Match details. Ekstraklasa. Kick-off is Fri 16 Oct, 19:30 Lagos time.
Form. Widzew Lodz have won one, drawn five and lost four of their last ten, 0.8 points a game. Their last five, newest first: L D D D L. Wisla Krakow have won four, drawn two and lost four of their last ten, 1.4 points a game. Their last five, newest first: L W W D L.
The numbers. Widzew Lodz score one and concede 1.6 a game in their last five at home, with one clean sheet and two games without a goal. Widzew Lodz average 6.5 corners and 2.7 cards a game. Wisla Krakow score 1.3 and concede 2.2 a game in their last six away, with no clean sheets. Wisla Krakow average 5.5 corners and 2.0 cards a game.
Where it pulls both ways. On goals, their goals for and against point to a tight game; their records put over 2.5 goals at 57%.
The case against. Not everything agrees on goals: their goals for and against point to a tight game.
The read. A draw. An open game. Little separates them, and both sides draw often. Their records put over 2.5 goals at 57%.
The bets. Best bet: Over 1.5 Goals at 1.21, 73% on the records (Widzew Lodz: over 1.5 goals in 7 of 9; Wisla Krakow: over 1.5 goals in 5 of 5 away). Backup: Widzew Lodz Over 0.5 Goals at 1.20. It often rescues the bet, but it is no guarantee. Leave: Wisla Krakow or Over 2.5 Goals (the call is a draw); Wisla Krakow win or both teams score (the call is a draw); Wisla Krakow or draw and over 1.5 goals (the signs point different ways). Predicted score: Widzew Lodz 2-2 Wisla Krakow (5% chance).
Every score's chance from both teams' checked games, never cut or rescaled. The lit square is the likeliest score that fits the read (the call and an open game).