LFLEO

20:00Sun 18 Oct

CSE

Leones Futbol Club vs CS Emelec

CLASS D

THE READ

Match details. LigaPro Primera A, Placement Group - 3. Kick-off is Sun 18 Oct, 20:00 Lagos time. It is played at Estadio Olimpico de Ibarra.

What's at stake. Leones Futbol Club are 9th on 40 points after 32 games, 3 points behind Guayaquil City FC, 1 point clear of Emelec. A win would take them level on points with Guayaquil City FC. CS Emelec are 10th on 39 points after 32 games, 1 point behind Leones del Norte. A win would take them above Leones del Norte. Leones Futbol Club have nothing left to play for. CS Emelec have nothing left to play for.

Form. Leones Futbol Club have won two, drawn three and lost five of their last ten, 0.9 points a game. Their last five, newest first: L D L D W. In this competition Leones Futbol Club have gone L D L D W L. CS Emelec have won three, drawn two and lost five of their last ten, 1.1 points a game. Their last five, newest first: L L L W D. In this competition CS Emelec have gone L L L W D W.

The numbers. Leones Futbol Club score 0.9 and concede 1.5 a game over their last ten, with two clean sheets and three games without a goal. Leones Futbol Club average 14.4 shots (4.4 on target), 4.4 corners and 2.8 cards a game, with 49% of the ball. CS Emelec score 0.6 and concede 1.4 a game in their last five away, with one clean sheet and three games without a goal. CS Emelec average 14.1 shots (4.4 on target), 4.4 corners and 2.4 cards a game, with 50% of the ball.

Head to head. In the last two meetings Leones Futbol Club have won one, drawn none and lost one. One of the two went over 2.5 goals and both teams scored in one. The last time they met, on 30 Aug 2026, it finished Leones Futbol Club 1-2 CS Emelec: Leones Futbol Club had 13 shots to 12, 51% of the ball, three yellow cards.

The read. No side to back. A tight game. Nothing separates them clearly enough to back a side. Their goals for and against point to a tight game. Their records put over 2.5 goals at 33%.

The bets. No bet yet: nothing I'd back is priced yet. Leave: Over 0.5 Goals (no overs on a tight read). Predicted score: Leones Futbol Club 1-1 CS Emelec (13% chance).

PICKSONE LIST

GOALS

Under 5.5 GoalsPAGE ONLY

no price yet

LEO 10 of 10 (100%) · CSE 5 of 5 (100%)95.6%

Leones Futbol Club: under 5.5 goals in 10 of 10 (last 10, all venues) · CS Emelec: under 5.5 goals in 5 of 5 away · both last 10: 100% · Leones Futbol Club: only games against sides at CS Emelec's level · CS Emelec: only games against sides at Leones Futbol Club's level

Under 4.5 GoalsPAGE ONLY

no price yet

LEO 9 of 10 (90%) · CSE 4 of 5 (80%)88.7%

Leones Futbol Club: under 4.5 goals in 9 of 10 (last 10, all venues) · CS Emelec: under 4.5 goals in 4 of 5 away · both last 10: 90% · Leones Futbol Club: only games against sides at CS Emelec's level · CS Emelec: only games against sides at Leones Futbol Club's level

LEONES FUTBOL CLUB GOALS

Leones Futbol Club Over 0.5 GoalsPAGE ONLY

no price yet

LEO 7 of 10 (70%) · CSE 4 of 5 (80%)75.3%

Leones Futbol Club scored in 7 of 10 (last 10, all venues) · CS Emelec conceded in 4 of 5 away · both last 10: 75% · Leones Futbol Club: only games against sides at CS Emelec's level · CS Emelec: only games against sides at Leones Futbol Club's level

HALVES

1st Half Under 2.5 GoalsPAGE ONLY

no price yet

LEO 10 of 10 (100%) · CSE 5 of 5 (100%)100%

Leones Futbol Club: the bet landed in 10 of 10 (last 10, all venues) · CS Emelec: the bet landed in 5 of 5 away · both last 10: 100% · on half-time scores · Leones Futbol Club: only games against sides at CS Emelec's level · CS Emelec: only games against sides at Leones Futbol Club's level

1st Half - GG/NG: NoPAGE ONLY

1.11

LEO 8 of 10 (80%) · CSE 5 of 5 (100%)88.3%

Leones Futbol Club: the bet landed in 8 of 10 (last 10, all venues) · CS Emelec: the bet landed in 5 of 5 away · both last 10: 85% · on half-time scores · Leones Futbol Club: only games against sides at CS Emelec's level · CS Emelec: only games against sides at Leones Futbol Club's level

