides at Ayr United FC's level

Partick Thistle FC (Draw No Bet)LEANPAGE ONLY

1.36

AYR 5 of 6 (83%) · PAR 4 of 7 (57%)60.5%

Partick Thistle FC won 5 of 6 (last 10, all venues) (draws left out) · Ayr United FC lost 4 of 7 (last 10, all venues) (draws left out) · both last 10: 70% · H2H 4 of 4 · Partick Thistle FC: only games against sides at Ayr United FC's level · Ayr United FC: only games against sides at Partick Thistle FC's level · won 4, refunded 3, lost 3

1X2 - 2UP: Partick Thistle FCSETTLEDPAGE ONLY

1.66

AYR 3 of 5 (60%) · PAR 5 of 9 (56%)55.2%

Partick Thistle FC scored first 3 of last 5, led by 2 or won in 3 · led by 2 or won in 5 of 9 (last 10, all venues) · Ayr United FC trailed by 2 or lost in 5 of 10 (last 10, all venues) · Partick Thistle FC: only games against sides at Ayr United FC's level · rule 2: the meetings back Partick Thistle FC: in the last 10 meetings, Ayr United FC won 2, Partick Thistle FC won 6 and 2 were drawn; in th

GOALS

Under 4.5 GoalsIN CODES

1.15

AYR 5 of 5 (100%) · PAR 9 of 9 (100%)90.5%

Ayr United FC: under 4.5 goals in 5 of 5 at home · Partick Thistle FC: under 4.5 goals in 9 of 9 (last 10, all venues) · both last 10: 100% · H2H 6 of 6 · Ayr United FC: only games against sides at Partick Thistle FC's level · Partick Thistle FC: only games against sides at Ayr United FC's level

AYR UNITED FC GOALS

Ayr United FC Under 1.5 goalsLEANPAGE ONLY

1.31

AYR 4 of 5 (80%) · PAR 9 of 9 (100%)71.2%

Ayr United FC scored under 1.5 in 4 of 5 at home · Partick Thistle FC conceded under 1.5 in 9 of 9 (last 10, all venues) · both last 10: 85% · H2H 6 of 6 · Ayr United FC: only games against sides at Partick Thistle FC's level · Partick Thistle FC: only games against sides at Ayr United FC's level

PARTICK THISTLE FC GOALS

Partick Thistle FC Over 0.5 goalsIN CODES

1.15

AYR 6 of 9 (67%) · PAR 4 of 5 (80%)70.5%

Partick Thistle FC scored in 6 of 9 (last 10, all venues) · Ayr United FC conceded in 4 of 5 at home · both last 10: 73% · H2H 5 of 6 · Partick Thistle FC: only games against sides at Ayr United FC's level · Ayr United FC: only games against sides at Partick Thistle FC's level

Left off the list: Over 0.5 Goals (no overs on a tight read (rule 10))

SCORELINES

Predicted score

Predicted score 0–1 10.1%

Ayr United FC goals →

Partick Thistle FC goals ↓

0-09%

1-09%

2-06%

3-02%

4-00.7%

5-00.2%

0-110%

1-114%

2-18%

3-13%

4-10.9%

5-10.2%

0-27%

1-28%

2-25%

3-22%

4-20.6%

5-20.1%

0-33%

1-34%

2-32%

3-30.9%

4-30.3%

5-30.1%

0-41%

1-41%

2-40.7%

3-40.3%

4-40.1%

5-40.0%

0-50.3%

1-50.3%

2-50.2%

3-50.1%

4-50.0%

5-50.0%

Every score's chance from both teams' checked games, never cut or rescaled. The lit square is the likeliest score that fits the read (the call and a tight game).

FORM · LAST 10

AYR UNITED FCWDLDLLWLWD1.20 PPG

PARTICK THISTLE FCWWLDDWLDWW1.80 PPG

THE NUMBERS

AYR UNITED FC HOMExPARTICK THISTLE FC AWAY

1.00SCORED A GAME1.001.10CONCEDED A GAME0.4010%CLEAN SHEETS60%30%FAILED TO SCORE33%4.30CORNERS A GAME8.221.80CARDS A GAME1.67

THE BANK

THE BANKER MENU

AYR UNITED FC 3:0 HANDICAP

–

134 OF 142

NO PRICE YET

The tips say a tight game and the Bank expects under 2.3 goals.

BOTH HALVES OVER 1.5: NO

–

138 OF 151

NO PRICE YET

The tips say a tight game and the Bank expects under 2.3 goals.

Other bets the bookie sells that won 9 times in 10 or more on games like this one, in each of three spells: 20-24 Oct, 25-29 Oct and 30 Oct-2 Nov. The price is low because the bookie expects it too. A bet with no price yet, or one under 1.09, is not in any code.

THE QUALITY READ

1.20POINTS A GAME2.00-0.10GOAL DIFFERENCE A GAME+0.78-3.1SHOTS FOR MINUS AGAINST+7.51.4LAST 5: POINTS A GAME2.010LEAGUE GAMES9

Partick Thistle FC: the quality side - more points a game, a better goal difference, more shots than it allows.

PARTICK THISTLE FC 0:2 HANDICAP

–

373 OF 433

NO PRICE YET

Each club's own league games in the Bank: points, goal difference, shots for and against, the last 5. A side ahead on most of them is the quality side; its bets show what they won on games like this from 6 Oct to 2 Nov.

THE BANK'S READ

OVER 1.5 GOALS

60%

NO · 80/83

OVER 2.5 GOALS

18%

NO · 65/78

UNDER 4.5 GOALS

100%

VERY GOOD · 85/90

AYR UNITED FC OR DRAW

54%

NO · 80/85

PARTICK THISTLE FC OR DRAW

77%

NO · 80/85

Each line from both sides' own league games this season, set against their league (10 and 9 games). The two numbers after each read are the line's okay and very good marks.

AYR UNITED FCxPARTICK THISTLE FC

5GAMES51.20SCORED A GAME1.201.20CONCEDED A GAME0.402.4GOALS IN THEIR GAMES1.680%OVER 1.5 GOALS40%40%OVER 2.5 GOALS40%60%BOTH SCORE20%5.4CARDS IN THEIR GAMES4.011.4CORNERS IN THEIR GAMES12.6

Each side's own league games in our bank before this game; "Home v Away" is the home side's home games and the away side's away games.

HEAD TO HEAD · LAST 10

AYR UNITED FC 2 · 20%DRAW 2PARTICK THISTLE FC 6 · 60%

4 of 10BOTH TEAMS SCORED

7 of 10OVER 1.5 GOALS

3 of 10OVER 2.5 GOALS

0 of 10OVER 3.5 GOALS

2025-01-25Ayr United FC 2 – 1 Partick Thistle FC

2025-03-15Ayr United FC 0 – 2 Partick Thistle FC

2025-05-06Ayr United FC 1 – 0 Partick Thistle FC

2025-05-09Ayr United FC 0 – 2 Partick Thistle FC

2025-08-16Ayr United FC 0 – 2 Partick Thistle FC

2025-10-21Ayr United FC 1 – 2 Partick Thistle FC

2025-12-06Ayr United FC 0 – 0 Partick Thistle FC

2026-01-24Ayr United FC 1 – 2 Partick Thistle FC

TRENDS

Ayr United FC have scored in 70% of their games.

Partick Thistle FC have scored in 60% of their games.

Ayr United FC kept a clean sheet in 10% of their games.

Partick Thistle FC kept a clean sheet in 60% of their games.

BUILT FROM

form · last gameshome / awaygoals for & againstclean sheetshead to headleague tablecornerscards