CA River Plate (ARG) vs Racing Club Avellaneda
Match details. Primera LPF, Clausura - 14. Kick-off is Sun 25 Oct, 23:15 Lagos time. It is played at El Monumental, Buenos Aires. The referee is Leandro Rey Hilfer.
What's at stake. CA River Plate (ARG) are 6th on 20 points after 13 games, 1 point behind Sarmiento Junin, 1 point clear of Barracas Central. A win would take them above Sarmiento Junin. Racing Club Avellaneda are 13th on 12 points after 13 games, 1 point behind Tigre, 1 point clear of Aldosivi. A win would take them above Tigre.
Form. CA River Plate (ARG) have won six, drawn two and lost two of their last ten, 2.0 points a game. Their last five, newest first: W D W L W. In this competition CA River Plate (ARG) have gone W D W L W W. Racing Club Avellaneda have won two, drawn two and lost six of their last ten, 0.8 points a game. Their last five, newest first: D L W W L. In this competition Racing Club Avellaneda have gone D L W W L L.
The numbers. CA River Plate (ARG) score 1.8 and concede one a game in their last five at home, with two clean sheets. CA River Plate (ARG) average 18.6 shots (6.5 on target), 5.5 corners and 1.4 cards a game, with 66% of the ball. Racing Club Avellaneda score 1.1 and concede 1.6 a game over their last ten, with no clean sheets and two games without a goal. Racing Club Avellaneda average 13.2 shots (5.0 on target), 5.5 corners and 2.4 cards a game, with 59% of the ball.
Head to head. In the last ten meetings CA River Plate (ARG) have won six, drawn two and lost two. Six of the ten went over 2.5 goals and both teams scored in four. In the last four, CA River Plate (ARG) won two and Racing Club Avellaneda won two. The last time they met, on 12 Apr 2026, it finished CA River Plate (ARG) 2-0 Racing Club Avellaneda: CA River Plate (ARG) had 10 shots to 12, 50% of the ball, eight yellow cards.
Where it pulls both ways. On goals, their goals for and against point to a tight game; their records put over 2.5 goals at 58%; six of the last ten meetings went over 2.5.
The case against. Racing Club Avellaneda's record still gives them 23% to win. Not everything agrees on goals: their records put over 2.5 goals at 58%. Not everything agrees on goals: six of the last ten meetings went over 2.5.
The read. CA River Plate (ARG) to win. A tight game. Their goals for and against make CA River Plate (ARG) the likelier winners; CA River Plate (ARG) are the stronger side on form and the table; both teams' records favour CA River Plate (ARG); the meetings favour CA River Plate (ARG). Their goals for and against point to a tight game.
The bets. Best bet: CA River Plate (ARG) or Draw (1UP) at 1.10, 77% on the records (CA River Plate (ARG) scored first 4 of last 5, led or was unbeaten in 4; led or was unbeaten in 4 of 5 at home). Backup: CA River Plate (ARG) Over 0.5 Goals at 1.14. It often rescues the bet, but it is no guarantee. Leave: Over 1.5 Goals (no overs on a tight read); Over 3.5 Cards (the signs point different ways); Over 0.5 Goals (no overs on a tight read). Predicted score: CA River Plate (ARG) 1-0 Racing Club Avellaneda (11% chance).
Every score's chance from both teams' checked games, never cut or rescaled. The lit square is the likeliest score that fits the read (the call and a tight game).