Match details. Primera LPF, Clausura - 14. Kick-off is Sat 24 Oct, 01:15 Lagos time. It is played at Estadio Jose Dellagiovanna, Buenos Aires. The referee is Brian Ferreyra.
What's at stake. CA Tigre are 11th on 13 points after 13 games, 1 point behind Atletico Tucuman, level on points with Banfield. A win would take them above Atletico Tucuman. Atletico Tucuman are 10th on 14 points after 13 games, 5 points behind Independ. Rivadavia, 1 point clear of Tigre.
Form. CA Tigre have won two, drawn three and lost five of their last ten, 0.9 points a game. Their last five, newest first: D L L L L. In this competition CA Tigre have gone D L L L L L. Atletico Tucuman have won two, drawn three and lost five of their last ten, 0.9 points a game. Their last five, newest first: L D L L L. In this competition Atletico Tucuman have gone L D L L L W.
The numbers. CA Tigre score 0.8 and concede 0.8 a game in their last five at home, with two clean sheets and two games without a goal. CA Tigre average 13.5 shots (4.1 on target), 4.8 corners and 2.4 cards a game, with 51% of the ball. Atletico Tucuman score one and concede 1.3 a game over their last ten, with three clean sheets and three games without a goal. Atletico Tucuman average 11.5 shots (3.5 on target), 4.9 corners and 2.2 cards a game, with 36% of the ball.
Head to head. In the last seven meetings CA Tigre have won one, drawn five and lost one. Two of the seven went over 2.5 goals and both teams scored in one. In the last four, CA Tigre won one and three were drawn. The last time they met, on 12 Apr 2026, it finished CA Tigre 0-0 Atletico Tucuman: CA Tigre had 12 shots to 7, 51% of the ball, two yellow cards.
The case against. Atletico Tucuman's record still gives them 28% to win.
The read. CA Tigre or the draw. A draw is live. A tight game. Their goals for and against make CA Tigre the likelier winners. Their goals for and against point to a tight game. Their records put over 2.5 goals at 45%. Five of the last seven meetings went under 2.5.
The bets. Best bet: CA Tigre or Draw at 1.16, 73% on the records (CA Tigre unbeaten in 3 of 5 at home; Atletico Tucuman failed to win 8 of 10). The safer one: Under 3.5 Goals at 1.15 (75%). Backup: 1st Half - GG/NG: No at 1.11. It often rescues the bet, but it is no guarantee. Leave: Over 0.5 Goals (no overs on a tight read). Predicted score: CA Tigre 1-1 Atletico Tucuman (13% chance).
Every score's chance from both teams' checked games, never cut or rescaled. The lit square is the likeliest score that fits the read (the call and a tight game).