Match details. Primera LPF, Clausura - 14. Kick-off is Mon 26 Oct, 23:00 Lagos time. It is played at Estadio 15 de Abril, Santa Fe de la Vera Cruz. The referee is Pablo Dovalo.
What's at stake. Union de Santa Fe are 11th on 14 points after 13 games, level on points with Estudiantes L.P., level on points with Platense. A win would take them above Estudiantes L.P.. Estudiantes de La Plata are 10th on 14 points after 13 games, 4 points behind San Lorenzo, level on points with Union Santa Fe.
Form. Union de Santa Fe have won three, drawn one and lost six of their last ten, 1.0 points a game. Their last five, newest first: D L L L L. In this competition Union de Santa Fe have gone D L L L L W. Estudiantes de La Plata have won three, drawn two and lost five of their last ten, 1.1 points a game. Their last five, newest first: L D W L W. In this competition Estudiantes de La Plata have gone L D W L W L.
The numbers. Union de Santa Fe score 1.8 and concede 1.8 a game in their last five at home, with no clean sheets. Union de Santa Fe average 14.9 shots (4.5 on target), 3.6 corners and 2.9 cards a game, with 49% of the ball. Estudiantes de La Plata score 0.6 and concede 1.8 a game in their last five away, with no clean sheets and three games without a goal. Estudiantes de La Plata average 16.5 shots (5.5 on target), 4.2 corners and 2.9 cards a game, with 61% of the ball.
Head to head. In the last ten meetings Union de Santa Fe have won three, drawn one and lost six. Four of the ten went over 2.5 goals and both teams scored in four. In the last four, Union de Santa Fe won one, one was drawn and Estudiantes de La Plata won two. The last time they met, on 11 Apr 2026, it finished Union de Santa Fe 1-2 Estudiantes de La Plata: Union de Santa Fe had 12 shots to 10, 36% of the ball, ten yellow cards.
Where it pulls both ways. It pulls both ways: Estudiantes de La Plata are the stronger side on form and the table, but both teams' records favour Union de Santa Fe; the meetings favour Estudiantes de La Plata. On goals, their goals for and against point to a tight game; their records put over 2.5 goals at 59%; six of the last ten meetings went under 2.5.
The read. No side to back. Nothing separates them clearly enough to back a side.
The bets. No bet on this one: too close to call. Leave: Estudiantes de La Plata or Under 2.5 Goals (no result call); Estudiantes de La Plata or Over 2.5 Goals (no result call); Estudiantes de La Plata Over 0.5 goals (Estudiantes de La Plata's own games don't back it (2 of 5)). Predicted score: Union de Santa Fe 1-1 Estudiantes de La Plata (13% chance).
Every score's chance from both teams' checked games, never cut or rescaled. The lit square is the likeliest score that fits the read (the Model's table).