Match details. Primera LPF, Clausura - 14. Kick-off is Sat 24 Oct, 23:15 Lagos time. It is played at Estadio Pedro Bidegain, Buenos Aires. The referee is Luis Lobo Medina.
What's at stake. CA San Lorenzo de Almagro are 9th on 17 points after 13 games, 2 points behind Independiente, 3 points clear of Estudiantes L.P.. A win would take them above Independiente. Newell's Old Boys are 6th on 20 points after 13 games, 4 points behind Velez Sarsfield, level on points with Gimnasia M..
Team news. O. Gill is their first-choice keeper. E. Herrera is their centre-back. J. Romaña is their centre-back. CA San Lorenzo de Almagro's line-up is confirmed. S. Salcedo is their centre-back. N. Goitea is their centre-back. Newell's Old Boys's line-up is confirmed.
Form. CA San Lorenzo de Almagro have won four, drawn two and lost four of their last ten, 1.4 points a game. Their last five, newest first: W W L L D. In this competition CA San Lorenzo de Almagro have gone W W L L D W. Newell's Old Boys have won four, drawn four and lost two of their last ten, 1.6 points a game. Their last five, newest first: W L D W D. In this competition Newell's Old Boys have gone W L D W D D.
The numbers. CA San Lorenzo de Almagro score 0.6 and concede 0.8 a game in their last five at home, with three clean sheets and two games without a goal. CA San Lorenzo de Almagro average 11.8 shots (3.5 on target), 3.9 corners and 2.8 cards a game, with 45% of the ball. Newell's Old Boys score 0.6 and concede 0.8 a game in their last five away, with two clean sheets and two games without a goal. Newell's Old Boys average 11.3 shots (3.6 on target), 3.9 corners and 1.9 cards a game, with 50% of the ball.
Head to head. In the last nine meetings CA San Lorenzo de Almagro have won two, drawn four and lost three. Four of the nine went over 2.5 goals and both teams scored in four. In the last four, three were drawn and Newell's Old Boys won one. The last time they met, on 12 Apr 2026, it finished CA San Lorenzo de Almagro 0-0 Newell's Old Boys: CA San Lorenzo de Almagro had 4 shots to 11, 56% of the ball, six yellow cards.
The case against. Newell's Old Boys's record still gives them 33% to win.
The read. CA San Lorenzo de Almagro or the draw. A draw is live. A tight game. Newell's Old Boys are the stronger side on form and the table. Their goals for and against point to a tight game. Their records put over 2.5 goals at 20%. Five of the last nine meetings went under 2.5.
The bets. Best bet: Under 3.5 Goals at 1.10, 77% on the records (CA San Lorenzo de Almagro: under 3.5 goals in 5 of 5 at home; Newell's Old Boys: under 3.5 goals in 5 of 5 away). Backup: Under 1.5 first-half goals at 1.22. It often rescues the bet, but it is no guarantee. Leave: CA San Lorenzo de Almagro or draw and under 2.5 goals (the signs point different ways); Over 0.5 Goals (no overs on a tight read). Predicted score: CA San Lorenzo de Almagro 1-1 Newell's Old Boys (14% chance).
Every score's chance from both teams' checked games, never cut or rescaled. The lit square is the likeliest score that fits the read (the call and a tight game).