Argentinos Juniors vs Independiente Rivadavia
Match details. Ar1. Kick-off is Tue 27 Oct, 23:00 Lagos time.
Form. Argentinos Juniors have won two, drawn two and lost one of their last five, 1.6 points a game. Their last five, newest first: W L D D W. Independiente Rivadavia have won one, drawn three and lost none of their last four, 1.5 points a game. Their last four, newest first: D W D D. In this competition Independiente Rivadavia have gone D W D.
The numbers. Argentinos Juniors score 0.8 and concede 0.6 a game over their last five, with two clean sheets and two games without a goal. Argentinos Juniors average 16.4 shots (6.0 on target), 5.9 corners and 1.9 cards a game, with 62% of the ball. Independiente Rivadavia score 1.2 and concede one a game over their last four, with one clean sheet. Independiente Rivadavia average 12.3 shots (4.5 on target), 4.2 corners and 2.3 cards a game, with 46% of the ball.
Head to head. In the last seven meetings Argentinos Juniors have won two, drawn two and lost three. Six of the seven went over 2.5 goals and both teams scored in six. In the last four, two were drawn and Independiente Rivadavia won two.
Where it pulls both ways. It pulls both ways: their goals for and against make Argentinos Juniors the likelier winners, but Argentinos Juniors are the stronger side on form and the table; the meetings favour Independiente Rivadavia. On goals, their goals for and against point to a tight game; six of the last seven meetings went over 2.5, and the meetings settle it.
The case against. The meetings do not back them. Not everything agrees on goals: their goals for and against point to a tight game.
The read. Argentinos Juniors or the draw. An open game. Their goals for and against make Argentinos Juniors the likelier winners; Argentinos Juniors are the stronger side on form and the table; the meetings favour Independiente Rivadavia. Six of the last seven meetings went over 2.5.
The bets. Best bet: Argentinos Juniors or Draw (1UP) at 1.19, 73% on the records (Argentinos Juniors scored first 3 of last 5, led or was unbeaten in 4; led or was unbeaten in 8 of 10). Predicted score: Argentinos Juniors 2-1 Independiente Rivadavia (9% chance).
Every score's chance from both teams' checked games, never cut or rescaled. The lit square is the likeliest score that fits the read (the call and an open game).