Match details. Primera LPF, Clausura - 14. Kick-off is Fri 23 Oct, 22:00 Lagos time. It is played at Estadio Juan Carmelo Zerillo, La Plata, Provincia de Buenos Aires.
What's at stake. Gimnasia y Esgrima La Plata are 4th on 22 points after 13 games, level on points with Belgrano Cordoba, 1 point clear of Sarmiento Junin. A win would take them above Belgrano Cordoba. CA Sarmiento Junin are 5th on 21 points after 13 games, 1 point behind Gimnasia L.P., 1 point clear of River Plate. A win would take them above Gimnasia L.P..
Form. Gimnasia y Esgrima La Plata have won three, drawn five and lost two of their last ten, 1.4 points a game. Their last five, newest first: W D D D D. CA Sarmiento Junin have won five, drawn three and lost two of their last ten, 1.8 points a game. Their last five, newest first: D D W L D.
The numbers. Gimnasia y Esgrima La Plata score 1.4 and concede 1.6 a game over their last ten, with no clean sheets. Gimnasia y Esgrima La Plata average 15.5 shots (4.9 on target), 4.0 corners and 1.9 cards a game, with 48% of the ball. CA Sarmiento Junin score 1.8 and concede 1.8 a game in their last five away, with one clean sheet. CA Sarmiento Junin average 10.5 shots (3.8 on target), 3.5 corners and 2.5 cards a game, with 35% of the ball.
Head to head. The last time they met, on 13 Apr 2026, it finished Gimnasia y Esgrima La Plata 2-1 CA Sarmiento Junin: Gimnasia y Esgrima La Plata had 17 shots to 11, 56% of the ball, five yellow cards.
Where it pulls both ways. On goals, their goals for and against point to a tight game; their records put over 2.5 goals at 67%.
The read. No side to back. Nothing separates them clearly enough to back a side.
The bets. No bet on this one: too close to call. Predicted score: Gimnasia y Esgrima La Plata 1-1 CA Sarmiento Junin (13% chance).
Every score's chance from both teams' checked games, never cut or rescaled. The lit square is the likeliest score that fits the read (the Model's table).