1st Half Under 1.5 GoalsLEANPAGE ONLY

no price yet

LEO 7 of 10 (70%) · CSE 3 of 5 (60%)65%

Leones Futbol Club: the bet landed in 7 of 10 (last 10, all venues) · CS Emelec: the bet landed in 3 of 5 away · both last 10: 65% · on half-time scores · Leones Futbol Club: only games against sides at CS Emelec's level · CS Emelec: only games against sides at Leones Futbol Club's level

CARDS

Over 2.5 CardsPAGE ONLY

no price yet

LEO 6 of 8 (75%) · CSE 6 of 8 (75%)75%

Leones Futbol Club's games: over 2.5 cards in 6 of 8 (last 10, all venues) · CS Emelec's games: over 2.5 cards in 6 of 8 (last 10, all venues) · both last 10: 75% · Leones Futbol Club: only games against sides at CS Emelec's level · CS Emelec: only games against sides at Leones Futbol Club's level

Left off the list: Over 0.5 Goals (no overs on a tight read (rule 10))

SCORELINES

Predicted score

Predicted score 1–1 13.4%

Leones Futbol Club goals →

CS Emelec goals ↓

0-09%

1-010%

2-08%

3-04%

4-01%

5-00.4%

0-18%

1-113%

2-19%

3-14%

4-11%

5-10.4%

0-25%

1-27%

2-25%

3-22%

4-20.8%

5-20.2%

0-32%

1-33%

2-32%

3-30.9%

4-30.3%

5-30.1%

0-40.5%

1-40.8%

2-40.5%

3-40.2%

4-40.1%

5-40.0%

0-50.1%

1-50.2%

2-50.1%

3-50.1%

4-50.0%

5-50.0%

Every score's chance from both teams' checked games, never cut or rescaled. The lit square is the likeliest score that fits the read (a tight game).

FORM · LAST 10

LEONES FUTBOL CLUBDLWLLWDLDL0.90 PPG

CS EMELECLDWLWDWLLL1.10 PPG

THE NUMBERS

LEONES FUTBOL CLUB HOMExCS EMELEC AWAY

0.90SCORED A GAME0.901.50CONCEDED A GAME1.3020%CLEAN SHEETS20%28%FAILED TO SCORE34%4.38CORNERS A GAME4.382.75CARDS A GAME2.381.34xG1.722.25xG AGAINST1.50

THE BANK

THE QUALITY READ

1.46POINTS A GAME1.17-0.08GOAL DIFFERENCE A GAME-0.33–SHOTS FOR MINUS AGAINST-0.21.0LAST 5: POINTS A GAME1.413LEAGUE GAMES6

No quality side: neither club is ahead on more of these.

Each club's own league games in the Bank: points, goal difference, shots for and against, the last 5. A side ahead on most of them is the quality side; its bets show what they won on games like this from 6 Oct to 2 Nov.

THE BANK'S READ

OVER 1.5 GOALS

69%

NO · 80/83

OVER 2.5 GOALS

28%

NO · 65/78

UNDER 4.5 GOALS

99%

VERY GOOD · 85/90

LEONES FUTBOL CLUB OR DRAW

85%

VERY GOOD · 80/85

CS EMELEC OR DRAW

56%

NO · 80/85

Each line from both sides' own league games this season, set against their league (13 and 6 games). The two numbers after each read are the line's okay and very good marks.

LEONES FUTBOL CLUBxCS EMELEC

5GAMES50.60SCORED A GAME1.001.20CONCEDED A GAME1.001.8GOALS IN THEIR GAMES2.060%OVER 1.5 GOALS60%20%OVER 2.5 GOALS40%40%BOTH SCORE60%–CARDS IN THEIR GAMES––CORNERS IN THEIR GAMES–

Each side's own league games in our bank before this game; "Home v Away" is the home side's home games and the away side's away games.

HEAD TO HEAD · LAST 2

LEONES FUTBOL CLUB 1 · 50%DRAW 0CS EMELEC 1 · 50%

2026-05-03Leones Futbol Club 2 – 0 CS Emelec

2026-08-30Leones Futbol Club 1 – 2 CS Emelec

TRENDS

Leones Futbol Club have scored in 70% of their games.

CS Emelec have scored in 60% of their games.

Leones Futbol Club kept a clean sheet in 20% of their games.

CS Emelec kept a clean sheet in 20% of their games.

BUILT FROM

form · last gameshome / awaygoals for & againstxG & xGAclean sheetshead to headleague tablecornerscards